Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.6456 (0.12%) ($46.3030 - $46.8074) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $46.6456(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.39(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.43(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.45(2.63%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2016	44.08	45.45	46.43	46.39			46.65(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	4.26	50%	0.16	51.3	1.15%	0	1	87	0
2	Jul_26_2016	44.01	45.26	46.36	46.36			46.59(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	1	100	4.17	50%	0.11	39.1	1.16%	0	1	87	0
3	Jul_25_2016	43.96	45.05	46.28	46.33			46.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-4	124	4.84	50%	0.11	27.3	1.16%	0	0.8	87	0
4	Jul_22_2016	43.91	44.93	46.16	46.43			46.31(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-1	143	3.89	50%	0.14	26.1	1.16%	0	1	72	0
5	Jul_21_2016	43.85	44.89	46.01	46.46			46.19(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	-0	155	3.63	50%	0.14	30.6	1.16%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Jul_20_2016	43.79	44.83	45.77	46.47			46.47(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-10000	4	165	4.01	50%	0.14	34	1.16%	0	1.2	79	0
7	Jul_19_2016	43.73	44.74	45.49	46.35			46.46(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	6	171	3.51	53%	0.16	35.4	1.16%	0	1.3	82	0
8	Jul_18_2016	43.66	44.67	45.18	46.2			46.73(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	13	177	2.96	53%	0.16	35.7	1.18%	0	1.6	86	0
9	Jul_15_2016	43.59	44.56	44.91	45.84			46.43(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-10000	13	160	3.63	53%	0.18	29.1	1.18%	0	1.6	66	0
10	Jul_14_2016	43.51	44.47	44.67	45.49			46.26(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	-10000	20	126	4.98	53%	0.18	18.7	1.18%	0	1.7	50	0

11	Jul_13_2016	43.43	44.37	44.37	44.96			45.86(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	18	75	3.93	53%	0.16	-0.4	1.18%	0	1.5	52	0
12	Jul_12_2016	43.36	44.29	44.05	44.49			45.73(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	18	20	6.75	53%	0.16	-20.5	1.18%	0	1.5	52	0
13	Jul_11_2016	43.29	44.29	43.71	44.01			44.91(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	6	-45	4.62	50%	0.16	-42.1	1.18%	0	0.8	47	0
14	Jul_8_2016	43.22	44.23	43.58	43.85			44.69(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	5	-69	5.24	50%	0.14	-46.3	1.18%	0	0.5	48	0
15	Jul_7_2016	43.16	44.27	43.65	43.73			43.61(0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	2	-70	4.26	46%	0.09	-44.3	1.14%	0	-0.7	43	0

16	Jul_6_2016	43.12	44.38	43.79	43.69			43.5(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	6	-66	5.84	46%	0.14	-37.9	1.15%	0	-0.9	44	0
17	Jul_5_2016	43.06	44.48	43.94	43.53			43.32(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	8	-70	5.57	46%	0.12	-37.3	1.16%	0	-1.2	44	0
18	Jul_1_2016	43.01	44.6	44.12	43.33			44.12(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	2	-83	4.96	49%	0.19	-40.4	1.14%	0	-0.5	46	0
19	Jun_30_2016	42.93	44.65	44.19	43.27			44.1(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-34	-10000	-13	-97	5.98	49%	0.16	-40.8	1.15%	0	-0.6	43	0
20	Jun_29_2016	42.86	44.68	44.25	43.6			43.41(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-14	-87	6.66	46%	0.14	-33.7	1.13%	0	-1.4	35	0

21	Jun_28_2016	42.8	44.75	44.38	43.94			42.69(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-10000	-19	-83	10.37	42%	0.12	-25.6	1.11%	0	-2.3	27	0
22	Jun_27_2016	42.75	44.85	44.57	44.42			42.32(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-34	-10000	-23	-68	9.06	42%	0.09	-12.1	1.11%	0	-3.2	27	0
23	Jun_24_2016	42.71	44.98	44.83	44.99			43.8(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-17	-10000	-10	-38	12.45	49%	0.12	19.8	1.03%	0	-2.3	34	0
24	Jun_23_2016	42.66	45.03	44.98	45.21			45.8(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	11	-16	3.56	62%	0.21	49	0.87%	0	1.7	57	0
25	Jun_22_2016	42.57	45	44.94	45			45.1(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	6	-27	3.04	58%		58.1	0.87%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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