Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $81.9542 (-1.14%) ($81.3503 - $82.7594) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $81.9542(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $82.15
5 Day Moving Average   $82.45(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.46(-0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.15(-0.24%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	77.19	82.15		82.45			81.95(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-1	27	11.45	60%	0.08	184.5	0.73%	0	-0.4	55	0
2	May_14_2014	77.13	82.09	82.46	82.47			82.9(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-2	27	4.99	66%	0.09	163	0.71%	0	1.4	58	0
3	May_13_2014	77.06	81.93	82.37	82.54			82.86(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	32	4.99	66%	0.08	135.4	0.73%	0	1.2	58	0
4	May_12_2014	77	81.72	82.29	82.48			82.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	1	33	5.22	66%	0.09	104.7	0.73%	0	0.8	60	0
5	May_9_2014	76.93	81.48	82.21	82.48			81.98(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	32	8.71	68%	0.08	75.1	0.73%	0	0.4	53	0

6	May_8_2014	76.87	81.28	82.18	82.45			82.06(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	1	36	10.97	68%	0.09	60.9	0.74%	0	0.5	60	0
7	May_7_2014	76.8	81.12	82.19	82.41			83.25(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	8	53	9.63	74%	0.09	58.3	0.72%	0	1.3	81	0
8	May_6_2014	76.73	80.88	82.06	82.17			82.53(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	3	62	7.48	75%	0.1	54.1	0.72%	0	1	83	0
9	May_5_2014	76.65	80.64	81.96	82.09			82.41(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	5	87	8.04	75%	0.09	50.2	0.74%	0	1	86	0
10	May_2_2014	76.58	80.46	81.89	81.95			82.02(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	3	113	8.71	71%	0.09	51.6	0.79%	0	0.9	88	0

11	May_1_2014	76.51	80.31	81.82	81.87			81.86(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-10000	-1	140	10.72	71%	0.09	57.2	0.79%	0	0.9	84	0
12	Apr_30_2014	76.44	80.15	81.69	81.91			82.04(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	-0	158	10.82	67%	0.09	65.7	0.81%	0	1.1	72	0
13	Apr_29_2014	76.37	79.97	81.46	81.92			82.11(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	3	173	8.28	67%	0.1	72	0.81%	0	1.3	74	0
14	Apr_28_2014	76.29	79.76	81.11	81.82			81.74(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	44	-10000	-0	177	11.17	67%	0.09	77.8	0.82%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Apr_25_2014	76.22	79.57	80.71	81.83			81.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	2	171	8.87	67%	0.11	85.3	0.82%	0	1.3	63	0

16	Apr_24_2014	76.14	79.34	80.33	81.75			82.09(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	10	161	8.88	62%	0.11	87.3	0.82%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Apr_23_2014	76.06	79.05	79.99	81.43			82.06(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	14	141	8.56	59%	0.11	85.3	0.87%	0	1.9	66	0
18	Apr_22_2014	75.98	78.78	79.61	80.92			81.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	18	119	6.35	59%	0.12	83.4	0.88%	0	1.9	66	0
19	Apr_21_2014	75.89	78.49	79.2	80.29			81.76(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	25	90	8.51	59%	0.11	75.9	0.88%	0	2.2	68	0
20	Apr_17_2014	75.81	78.21	78.88	79.42			81.21(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	21	55	18.55	59%	0.11	67.4	0.88%	0	2.2	67	0

21	Apr_16_2014	75.73	77.94	78.65	78.7			80.48(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	10	35	13.04	58%	0.09	60.7	0.88%	0	2	69	0
22	Apr_15_2014	75.66	77.7	78.45	78.35			79.52(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	36	22.44	56%	0.08	58.1	0.87%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Apr_14_2014	75.6	77.53	78.32	78.12			78.47(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	5	39	9.96	54%	0.05	55.1	0.85%	0	0.8	62	0
24	Apr_11_2014	75.56	77.39	78.27	77.94			77.41(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-9	39	13.46	47%	0.04	44.5	0.88%	0	0	62	0
25	Apr_10_2014	75.53	77.29	78.34	78.24			77.63(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-9	68	12.3	47%		43.9	0.89%	0	0.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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