Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.7715 (1.18%) ($46.2932 - $46.7906) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $46.7715(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.39(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.24(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.45(2.91%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	45.64	45.45	46.24	46.39			46.77(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	6	142	3.8	43%	0.07	42.9	0.87%	0	1.5	77	0
2	Nov_18_2016	45.61	45.36	46.07	46.26			46.23(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	1	140	3.89	40%	0.04	46.9	0.86%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Nov_17_2016	45.59	45.3	45.9	46.23			46.29(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-10000	-4	134	4.14	40%	0.07	51.7	0.86%	0	1.3	70	0
4	Nov_16_2016	45.56	45.23	45.71	46.31			46.27(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	142	3.72	40%	0.07	63.3	0.86%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Nov_15_2016	45.53	45.16	45.51	46.29			46.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	12	142	6.96	40%	0.09	70.4	0.86%	0	1.7	70	0

6	Nov_14_2016	45.49	45.08	45.32	46.06			46.17(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	11	120	8.34	40%	0.07	66.9	0.87%	0	1.6	68	0
7	Nov_11_2016	45.46	44.98	45.17	45.84			46.06(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	17	99	6.71	40%	0	57	0.88%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Nov_10_2016	45.46	44.89	45.03	45.51			46.7(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	-10000	25	72	20.34	42%	0.04	41.2	0.86%	0	3	69	0
9	Nov_9_2016	45.44	44.76	44.8	45.02			46.17(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	21	-10000	20	22	14.77	39%	0.02	9.9	0.85%	0	3.1	64	0
10	Nov_8_2016	45.43	44.67	44.63	44.63			45.21(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	0	-10000	8	-24	5.29	31%	0	-31.9	0.81%	0	1.7	50	0

11	Nov_7_2016	45.43	44.63	44.63	44.48			45.07(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-7	-10000	4	-41	7.1	31%	0	-55.1	0.81%	0	1.4	55	0
12	Nov_4_2016	45.43	44.62	44.57	44.41			44.39(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-41	4.42	24%	0	-71.6	0.79%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Nov_3_2016	45.43	44.65	44.63	44.47			44.24(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-25	4.24	24%	-0.02	-63.9	0.79%	0	-1.1	52	0
14	Nov_2_2016	45.44	44.71	44.71	44.54			44.23(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-5	-6	5.84	24%	0	-54.1	0.79%	0	-1.3	55	0
15	Nov_1_2016	45.44	44.77	44.8	44.63			44.47(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	13	14.23	24%	0	-56.3	0.79%	0	-0.8	54	0

16	Oct_31_2016	45.44	44.8	44.83	44.68			44.72(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-5	22	7.16	24%	-0.02	-49.4	0.79%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Oct_28_2016	45.45	44.84	44.8	44.76			44.71(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-3	19	5.31	24%	0	-35.4	0.79%	0	-0.3	42	0
18	Oct_27_2016	45.45	44.88	44.77	44.82			44.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-5	17	4.76	24%	-0.04	-26.5	0.79%	0	-0.7	46	0
19	Oct_26_2016	45.47	44.92	44.73	44.91			44.65(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	3	3.35	24%	-0.02	-21.6	0.79%	0	-0.6	35	0
20	Oct_25_2016	45.48	44.97	44.71	44.91			44.71(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-0	-10000	0	-1	3.37	24%	-0.02	-13.7	0.79%	0	-0.6	42	0

21	Oct_24_2016	45.49	44.97	44.69	45			45.13(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	8	-4	3.02	25%	0	-7.8	0.79%	0	0.3	51	0
22	Oct_21_2016	45.49	44.99	44.68	44.85			45.02(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	8	-28	3.86	25%	0.02	-14.7	0.79%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Oct_20_2016	45.48	45	44.65	44.71			45.04(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	10	-54	2.73	25%	0	-18.3	0.79%	0	0.1	41	0
24	Oct_19_2016	45.48	45.02	44.7	44.53			45.08(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	7	-68	2.68	25%	0.02	-23.1	0.79%	0	0.1	46	0
25	Oct_18_2016	45.47	45.03	44.72	44.4			44.75(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	4	-89	2.92	25%		-24.3	0.79%	0	-0.6	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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