Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $74.5318 (-1.9%) ($74.4876 - $76.6352) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $74.5318(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $75.92
5 Day Moving Average   $73.96(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.23(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.92(-1.83%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 4.49% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	83.82	75.92	73.23	73.96			74.53(-1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	15	-106	36.14	33%	-0.11	-56.6	1.21%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Oct_21_2014	83.91	76.25	73.49	73.29			75.97(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	25	-134	31.36	34%	-0.08	-62	1.19%	0	-0.1	39	0
3	Oct_20_2014	83.98	76.5	73.53	72.23			73.73(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-45	-10000	11	-211	26.5	29%	-0.12	-70.5	1.12%	0	-0.7	26	0
4	Oct_17_2014	84.08	76.89	73.91	71.8			73.09(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-67	-10000	-4	-256	38	28%	-0.12	-73.1	1.12%	0	-1	21	0
5	Oct_16_2014	84.18	77.37	74.37	71.95			72.47(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-78	-10000	-12	-277	59.8	31%	-0.13	-71.3	1.12%	0	-1.3	18	0

6	Oct_15_2014	84.29	77.9	74.92	72.43			71.2(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-96	-10000	-32	-286	69.47	28%	-0.13	-69.8	1.11%	0	-1.7	18	0
7	Oct_14_2014	84.4	78.52	75.66	73.74			70.66(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-89	-10000	-31	-262	56	29%	-0.17	-64.9	1.1%	0	-2.1	14	0
8	Oct_13_2014	84.54	79.2	76.62	75.01			71.56(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-78	-10000	-30	-223	47.55	30%	-0.13	-63.4	1.11%	0	-2.4	15	0
9	Oct_10_2014	84.65	79.79	77.59	76.3			73.84(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-20	-187	60.47	31%	-0.11	-64.9	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
10	Oct_9_2014	84.74	80.24	78.35	77.12			74.89(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-15	-165	36.67	33%	-0.09	-69.8	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0

11	Oct_8_2014	84.82	80.68	78.91	77.75			77.75(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-4	-170	35.99	37%	-0.05	-74.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	21	0
12	Oct_7_2014	84.86	80.97	79.28	77.89			77(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-17	-187	17.9	34%	-0.06	-79.7	0.95%	0	-1.8	14	0
13	Oct_6_2014	84.91	81.32	79.73	78.51			78.01(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-17	-182	20.13	35%	-0.05	-82.9	0.94%	0	-1.7	14	0
14	Oct_3_2014	84.95	81.62	80.1	79.13			77.93(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-18	-165	20.1	35%	-0.05	-81.2	0.95%	0	-1.8	25	0
15	Oct_2_2014	84.99	82	80.6	79.8			78.05(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-12	-132	29.25	35%	-0.06	-80.3	0.95%	0	-2.1	30	0

16	Oct_1_2014	85.04	82.34	81.1	80.24			78.46(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-10000	-16	-121	18.98	35%	-0.06	-82	0.95%	0	-2.2	27	0
17	Sep_30_2014	85.09	82.72	81.6	80.85			80.09(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	21.74	38%	-0.02	-81.9	0.92%	0	-1.6	32	0
18	Sep_29_2014	85.11	83.01	81.97	81.12			81.11(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-3	-85	15.45	39%	-0.01	-83.5	0.91%	0	-1.2	34	0
19	Sep_26_2014	85.12	83.28	82.15	81.23			81.29(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-9	-93	11.48	39%	-0.01	-71.9	0.91%	0	-1.2	33	0
20	Sep_25_2014	85.13	83.53	82.26	81.55			80.26(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-106	13.44	38%	-0.04	-65.2	0.89%	0	-1.9	20	0

21	Sep_24_2014	85.16	83.84	82.6	82.09			81.51(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-10	-93	24.74	37%	-0.01	-58.7	0.88%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Sep_23_2014	85.17	84.09	82.8	82.47			81.43(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-93	9.14	37%	-0.01	-51	0.92%	0	-1.6	25	0
23	Sep_22_2014	85.18	84.33	83.03	82.95			81.67(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-6	-85	10.63	37%	0	-42.9	0.92%	0	-1.7	28	0
24	Sep_19_2014	85.18	84.52	83.27	83.19			82.89(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-92	9.47	42%	0.01	-44.4	0.92%	0	-1.1	27	0
25	Sep_18_2014	85.17	84.67	83.5	83.06			82.96(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-107	12.28	43%		-43.3	0.93%	0	-1.2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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