Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $77.1213 (0.3%) ($76.2066 - $77.3069) on Tue. Nov. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $77.1213(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(70%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.83(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.39(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.39(2.3%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2014	82.41	75.39	76.39	76.83			77.12(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	11	55	17.38	38%	-0.15	43	1.3%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Nov_10_2014	82.53	75.08	76.25	76.3			76.89(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	22.95	38%	-0.15	19.5	1.3%	0	0.9	53	0
3	Nov_7_2014	82.65	74.82	75.98	76.13			77.59(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	1	29	18.04	40%	-0.12	2.3	1.32%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Nov_6_2014	82.75	74.62	75.77	76.06			76.74(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	43	23.03	40%	-0.13	-8.6	1.31%	0	1.2	62	0
5	Nov_5_2014	82.86	74.51	75.67	75.86			75.79(1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-1	55	27.45	38%	-0.13	-18.7	1.3%	0	0.7	62	0

6	Nov_4_2014	82.97	74.58	75.56	75.9			74.48(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-5	75	23.44	38%	-0.14	-19.6	1.3%	0	-0.1	63	0
7	Nov_3_2014	83.09	74.7	75.72	76.16			76.04(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	8	121	26.61	40%	-0.12	-21.7	1.3%	0	0.6	70	0
8	Oct_31_2014	83.19	74.7	75.5	75.76			77.26(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	7	123	20.27	39%	-0.1	-32.5	1.29%	0	1.2	70	0
9	Oct_30_2014	83.27	74.77	75.08	75.44			75.72(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	108	18.8	36%	-0.12	-42.9	1.29%	0	0.4	56	0
10	Oct_29_2014	83.37	74.86	74.78	75.48			76(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	101	26.72	36%	-0.1	-44.8	1.29%	0	0.5	52	0

11	Oct_28_2014	83.45	74.96	74.32	75.18			75.75(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	52	23.62	36%	-0.12	-49.7	1.29%	0	0.3	43	0
12	Oct_27_2014	83.55	75.15	73.82	75.23			74.06(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	1	20	23.5	33%	-0.12	-46.8	1.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Oct_24_2014	83.65	75.48	73.59	75.16			75.65(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	11	-17	25.26	34%	-0.11	-45.2	1.23%	0	0.1	41	0
14	Oct_23_2014	83.74	75.73	73.38	74.65			75.92(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	15	-59	26.56	34%	-0.1	-50.2	1.23%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Oct_22_2014	83.82	75.92	73.23	73.96			74.53(-1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	15	-106	36.14	33%	-0.11	-56.6	1.21%	0	-0.4	38	0

16	Oct_21_2014	83.91	76.25	73.49	73.29			75.97(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	25	-134	31.36	34%	-0.08	-62	1.19%	0	-0.1	39	0
17	Oct_20_2014	83.98	76.5	73.53	72.23			73.73(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-45	-10000	11	-211	26.5	29%	-0.12	-70.5	1.12%	0	-0.7	26	0
18	Oct_17_2014	84.08	76.89	73.91	71.8			73.09(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-67	-10000	-4	-256	38	28%	-0.12	-73.1	1.12%	0	-1	21	0
19	Oct_16_2014	84.18	77.37	74.37	71.95			72.47(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-78	-10000	-12	-277	59.8	31%	-0.13	-71.3	1.12%	0	-1.3	18	0
20	Oct_15_2014	84.29	77.9	74.92	72.43			71.2(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-96	-10000	-32	-286	69.47	28%	-0.13	-69.8	1.11%	0	-1.7	18	0

21	Oct_14_2014	84.4	78.52	75.66	73.74			70.66(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-89	-10000	-31	-262	56	29%	-0.17	-64.9	1.1%	0	-2.1	14	0
22	Oct_13_2014	84.54	79.2	76.62	75.01			71.56(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-78	-10000	-30	-223	47.55	30%	-0.13	-63.4	1.11%	0	-2.4	15	0
23	Oct_10_2014	84.65	79.79	77.59	76.3			73.84(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-20	-187	60.47	31%	-0.11	-64.9	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
24	Oct_9_2014	84.74	80.24	78.35	77.12			74.89(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-15	-165	36.67	33%	-0.09	-69.8	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
25	Oct_8_2014	84.82	80.68	78.91	77.75			77.75(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-4	-170	35.99	37%		-74.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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