Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $50.7110 (-0.08%) ($50.5761 - $50.9132) on Fri. Mar. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $50.7110(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(89%)    VT(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.69(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.6(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.39(0.64%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2017	48.12	50.39	50.6	50.69			50.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	21	2.96	68%	0.15	27.3	0.69%	0	0.8	60	0
2	Mar_2_2017	48.05	50.36	50.57	50.64			50.75(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	4	29	4.57	68%	0.13	13.3	0.69%	0	1	67	0
3	Mar_1_2017	47.99	50.33	50.55	50.57			51.3(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	16	-10000	8	38	5.9	73%	0.15	0	0.68%	0	2.6	77	0
4	Feb_28_2017	47.92	50.33	50.47	50.44			50.32(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-3	39	3.86	71%	0.13	-18.3	0.64%	0	0.2	69	0
5	Feb_27_2017	47.86	50.27	50.49	50.44			50.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	0	55	6.3	71%	0.1	0	0.64%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Feb_24_2017	47.81	50.29	50.48	50.44			50.49(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	0	57	4.81	71%	0.13	22.7	0.64%	0	0.6	57	0
7	Feb_23_2017	47.75	50.31	50.41	50.49			50.38(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-1	52	3.54	71%	0.1	48.6	0.64%	0	0.2	57	0
8	Feb_22_2017	47.7	50.33	50.35	50.51			50.66(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	47	5.11	71%	0.13	70.1	0.64%	0	0.8	56	0
9	Feb_21_2017	47.64	50.32	50.25	50.5			50.53(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-1	39	7.38	74%	0.15	90.8	0.64%	0	0.6	59	0
10	Feb_17_2017	47.57	50.27	50.2	50.51			50.36(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	2	37	3.96	74%	0.11	76.3	0.65%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Feb_16_2017	47.52	50.21	50.18	50.47			50.51(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	10	24	3.2	74%	0.11	64.9	0.65%	0	0.5	42	0
12	Feb_15_2017	47.47	50.13	50.13	50.31			50.51(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	9	-7	3.1	74%	0.11	50.8	0.65%	0	0.6	39	0
13	Feb_14_2017	47.42	50.06	50.1	50.16			50.58(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	12	-33	3.66	74%	0.13	43.2	0.65%	0	0.8	43	0
14	Feb_13_2017	47.36	49.98	50.04	49.97			50.59(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	7	-65	3.71	74%	0.13	35.6	0.65%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Feb_10_2017	47.3	49.9	50.01	49.97			50.17(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	0	-62	3.48	68%	0.08	32.4	0.67%	0	0.4	62	0

16	Feb_9_2017	47.26	49.85	50.06	49.85			49.72(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-38	8.12	70%	0.11	34.3	0.68%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Feb_8_2017	47.21	49.82	50.19	49.92			49.74(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-6	3	4.69	70%	0.11	38.5	0.72%	0	-0.1	64	0
18	Feb_7_2017	47.16	49.78	50.31	50.03			49.62(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-4	43	4.2	73%	0.11	45	0.72%	0	-0.2	59	0
19	Feb_6_2017	47.11	49.74	50.41	50.11			50.02(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-4	77	2.72	76%	0.13	51.6	0.73%	0	0.4	66	0
20	Feb_3_2017	47.05	49.68	50.35	50.18			50.15(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-8	88	5.54	76%	0.11	56.5	0.73%	0	0.6	64	0

21	Feb_2_2017	47	49.61	50.27	50.32			50.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-10	105	5.07	76%	0.13	63.6	0.73%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Feb_1_2017	46.94	49.55	50.16	50.51			50.29(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-7	121	10.07	76%	0.11	70.8	0.73%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Jan_31_2017	46.89	49.44	50.04	50.63			50.04(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	30	-10000	-6	139	5.53	76%	0.11	71.8	0.74%	0	0.7	65	0
24	Jan_30_2017	46.84	49.34	49.93	50.74			50.34(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	50	-10000	12	163	6.04	76%	0.11	73.3	0.73%	0	1.1	69	0
25	Jan_27_2017	46.79	49.23	49.8	50.53			50.86(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	19	157	4.65	80%		62.8	0.71%	0	1.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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