Trading Signals: XLC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: XLC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 19, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund)
XLC latest price $55.5400 (-0.27%) ($55.1300 - $56.3600) on Fri. Jun. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $55.5400(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLC advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLC advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(51%)    IVE(21%)    IWD(18%)    SPY(18%)    DIA(17%)
Factors Impacting XLC price   XLC will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    XBI(-3%)    TBT(-3%)    VXX(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.43(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.4(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.95(1.07%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   38.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLC price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.41%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2020	50.52	54.95		55.43	55.62	55.69	55.54(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	14	17	4.74	61%	0	75.6	2.19%	0	0.7	57	-0.8
2	Jun_18_2020	50.52	54.85	55.4	55.15	55.2	55.52	55.69(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	40	10	15	4.7	57%	0.02	78	2.19%	0	0.9	61	-0.7
3	Jun_17_2020	50.51	54.75	55.29	54.74	54.89	55.55	55.51(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	90	16	10	2.62	61%	0	84.5	2.24%	0	0.8	62	-0.9
4	Jun_16_2020	50.51	54.6	55.25	54.89	54.6	54.88	55.44(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	20	8	14	4.34	50%	0	86.2	2.29%	0	0.8	58	-1
5	Jun_15_2020	50.51	54.45	55.19	55.08	54.81	54.23	54.99(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-90	-12	13	4.11	50%	0	87.7	2.72%	0	0.5	58	-1.3

6	Jun_12_2020	50.51	54.28	55.16	55.39	55.35	54.32	54.12(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-16	-130	-26	16	4.94	50%	-0.06	81.6	2.92%	0	-0.1	55	-1.4
7	Jun_11_2020	50.54	54.12	55.18	55.67	55.79	55.39	53.65(-4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-40	-20	25	4.67	47%	-0.06	74.8	3.16%	0	-0.3	55	-2.6
8	Jun_10_2020	50.57	53.96	55.22	55.87	56.03	56.39	56.24(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	50	10	41	2.64	53%	0	69.1	3.16%	0	1.3	71	0.9
9	Jun_9_2020	50.57	53.69	55.01	55.62	55.61	56.18	56.41(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	70	14	44	3.55	49%	0.12	67.2	3.21%	0	1.5	79	1
10	Jun_8_2020	50.51	53.46	54.75	55.31	55.27	55.68	56.55(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	50	17	44	3.22	49%	0	71.1	3.33%	0	1.8	81	1.6

11	Jun_5_2020	50.51	53.21	54.45	54.93	54.92	55.03	55.51(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	10	8	42	2.78	46%	-0.02	78.1	3.33%	0	1.5	82	2
12	Jun_4_2020	50.52	52.98	54.24	54.63	54.65	54.86	54.62(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	30	4	44	2.24	48%	-0.02	76.8	3.36%	0	1.1	82	1.6
13	Jun_3_2020	50.53	52.76	54.15	54.46	54.42	54.82	55.03(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	50	10	55	3.22	47%	-0.02	69.7	3.38%	0	1.4	88	1.7
14	Jun_2_2020	50.54	52.51	53.89	54.3	54.14	54.44	54.86(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	30	10	58	3.47	48%	0	73.6	3.41%	0	1.5	76	1.3
15	Jun_1_2020	50.54	52.26	53.64	54.1	53.94	54.01	54.64(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	0	4	54	6.93	48%	-0.02	73.9	3.44%	0	1.5	65	1

16	May_29_2020	50.55	52.01	53.31	53.91	53.95	53.84	54.02(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10	1	49	6.11	48%	-0.02	74.5	3.46%	0	1.3	63	1.3
17	May_28_2020	50.56	51.82	52.98	53.91	53.88	53.87	53.73(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	0	-2	45	4.07	48%	-0.04	81.6	3.49%	0	1.2	67	0.9
18	May_27_2020	50.58	51.65	52.63	53.79	53.83	54.06	54.24(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	30	7	50	5.95	47%	0	94.5	3.49%	0	1.7	74	1.5
19	May_26_2020	50.58	51.35	52.29	53.41	53.74	53.89	53.86(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	11	47	3.65	47%	-0.08	90.7	3.52%	0	1.6	71	1.3
20	May_22_2020	50.62	51.11	52.08	53.1	53.27	53.61	53.71(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	50	9	48	3.87	44%	-0.02	89.4	3.51%	0	1.7	72	1.2

21	May_21_2020	50.63	50.85	51.87	52.61	52.92	53.59	53.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	110	22	52	4.02	44%	0.06	82.6	3.54%	0	1.7	72	1.1
22	May_20_2020	50.6	50.58	51.61	52.04	52.15	52.92	53.77(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	110	25	45	4.53	43%	0	73.4	3.54%	0	2.1	68	1.5
23	May_19_2020	50.6	50.28	51.23	51.29	51.27	52.25	52.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	130	20	28	5.53	43%	-0.02	59.8	3.52%	0	1.3	61	0.9
24	May_18_2020	50.61	49.99	51	51	50.74	51.37	52.33(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	70	17	28	2.85	43%	-0.04	51.7	3.53%	0	1.6	72	1.4
25	May_15_2020	50.63	49.77	50.75	50.92	50.59	50.29	51.25(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-60	-1	22	3.94	43%		57.9	3.52%	0	1	62	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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