Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $45.1799 (0.57%) ($45.1514 - $45.7415) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $45.1799(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    XLF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.76(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.06(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.94(0.53%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	42.4	44.94	45.06	44.76			45.18(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	5	-13	5.97	58%	0.21	47	0.88%	0	0.5	61	0
2	Jun_17_2016	42.31	44.88	45.09	44.66			44.92(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	5.93	62%	0.21	40.5	0.88%	0	0.1	54	0
3	Jun_16_2016	42.22	44.82	45.12	44.72			44.72(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-8	-3	5.87	62%	0.24	34.9	0.91%	0	-0.2	52	0
4	Jun_15_2016	42.12	44.76	45.12	44.88			44.58(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-10000	-13	3	4.17	62%	0.21	35.4	0.91%	0	-0.3	43	0
5	Jun_14_2016	42.03	44.76	45.13	45.15			44.38(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-12	24	7.56	62%	0.21	46.7	0.91%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Jun_13_2016	41.94	44.73	45.13	45.39			44.71(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-9	47	5.32	62%	0.19	64.5	0.91%	0	-0	57	0
7	Jun_10_2016	41.86	44.68	45.16	45.57			45.21(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	0	78	4.81	70%	0.24	66.9	0.92%	0	0.7	68	0
8	Jun_9_2016	41.76	44.62	45.12	45.56			45.55(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	8	97	3.97	70%	0.26	70.1	0.92%	0	1.3	76	0
9	Jun_8_2016	41.65	44.52	45.07	45.4			45.88(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	14	114	3.94	63%	0.24	66.7	0.91%	0	1.9	82	0
10	Jun_7_2016	41.55	44.42	44.94	45.12			45.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	11	96	3.64	63%	0.1	62.3	0.95%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Jun_6_2016	41.51	44.3	44.81	44.89			45.6(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	8	80	6.93	63%	0.24	43	0.95%	0	2.1	63	0
12	Jun_3_2016	41.41	44.2	44.63	44.71			45.13(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	4	68	4.97	61%	0.22	31.8	0.96%	0	1.6	66	0
13	Jun_2_2016	41.32	44.11	44.48	44.62			44.76(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-10000	-4	55	3.38	61%	0.19	16	0.95%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Jun_1_2016	41.24	44.05	44.35	44.7			44.51(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-1	59	4.91	66%	0.19	6.7	0.96%	0	0.9	58	0
15	May_31_2016	41.16	44.02	44.3	44.73			44.45(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	1	64	4.45	61%	0.27	0.8	0.97%	0	0.8	56	0

16	May_27_2016	41.05	44.03	44.28	44.71			44.68(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	8	78	4.31	66%	0.15	0.8	1%	0	1.2	64	0
17	May_26_2016	40.99	44.03	44.16	44.54			44.7(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	11	64	3.33	66%	0.15	-8.8	1.01%	0	1.2	58	0
18	May_25_2016	40.93	44.02	44.08	44.3			45.18(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	16	57	5.62	69%	0.12	-15.4	1.01%	0	1.9	65	0
19	May_24_2016	40.88	44.01	43.93	43.94			44.63(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	5	28	4.51	67%	0.1	-28	1.01%	0	1.1	59	0
20	May_23_2016	40.84	44.01	43.85	43.82			44.34(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	1	16	4.28	59%	0.1	-32.6	1.01%	0	0.6	52	0

21	May_20_2016	40.8	44.02	43.73	43.8			43.83(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-3	4.91	61%	0.07	-27.6	1.07%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	May_19_2016	40.77	44.07	43.72	43.74			43.52(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-20	6.26	61%	0.05	-22.4	1.08%	0	-0.9	40	0
23	May_18_2016	40.75	44.11	43.71	43.82			43.36(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-3	-31	9.59	61%	0.05	-11.5	1.09%	0	-1.3	37	0
24	May_17_2016	40.73	44.18	43.74	43.9			44.04(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	1	-45	6.42	68%	0.05	2.3	1.07%	0	-0.2	37	0
25	May_16_2016	40.71	44.21	43.73	43.88			44.26(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	9	-54	5.84	68%		14.7	1.09%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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