Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $54.1568 (1.07%) ($53.9772 - $54.2733) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $54.1568(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(89%)    VT(88%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(85%)    IWD(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.8(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.67(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.1(1.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	51.46	53.1	53.67	53.8			54.16(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	98	4.56	58%	0.08	60.5	0.69%	0	1.6	72	0
2	Jul_24_2017	51.42	53.01	53.54	53.67			53.58(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	84	2.76	58%	0.06	55.6	0.71%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Jul_21_2017	51.39	52.94	53.47	53.67			53.63(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	0	98	2.72	58%	0.06	55.5	0.72%	0	1.1	70	0
4	Jul_20_2017	51.36	52.86	53.37	53.7			53.62(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	3	110	4.52	60%	0.04	55.5	0.72%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Jul_19_2017	51.34	52.78	53.25	53.65			54.02(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	7	104	3.42	62%	0.08	48.7	0.72%	0	2	65	0

6	Jul_18_2017	51.3	52.7	53.09	53.52			53.51(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	7	103	2.32	60%	0.06	44.2	0.71%	0	1.5	66	0
7	Jul_17_2017	51.27	52.66	53.01	53.38			53.73(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	9	97	2.99	60%	0.06	42.4	0.71%	0	2.1	64	0
8	Jul_14_2017	51.24	52.59	52.86	53.21			53.62(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	85	3.25	60%	0.08	34.5	0.71%	0	2.2	64	0
9	Jul_13_2017	51.2	52.52	52.69	53			53.35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	12	65	2.13	58%	0.04	26.3	0.72%	0	2.1	64	0
10	Jul_12_2017	51.18	52.48	52.6	52.78			53.41(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	-10000	9	53	2.9	55%	0.06	20.9	0.73%	0	2.7	66	0

11	Jul_11_2017	51.15	52.46	52.47	52.6			52.8(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	1	28	2.01	53%	0.04	26.2	0.74%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Jul_10_2017	51.13	52.45	52.42	52.58			52.88(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	23	3.86	53%	0.06	34.4	0.74%	0	1.3	49	0
13	Jul_7_2017	51.1	52.44	52.36	52.45			52.55(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	6	10	2.62	53%	0.04	35.6	0.73%	0	0.4	51	0
14	Jul_6_2017	51.08	52.42	52.31	52.33			52.27(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-3	-6	4.93	53%	0.02	27.9	0.73%	0	-0.5	51	0
15	Jul_5_2017	51.07	52.4	52.31	52.39			52.51(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	5	-8	5.71	53%	0.06	41.3	0.73%	0	0.3	48	0

16	Jul_3_2017	51.04	52.37	52.31	52.3			52.68(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	3	-25	3.11	53%	0.04	42	0.73%	0	0.9	43	0
17	Jun_30_2017	51.02	52.37	52.29	52.25			52.23(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-29	3.13	51%	0.06	46.4	0.72%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Jun_29_2017	50.99	52.37	52.31	52.26			51.94(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-1	-34	4.41	51%	0.04	59.2	0.71%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	Jun_28_2017	50.97	52.33	52.34	52.28			52.57(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	6	-28	3.3	56%	0.06	62.5	0.7%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Jun_27_2017	50.94	52.27	52.35	52.17			52.1(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-5	-34	3.61	54%	0.04	53.3	0.7%	0	-0.4	53	0

21	Jun_26_2017	50.92	52.22	52.45	52.26			52.42(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-6	4.05	54%	0.06	61.7	0.7%	0	0.4	57	0
22	Jun_23_2017	50.89	52.16	52.47	52.35			52.26(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	13	3.35	52%	0.04	65.4	0.71%	0	0.2	56	0
23	Jun_22_2017	50.87	52.11	52.52	52.38			52.06(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-2	27	3.35	52%	0.04	69	0.71%	0	-0.1	52	0
24	Jun_21_2017	50.85	52.07	52.53	52.41			52(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-7	32	4.76	49%	0.04	72.7	0.71%	0	-0.1	53	0
25	Jun_20_2017	50.83	52.01	52.54	52.54			52.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-7	54	3.46	51%		69.2	0.72%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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