Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $42.7198 (-1.14%) ($42.3126 - $42.8808) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $42.7198(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    IVE(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.77(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.16(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.2(3.69%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 3.37% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	40.1	41.2	42.16	42.77			42.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	6	93	4.1	54%	0	74.5	1.61%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Mar_21_2016	40.1	40.99	41.96	42.57			43.21(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	88	5.07	54%	0.02	71.5	1.61%	0	1.6	75	0
3	Mar_18_2016	40.09	40.78	41.78	42.25			43.01(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-10000	6	90	7.63	52%	0.02	71.8	1.61%	0	1.6	79	0
4	Mar_17_2016	40.08	40.55	41.57	42.03			42.83(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	10	93	7.78	51%	0	78.3	1.62%	0	1.8	75	0
5	Mar_16_2016	40.08	40.35	41.33	41.69			42.06(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	7	87	7.29	49%	0.02	82.8	1.63%	0	1.4	75	0

6	Mar_15_2016	40.07	40.19	41.16	41.46			41.71(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	4.98	49%	0	83.4	1.63%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Mar_14_2016	40.07	40.02	41.03	41.25			41.62(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	100	5.47	48%	-0.02	85.2	1.63%	0	1.4	78	0
8	Mar_11_2016	40.08	39.83	40.82	41.23			41.9(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	5	104	5.02	46%	0	80.4	1.64%	0	1.7	68	0
9	Mar_10_2016	40.08	39.57	40.6	41.05			41.15(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	106	7.58	44%	0.02	64.8	1.66%	0	1.2	69	0
10	Mar_9_2016	40.07	39.38	40.41	40.93			40.93(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	4	105	5.61	47%	0	60.7	1.66%	0	1.2	64	0

11	Mar_8_2016	40.07	39.22	40.19	40.8			40.67(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	95	6.29	45%	-0.02	63.5	1.7%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Mar_7_2016	40.08	39.06	39.95	40.76			41.49(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	99	7.88	45%	0	65.2	1.7%	0	1.9	72	0
13	Mar_4_2016	40.08	38.89	39.71	40.35			41.01(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	91	9.91	47%	0	70.3	1.71%	0	1.8	73	0
14	Mar_3_2016	40.08	38.76	39.45	40.09			40.54(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	8	95	8.61	47%	-0.02	85.8	1.72%	0	1.7	76	0
15	Mar_2_2016	40.09	38.62	39.28	39.8			40.3(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	10	95	9.86	46%	0	95.2	1.72%	0	1.7	67	0

16	Mar_1_2016	40.09	38.43	39.14	39.47			40.46(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	13	92	12.09	46%	-0.02	88.6	1.73%	0	2.1	65	0
17	Feb_29_2016	40.1	38.24	38.92	39.03			39.45(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	77	6.84	44%	-0.05	89.2	1.68%	0	1.3	64	0
18	Feb_26_2016	40.12	38.09	38.75	38.97			39.69(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	7	72	6.75	44%	-0.02	87.9	1.68%	0	1.7	57	0
19	Feb_25_2016	40.13	37.89	38.45	38.73			39.13(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	2	41	5.14	44%	-0.05	74.9	1.68%	0	1.2	51	0
20	Feb_24_2016	40.15	37.72	38.28	38.68			38.63(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-3	35	10.14	44%	-0.05	70.3	1.67%	0	0.8	55	0

21	Feb_23_2016	40.17	37.58	38.19	38.76			38.23(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	-0	52	6.53	44%	-0.02	70.4	1.67%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Feb_22_2016	40.18	37.43	38.11	38.77			39.19(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	9	63	5.36	46%	0	62.3	1.65%	0	1.4	63	0
23	Feb_19_2016	40.18	37.29	38	38.47			38.46(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	12	66	5.93	44%	0.02	56.7	1.62%	0	1	62	0
24	Feb_18_2016	40.17	37.15	38.02	38.1			38.91(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	10	75	5.41	45%	0.02	45.3	1.62%	0	1.5	69	0
25	Feb_17_2016	40.16	36.97	37.89	37.8			39.02(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	8	78	7.49	45%		31.8	1.64%	0	1.8	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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