Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 9, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLE latest price $82.0592 (0.53%) ($81.6216 - $82.2825) on Wed. Apr. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $82.0592(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLE advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(91%)    OIH(86%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLE price   XLE will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.43(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.99(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.05(3.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLE price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2014	76.06	79.05	79.99	81.43			82.06(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	14	141	8.56	59%	0.11	85.3	0.87%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Apr_22_2014	75.98	78.78	79.61	80.92			81.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	18	119	6.35	59%	0.12	83.4	0.88%	0	1.9	66	0
3	Apr_21_2014	75.89	78.49	79.2	80.29			81.76(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	25	90	8.51	59%	0.11	75.9	0.88%	0	2.2	68	0
4	Apr_17_2014	75.81	78.21	78.88	79.42			81.21(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	21	55	18.55	59%	0.11	67.4	0.88%	0	2.2	67	0
5	Apr_16_2014	75.73	77.94	78.65	78.7			80.48(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	10	35	13.04	58%	0.09	60.7	0.88%	0	2	69	0

6	Apr_15_2014	75.66	77.7	78.45	78.35			79.52(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	36	22.44	56%	0.08	58.1	0.87%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Apr_14_2014	75.6	77.53	78.32	78.12			78.47(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	5	39	9.96	54%	0.05	55.1	0.85%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Apr_11_2014	75.56	77.39	78.27	77.94			77.41(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-9	39	13.46	47%	0.04	44.5	0.88%	0	0	62	0
9	Apr_10_2014	75.53	77.29	78.34	78.24			77.63(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-9	68	12.3	47%	0.05	43.9	0.89%	0	0.3	62	0
10	Apr_9_2014	75.49	77.18	78.3	78.56			78.72(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	0	99	7.23	50%	0.07	45.5	0.87%	0	1.2	71	0

11	Apr_8_2014	75.44	77.04	78.07	78.55			78.37(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	-0	106	11.64	50%	0.07	47	0.88%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Apr_7_2014	75.39	76.91	77.92	78.56			77.59(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	27	-10000	-2	112	11.24	48%	0.04	46.5	0.88%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Apr_4_2014	75.36	76.87	77.78	78.63			78.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	6	129	14	51%	0.08	53.2	0.85%	0	1.7	77	0
14	Apr_3_2014	75.3	76.74	77.51	78.44			79.2(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	13	131	10.8	51%	0.09	53.8	0.86%	0	2.2	81	0
15	Apr_2_2014	75.23	76.59	77.19	77.99			78.69(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	-10000	14	119	10.01	51%	0.08	52.8	0.86%	0	2.2	80	0

16	Apr_1_2014	75.17	76.45	76.88	77.53			78.41(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	10	93	10.25	51%	0.08	45.9	0.87%	0	2.4	68	0
17	Mar_31_2014	75.11	76.35	76.65	77.19			77.95(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	29	-10000	11	81	8.45	51%	0.07	43	0.87%	0	2.3	66	0
18	Mar_28_2014	75.06	76.24	76.42	76.81			77.95(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	21	-10000	10	52	9.96	51%	0.07	30	0.88%	0	2.8	56	0
19	Mar_27_2014	75.01	76.15	76.14	76.46			76.98(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	6	23	11.4	48%	0.05	27	0.88%	0	1.7	51	0
20	Mar_26_2014	74.97	76.09	75.95	76.26			76.36(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	4	2	8.57	48%	0.04	19	0.88%	0	0.6	47	0

21	Mar_25_2014	74.94	76.06	75.9	76.13			76.72(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	3	-6	7.18	48%	0.04	15.5	0.88%	0	1.5	56	0
22	Mar_24_2014	74.91	76.04	75.81	76.04			76.04(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	3	-17	10.04	46%	0.03	21.8	0.88%	0	0	43	0
23	Mar_21_2014	74.89	76.06	75.87	75.95			76.2(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	6	-12	14.13	46%	0.04	30	0.89%	0	0.3	53	0
24	Mar_20_2014	74.86	76.06	75.91	75.76			75.99(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	5	-20	8.71	46%	0.03	31.1	0.9%	0	-0	47	0
25	Mar_19_2014	74.84	76.01	75.96	75.6			75.69(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-27	9.32	46%		41.3	0.91%	0	-0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.