Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $48.2448 (0.12%) ($47.8812 - $48.2543) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $48.2448(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.96(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.63(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.96(2.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	45.89	46.96	47.63	47.96			48.24(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	10	124	6.71	48%	0.02	109.4	0.84%	0	1.6	86	0
2	Dec_5_2016	45.88	46.81	47.48	47.77			48.19(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	9	117	5.31	48%	0.04	101.7	0.85%	0	1.7	87	0
3	Dec_2_2016	45.86	46.62	47.29	47.58			47.81(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	4	103	6.26	48%	0.04	86.2	0.85%	0	1.3	86	0
4	Dec_1_2016	45.84	46.45	47.14	47.49			47.8(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	5	93	8.21	48%	0.04	75.3	0.86%	0	1.3	65	0
5	Nov_30_2016	45.82	46.27	46.99	47.39			47.78(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	7	88	7.43	48%	0.04	67.4	0.86%	0	1.4	71	0

6	Nov_29_2016	45.8	46.11	46.84	47.25			47.27(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10000	5	94	3.43	45%	0.04	63.2	0.85%	0	1.1	76	0
7	Nov_28_2016	45.78	45.98	46.73	47.15			47.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	10	104	4.53	45%	0.07	59.6	0.86%	0	1.2	77	0
8	Nov_25_2016	45.75	45.85	46.62	46.95			47.41(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	11	113	1.6	45%	0.13	54.2	0.86%	0	1.5	83	0
9	Nov_23_2016	45.69	45.71	46.54	46.72			47.27(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	10	129	3.5	43%	0.09	48.8	0.87%	0	1.6	83	0
10	Nov_22_2016	45.65	45.57	46.42	46.52			47.06(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	6	140	5.14	43%	0.02	43.7	0.87%	0	1.6	83	0

11	Nov_21_2016	45.64	45.45	46.24	46.39			46.77(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	6	142	3.8	43%	0.07	42.9	0.87%	0	1.5	77	0
12	Nov_18_2016	45.61	45.36	46.07	46.26			46.23(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	1	140	3.89	40%	0.04	46.9	0.86%	0	1.1	68	0
13	Nov_17_2016	45.59	45.3	45.9	46.23			46.29(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-10000	-4	134	4.14	40%	0.07	51.7	0.86%	0	1.3	70	0
14	Nov_16_2016	45.56	45.23	45.71	46.31			46.27(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	142	3.72	40%	0.07	63.3	0.86%	0	1.4	70	0
15	Nov_15_2016	45.53	45.16	45.51	46.29			46.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	12	142	6.96	40%	0.09	70.4	0.86%	0	1.7	70	0

16	Nov_14_2016	45.49	45.08	45.32	46.06			46.17(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	11	120	8.34	40%	0.07	66.9	0.87%	0	1.6	68	0
17	Nov_11_2016	45.46	44.98	45.17	45.84			46.06(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	17	99	6.71	40%	0	57	0.88%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Nov_10_2016	45.46	44.89	45.03	45.51			46.7(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	-10000	25	72	20.34	42%	0.04	41.2	0.86%	0	3	69	0
19	Nov_9_2016	45.44	44.76	44.8	45.02			46.17(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	21	-10000	20	22	14.77	39%	0.02	9.9	0.85%	0	3.1	64	0
20	Nov_8_2016	45.43	44.67	44.63	44.63			45.21(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	0	-10000	8	-24	5.29	31%	0	-31.9	0.81%	0	1.7	50	0

21	Nov_7_2016	45.43	44.63	44.63	44.48			45.07(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-7	-10000	4	-41	7.1	31%	0	-55.1	0.81%	0	1.4	55	0
22	Nov_4_2016	45.43	44.62	44.57	44.41			44.39(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-41	4.42	24%	0	-71.6	0.79%	0	-0.8	53	0
23	Nov_3_2016	45.43	44.65	44.63	44.47			44.24(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-25	4.24	24%	-0.02	-63.9	0.79%	0	-1.1	52	0
24	Nov_2_2016	45.44	44.71	44.71	44.54			44.23(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-5	-6	5.84	24%	0	-54.1	0.79%	0	-1.3	55	0
25	Nov_1_2016	45.44	44.77	44.8	44.63			44.47(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	13	14.23	24%		-56.3	0.79%	0	-0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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