Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $86.8205 (0.56%) ($86.2182 - $86.8645) on Fri. Aug. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $86.8205(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.41(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.99(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.33(1.75%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2014	84.77	85.33	85.99	86.41			86.82(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	71	5.37	54%	0.11	11.8	0.85%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Aug_28_2014	84.68	85.2	85.89	86.1			86.34(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	63	3.1	54%	0.09	-14.7	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Aug_27_2014	84.6	85.12	85.68	86.01			86.32(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	65	3.86	54%	0.09	-33.6	0.85%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Aug_26_2014	84.52	85.13	85.51	85.9			86.5(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	5	66	5.6	54%	0.11	-41	0.85%	0	1.4	63	0
5	Aug_25_2014	84.43	85.15	85.29	85.73			86.06(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	63	4.38	54%	0.09	-44.5	0.86%	0	0.8	63	0

6	Aug_22_2014	84.35	85.21	85.17	85.51			85.3(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-4	46	7.38	53%	0.07	-44	0.85%	0	0.1	47	0
7	Aug_21_2014	84.29	85.32	85.14	85.64			85.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	10	63	5.57	55%	0.08	-34.2	0.85%	0	0.4	57	0
8	Aug_20_2014	84.22	85.43	84.91	85.29			85.8(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	36	5.95	55%	0.1	-33	0.86%	0	0.2	53	0
9	Aug_19_2014	84.14	85.54	84.74	85.05			85.62(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	7	5	6	55%	0.1	-35.9	0.86%	0	0.1	44	0
10	Aug_18_2014	84.06	85.64	84.55	85.05			84.97(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	0	-37	8.6	55%	0.08	-37.4	0.85%	0	-0.4	39	0

11	Aug_15_2014	83.99	85.75	84.61	84.79			85.95(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	6	-50	7.16	55%	0.11	-38.3	0.84%	0	0.1	41	0
12	Aug_14_2014	83.9	85.79	84.43	84.58			84.11(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	3	-91	7.62	51%	0.1	-40.2	0.81%	0	-1	32	0
13	Aug_13_2014	83.82	85.93	84.51	84.47			84.6(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	3	-125	6.49	51%	0.1	-43.5	0.81%	0	-0.8	31	0
14	Aug_12_2014	83.74	86.11	84.71	84.36			84.32(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-34	-10000	3	-145	10	51%	0.1	-46	0.81%	0	-1.1	30	0
15	Aug_11_2014	83.66	86.25	85	84.26			84.95(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-4	-159	11.2	51%	0.11	-51.4	0.81%	0	-0.8	36	0

16	Aug_8_2014	83.57	86.37	85.24	84.41			84.94(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	4	-148	11.59	48%	0.11	-50.8	0.81%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Aug_7_2014	83.48	86.45	85.5	84.28			83.54(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-9	-159	13.26	47%	0.1	-59.8	0.8%	0	-1.9	33	0
18	Aug_6_2014	83.4	86.65	85.99	84.57			84.07(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-16	-138	11.55	47%	0.1	-63.3	0.8%	0	-1.9	37	0
19	Aug_5_2014	83.32	86.86	86.42	85.12			83.82(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-21	-115	16.44	47%	0.11	-58	0.8%	0	-2.5	30	0
20	Aug_4_2014	83.23	87.05	86.83	85.83			85.7(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-11	-76	12.9	51%	0.12	-55.1	0.75%	0	-1.3	46	0

21	Aug_1_2014	83.13	87.15	86.99	86.2			84.28(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-10000	-22	-66	17.83	48%	0.12	-47.8	0.73%	0	-2.9	36	0
22	Jul_31_2014	83.03	87.36	87.3	86.9			84.97(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-23	-10000	-22	-25	17.29	49%	0.11	-36	0.72%	0	-3.1	45	0
23	Jul_30_2014	82.94	87.52	87.52	87.6			86.84(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-10	14	10.78	54%	0.13	-14.3	0.67%	0	-1.2	49	0
24	Jul_29_2014	82.83	87.59	87.66	87.9			87.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-3	37	6.83	54%	0.13	8.1	0.66%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Jul_28_2014	82.72	87.62	87.62	87.99			87.58(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-10000	3	40	7.48	54%		3.2	0.66%	0	-0.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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