Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $87.1898 (-0.96%) ($86.7414 - $87.5151) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $87.1898(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $87.56
5 Day Moving Average   $87.71(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.83(-0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.56(-0.42%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2014	81.33	87.56	87.83	87.71			87.19(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-22	14.91	63%	0.15	83.5	0.64%	0	-0.4	50	0
2	Jul_9_2014	81.21	87.47	87.91	87.86			88.03(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-6	6.42	66%	0.16	82.6	0.65%	0	0.6	57	0
3	Jul_8_2014	81.08	87.32	87.83	87.87			87.45(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	10.39	66%	0.09	76.7	0.65%	0	0.1	59	0
4	Jul_7_2014	81.01	87.2	87.98	87.98			87.59(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	29	6.93	61%	0.25	78.8	0.66%	0	0.3	59	0
5	Jul_3_2014	80.81	87.07	88.1	88.05			88.27(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	57	3.67	63%	0.19	74.1	0.69%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Jul_2_2014	80.66	86.86	88.02	87.98			87.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	0	74	5.93	63%	0.17	69.6	0.69%	0	0.7	71	0
7	Jul_1_2014	80.52	86.65	87.96	87.97			88.07(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	97	6.89	63%	0.2	68.7	0.69%	0	0.8	74	0
8	Jun_30_2014	80.36	86.44	87.82	87.79			88.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-7	102	6.31	63%	0.19	65.9	0.69%	0	0.9	75	0
9	Jun_27_2014	80.21	86.21	87.7	88			87.95(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	-5	131	8.23	65%	0.2	70.6	0.7%	0	1	73	0
10	Jun_26_2014	80.05	85.98	87.53	88.16			87.95(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	3	160	8.08	65%	0.21	75.6	0.7%	0	1.1	74	0

11	Jun_25_2014	79.88	85.76	87.28	88.06			87.85(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	45	-10000	4	168	13.86	67%	0.2	75.2	0.71%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Jun_24_2014	79.72	85.51	87.01	87.94			87.19(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	48	-10000	4	179	17.75	66%	0.2	76	0.71%	0	0.9	77	0
13	Jun_23_2014	79.56	85.29	86.79	87.82			89.06(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	-10000	17	209	7.96	72%	0.21	76.1	0.65%	0	2	96	0
14	Jun_20_2014	79.39	84.94	86.36	87.34			88.75(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	64	-10000	18	200	9.1	72%	0.19	77.2	0.65%	0	2.2	96	0
15	Jun_19_2014	79.24	84.62	85.94	86.82			87.46(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	16	191	8.68	70%	0.19	79	0.63%	0	1.8	92	0

16	Jun_18_2014	79.09	84.38	85.6	86.39			87.25(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	16	171	14.86	70%	0.16	76.4	0.64%	0	2	90	0
17	Jun_17_2014	78.96	84.1	85.23	85.95			86.59(-0.07%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.5	49	-10000	13	155	10.05	69%	0.18	68.7	0.64%	0	1.8	91	0
18	Jun_16_2014	78.82	83.86	84.92	85.58			86.65(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	13	145	13.39	69%	0.18	62.9	0.64%	0	2.1	92	0
19	Jun_13_2014	78.68	83.61	84.58	85.22			86.14(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	10	133	9.74	65%	0.14	59.9	0.64%	0	2.1	92	0
20	Jun_12_2014	78.57	83.4	84.3	84.94			85.32(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	10	126	11.87	64%	0.13	59	0.65%	0	1.7	86	0

21	Jun_11_2014	78.47	83.27	84.11	84.68			85.04(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	11	122	5.65	60%	0.11	55.6	0.65%	0	1.7	83	0
22	Jun_10_2014	78.38	83.15	83.89	84.38			84.72(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	8	111	3.77	60%	0.09	54.9	0.67%	0	1.7	86	0
23	Jun_9_2014	78.31	83.03	83.68	84.16			84.86(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	11	107	5.65	60%	0.13	53.3	0.67%	0	2.1	82	0
24	Jun_6_2014	78.21	82.88	83.43	83.85			84.73(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	32	-10000	10	97	5.42	60%	0.13	48.9	0.67%	0	2.4	83	0
25	Jun_5_2014	78.11	82.74	83.21	83.58			84.04(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	4	87	6.18	58%		47.5	0.67%	0	2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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