Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $36.4941 (-0.67%) ($36.0695 - $36.6829) on Tue. Feb. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $36.4941(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    IVE(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $36.65
5 Day Moving Average   $36.18(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.95(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.65(-0.43%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2016	40.2	36.65	35.95	36.18			36.49(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-8	11.51	35%	-0.07	-86.8	1.39%	0	-0.1	44	0
2	Feb_1_2016	40.23	36.83	35.86	36.04			36.74(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	13	-30	13.6	35%	-0.1	-81.1	1.4%	0	-0.1	46	0
3	Jan_29_2016	40.27	37.02	35.78	35.72			36.59(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	2	-74	8	35%	-0.07	-87.2	1.4%	0	-0.3	40	0
4	Jan_28_2016	40.3	37.24	35.79	35.67			35.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-1	-98	6.66	31%	-0.1	-75.8	1.34%	0	-0.9	30	0
5	Jan_27_2016	40.34	37.53	35.87	35.7			35.5(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-10000	1	-127	7.81	31%	-0.12	-65.8	1.36%	0	-1	26	0

6	Jan_26_2016	40.39	37.82	36.03	35.68			35.79(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-40	-10000	1	-164	7.59	31%	-0.12	-59.2	1.35%	0	-0.9	23	0
7	Jan_25_2016	40.44	38.1	36.16	35.65			35.18(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-10000	-8	-207	11.14	28%	-0.1	-55.6	1.33%	0	-1.3	18	0
8	Jan_22_2016	40.48	38.43	36.42	35.84			36.34(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-10000	-4	-236	9.54	35%	-0.1	-54.5	1.29%	0	-1	18	0
9	Jan_21_2016	40.52	38.65	36.59	35.94			35.7(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-69	-10000	-5	-260	11.7	32%	-0.1	-52	1.32%	0	-1.3	11	0
10	Jan_20_2016	40.56	38.89	36.93	36.07			35.39(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-84	-10000	-16	-286	12.83	32%	-0.1	-51.4	1.31%	0	-1.5	7	0

11	Jan_19_2016	40.6	39.13	37.41	36.44			35.65(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-79	-10000	-13	-275	9.87	32%	-0.12	-53.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	13	0
12	Jan_15_2016	40.65	39.38	37.87	36.74			36.1(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-79	-10000	-14	-274	9.36	32%	-0.1	-59.4	1.3%	0	-1.7	13	0
13	Jan_14_2016	40.69	39.65	38.35	37.08			36.85(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-75	-10000	-11	-266	10.37	34%	-0.07	-63.7	1.28%	0	-1.6	14	0
14	Jan_13_2016	40.72	39.86	38.79	37.35			36.36(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-82	-10000	-24	-254	10.81	32%	-0.02	-65.2	1.27%	0	-2.1	22	0
15	Jan_12_2016	40.73	40.09	39.33	37.93			37.22(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-10000	-26	-211	7.27	34%	-0.05	-69.2	1.24%	0	-2	31	0

16	Jan_11_2016	40.75	40.3	39.75	38.55			37.16(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-59	-10000	-26	-159	10.07	34%	-0.07	-72.5	1.24%	0	-2.4	35	0
17	Jan_8_2016	40.78	40.57	40.21	39.18			37.81(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-10000	-26	-108	8.7	35%	-0.07	-72	1.23%	0	-2.6	34	0
18	Jan_7_2016	40.81	40.81	40.62	39.82			38.19(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-34	-10000	-25	-62	12.58	35%	-0.1	-64.9	1.24%	0	-2.8	32	0
19	Jan_6_2016	40.85	40.98	40.9	40.44			39.26(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-20	-21	9.31	39%	-0.1	-64.6	1.2%	0	-2.2	41	0
20	Jan_5_2016	40.89	41.13	41.03	40.94			40.32(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-8	14	9.5	47%	-0.05	-60.7	1.17%	0	-1.2	49	0

21	Jan_4_2016	40.91	41.26	41.01	41.14			40.34(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-10	13	14.43	47%	-0.1	-50.6	1.21%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Dec_31_2015	40.95	41.35	41.03	41.4			40.98(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-6	12	4.68	54%	-0.05	-40.7	1.23%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Dec_30_2015	40.97	41.42	41.06	41.55			41.34(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	5	13	3.34	57%	-0.02	-37.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	40	0
24	Dec_29_2015	40.98	41.51	41.01	41.43			41.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	11	2	3.89	57%	-0.02	-36	1.24%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Dec_28_2015	40.99	41.55	40.89	41.14			41.34(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	11	-34	4.16	52%		-42.9	1.24%	0	-0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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