Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.3791 (0.02%) ($46.3125 - $46.5842) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $46.3791(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.39(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.3(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.36(0.04%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.47% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2016	44.5	46.36	46.3	46.39			46.38(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	2	1	2.26	55%	0.09	151.1	1.08%	0	0.1	55	0
2	Aug_9_2016	44.46	46.34	46.32	46.33			46.37(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	3	-0	3.99	52%	0.07	168.5	1.09%	0	0.1	47	0
3	Aug_8_2016	44.43	46.31	46.34	46.25			46.51(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	3	-4	4.73	52%	0.07	132.1	1.1%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Aug_5_2016	44.4	46.24	46.31	46.16			46.42(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-16	3.16	52%	0.09	104.5	1.11%	0	0.4	42	0
5	Aug_4_2016	44.36	46.16	46.31	46.15			46.26(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-20	3.55	52%	0.09	76.3	1.11%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Aug_3_2016	44.32	46.04	46.3	46.21			46.07(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-4	-18	3.48	50%	0.11	65.2	1.12%	0	0	48	0
7	Aug_2_2016	44.27	45.92	46.34	46.32			45.96(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-5	6.05	50%	0.09	63.2	1.14%	0	0	55	0
8	Aug_1_2016	44.23	45.8	46.39	46.45			46.08(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-1	13	3.57	50%	0.09	70.3	1.14%	0	0.3	59	0
9	Jul_29_2016	44.19	45.71	46.45	46.48			46.34(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	0	34	4.27	50%	0.14	69.9	1.14%	0	0.6	74	0
10	Jul_28_2016	44.13	45.6	46.46	46.47			46.58(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	53	3.67	50%	0.11	61.9	1.14%	0	0.8	81	0

11	Jul_27_2016	44.08	45.45	46.43	46.39			46.65(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	4.26	50%	0.16	51.3	1.15%	0	1	87	0
12	Jul_26_2016	44.01	45.26	46.36	46.36			46.59(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	1	100	4.17	50%	0.11	39.1	1.16%	0	1	87	0
13	Jul_25_2016	43.96	45.05	46.28	46.33			46.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-4	124	4.84	50%	0.11	27.3	1.16%	0	0.8	87	0
14	Jul_22_2016	43.91	44.93	46.16	46.43			46.31(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-1	143	3.89	50%	0.14	26.1	1.16%	0	1	72	0
15	Jul_21_2016	43.85	44.89	46.01	46.46			46.19(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	-0	155	3.63	50%	0.14	30.6	1.16%	0	0.9	72	0

16	Jul_20_2016	43.79	44.83	45.77	46.47			46.47(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-10000	4	165	4.01	50%	0.14	34	1.16%	0	1.2	79	0
17	Jul_19_2016	43.73	44.74	45.49	46.35			46.46(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	6	171	3.51	53%	0.16	35.4	1.16%	0	1.3	82	0
18	Jul_18_2016	43.66	44.67	45.18	46.2			46.73(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	13	177	2.96	53%	0.16	35.7	1.18%	0	1.6	86	0
19	Jul_15_2016	43.59	44.56	44.91	45.84			46.43(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-10000	13	160	3.63	53%	0.18	29.1	1.18%	0	1.6	66	0
20	Jul_14_2016	43.51	44.47	44.67	45.49			46.26(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	-10000	20	126	4.98	53%	0.18	18.7	1.18%	0	1.7	50	0

21	Jul_13_2016	43.43	44.37	44.37	44.96			45.86(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	18	75	3.93	53%	0.16	-0.4	1.18%	0	1.5	52	0
22	Jul_12_2016	43.36	44.29	44.05	44.49			45.73(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	18	20	6.75	53%	0.16	-20.5	1.18%	0	1.5	52	0
23	Jul_11_2016	43.29	44.29	43.71	44.01			44.91(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	6	-45	4.62	50%	0.16	-42.1	1.18%	0	0.8	47	0
24	Jul_8_2016	43.22	44.23	43.58	43.85			44.69(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	5	-69	5.24	50%	0.14	-46.3	1.18%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Jul_7_2016	43.16	44.27	43.65	43.73			43.61(0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	2	-70	4.26	46%		-44.3	1.14%	0	-0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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