Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $85.6950 (1.68%) ($84.0069 - $85.9016) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $85.6950(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $84.35(-1.57%)
Resistance Level   $87.05
5 Day Moving Average   $85.83(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.83(-1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.05(-1.56%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	83.23	87.05	86.83	85.83			85.7(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-11	-76	12.9	51%	0.12	-55.1	0.75%	0	-1.3	46	0
2	Aug_1_2014	83.13	87.15	86.99	86.2			84.28(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-10000	-22	-66	17.83	48%	0.12	-47.8	0.73%	0	-2.9	36	0
3	Jul_31_2014	83.03	87.36	87.3	86.9			84.97(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-23	-10000	-22	-25	17.29	49%	0.11	-36	0.72%	0	-3.1	45	0
4	Jul_30_2014	82.94	87.52	87.52	87.6			86.84(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-10	14	10.78	54%	0.13	-14.3	0.67%	0	-1.2	49	0
5	Jul_29_2014	82.83	87.59	87.66	87.9			87.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-3	37	6.83	54%	0.13	8.1	0.66%	0	-0.4	46	0

6	Jul_28_2014	82.72	87.62	87.62	87.99			87.58(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-10000	3	40	7.48	54%	0.13	3.2	0.66%	0	-0.1	51	0
7	Jul_25_2014	82.61	87.62	87.6	87.91			87.79(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	5	34	4.8	54%	0.15	-6.3	0.66%	0	0.3	51	0
8	Jul_24_2014	82.49	87.64	87.48	87.76			88.44(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	12	12	5.75	56%	0.15	-11.1	0.66%	0	1.5	49	0
9	Jul_23_2014	82.37	87.61	87.34	87.43			88.36(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-4	-10000	1	-19	6.7	56%	0.15	-23.3	0.66%	0	1.4	51	0
10	Jul_22_2014	82.25	87.54	87.29	87.4			87.8(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-10000	6	-19	5.98	56%	0.15	-20.7	0.66%	0	0.5	48	0

11	Jul_21_2014	82.13	87.6	87.25	87.22			87.17(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-1	-38	9.4	55%	0.15	-8.8	0.65%	0	-0.7	44	0
12	Jul_18_2014	82.01	87.67	87.29	87.24			87.04(0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	3	-40	8.32	55%	0.13	11	0.66%	0	-1	44	0
13	Jul_17_2014	81.9	87.7	87.41	87.14			86.79(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-3	-46	11.02	57%	0.13	22.5	0.66%	0	-1.5	42	0
14	Jul_16_2014	81.79	87.73	87.52	87.22			88.21(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-9	-10000	2	-41	8.18	64%	0.15	44.1	0.63%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Jul_15_2014	81.67	87.73	87.5	87.18			86.89(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-38	10	64%	0.13	53.4	0.62%	0	-1.2	49	0

16	Jul_14_2014	81.56	87.65	87.61	87.29			87.27(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-3	-41	6.87	66%	0.15	70.3	0.64%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Jul_11_2014	81.44	87.61	87.68	87.36			86.52(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-12	-48	10.81	65%	0.14	74.7	0.65%	0	-1.5	34	0
18	Jul_10_2014	81.33	87.56	87.83	87.71			87.19(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-22	14.91	63%	0.15	83.5	0.64%	0	-0.4	50	0
19	Jul_9_2014	81.21	87.47	87.91	87.86			88.03(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-6	6.42	66%	0.16	82.6	0.65%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Jul_8_2014	81.08	87.32	87.83	87.87			87.45(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	10.39	66%	0.09	76.7	0.65%	0	0.1	59	0

21	Jul_7_2014	81.01	87.2	87.98	87.98			87.59(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	29	6.93	61%	0.25	78.8	0.66%	0	0.3	59	0
22	Jul_3_2014	80.81	87.07	88.1	88.05			88.27(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	57	3.67	63%	0.19	74.1	0.69%	0	0.8	68	0
23	Jul_2_2014	80.66	86.86	88.02	87.98			87.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	0	74	5.93	63%	0.17	69.6	0.69%	0	0.7	71	0
24	Jul_1_2014	80.52	86.65	87.96	87.97			88.07(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	97	6.89	63%	0.2	68.7	0.69%	0	0.8	74	0
25	Jun_30_2014	80.36	86.44	87.82	87.79			88.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-7	102	6.31	63%		65.9	0.69%	0	0.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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