Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $71.5622 (-3.09%) ($71.4649 - $74.5848) on Mon. Oct. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $71.5622(-3.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.59(-4.15%)
Resistance Level   $79.2
5 Day Moving Average   $75.01(-4.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.62(-6.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.2(-9.64%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 4.1% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2014	84.54	79.2	76.62	75.01			71.56(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-78	-10000	-30	-223	47.55	30%	-0.13	-63.4	1.11%	0	-2.4	15	0
2	Oct_10_2014	84.65	79.79	77.59	76.3			73.84(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-20	-187	60.47	31%	-0.11	-64.9	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
3	Oct_9_2014	84.74	80.24	78.35	77.12			74.89(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-15	-165	36.67	33%	-0.09	-69.8	1.05%	0	-2.2	17	0
4	Oct_8_2014	84.82	80.68	78.91	77.75			77.75(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-4	-170	35.99	37%	-0.05	-74.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	21	0
5	Oct_7_2014	84.86	80.97	79.28	77.89			77(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-17	-187	17.9	34%	-0.06	-79.7	0.95%	0	-1.8	14	0

6	Oct_6_2014	84.91	81.32	79.73	78.51			78.01(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-17	-182	20.13	35%	-0.05	-82.9	0.94%	0	-1.7	14	0
7	Oct_3_2014	84.95	81.62	80.1	79.13			77.93(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10000	-18	-165	20.1	35%	-0.05	-81.2	0.95%	0	-1.8	25	0
8	Oct_2_2014	84.99	82	80.6	79.8			78.05(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-12	-132	29.25	35%	-0.06	-80.3	0.95%	0	-2.1	30	0
9	Oct_1_2014	85.04	82.34	81.1	80.24			78.46(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-10000	-16	-121	18.98	35%	-0.06	-82	0.95%	0	-2.2	27	0
10	Sep_30_2014	85.09	82.72	81.6	80.85			80.09(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	21.74	38%	-0.02	-81.9	0.92%	0	-1.6	32	0

11	Sep_29_2014	85.11	83.01	81.97	81.12			81.11(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-3	-85	15.45	39%	-0.01	-83.5	0.91%	0	-1.2	34	0
12	Sep_26_2014	85.12	83.28	82.15	81.23			81.29(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-9	-93	11.48	39%	-0.01	-71.9	0.91%	0	-1.2	33	0
13	Sep_25_2014	85.13	83.53	82.26	81.55			80.26(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-106	13.44	38%	-0.04	-65.2	0.89%	0	-1.9	20	0
14	Sep_24_2014	85.16	83.84	82.6	82.09			81.51(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-10	-93	24.74	37%	-0.01	-58.7	0.88%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Sep_23_2014	85.17	84.09	82.8	82.47			81.43(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-93	9.14	37%	-0.01	-51	0.92%	0	-1.6	25	0

16	Sep_22_2014	85.18	84.33	83.03	82.95			81.67(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-6	-85	10.63	37%	0	-42.9	0.92%	0	-1.7	28	0
17	Sep_19_2014	85.18	84.52	83.27	83.19			82.89(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-92	9.47	42%	0.01	-44.4	0.92%	0	-1.1	27	0
18	Sep_18_2014	85.17	84.67	83.5	83.06			82.96(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-107	12.28	43%	0.01	-43.3	0.93%	0	-1.2	31	0
19	Sep_17_2014	85.16	84.82	83.68	83.17			83.39(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-0	-114	11.07	43%	0.01	-39	0.93%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Sep_16_2014	85.15	84.94	83.92	83.19			83.85(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-118	13.46	43%	0.02	-35.7	0.93%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Sep_15_2014	85.13	85	84.09	83.15			82.85(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-6	-128	13.39	41%	0.01	-37.7	0.92%	0	-1.7	31	0
22	Sep_12_2014	85.12	85.16	84.48	83.39			82.27(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-16	-115	15.44	43%	0	-31.4	0.92%	0	-2.4	34	0
23	Sep_11_2014	85.12	85.28	84.89	84.01			83.51(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-7	-85	12.51	45%	0.02	-17.5	0.9%	0	-1.7	36	0
24	Sep_10_2014	85.1	85.35	85.18	84.26			83.46(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-13	-74	10.43	45%	0.02	-9	0.91%	0	-2	36	0
25	Sep_9_2014	85.08	85.41	85.49	84.76			83.66(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-11	-48	10	45%		8.7	0.9%	0	-2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.