Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $42.6486 (-0.31%) ($42.5456 - $43.0795) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $42.6486(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(88%)    VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    IVE(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.49(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.13(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.23(0.99%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	41.42	42.23	42.13	42.49			42.65(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	4	3.73	47%	-0.07	60.7	1.5%	0	0.9	48	0
2	Nov_19_2015	41.45	42.2	42.1	42.28			42.78(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	11	-6	5.29	46%	-0.05	58.7	1.52%	0	1.3	53	0
3	Nov_18_2015	41.47	42.15	42.04	41.94			42.83(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	6	-26	7.88	46%	-0.07	36.6	1.53%	0	1.3	54	0
4	Nov_17_2015	41.5	42.05	42	41.75			42.08(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	1	-36	12.75	44%	-0.05	21.9	1.52%	0	0.1	48	0
5	Nov_16_2015	41.52	42	42.07	41.71			42.12(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-0	-29	7.73	44%	-0.1	21	1.52%	0	0.2	57	0

6	Nov_13_2015	41.56	41.95	42.12	41.72			41.59(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-24	7.08	44%	-0.12	21.3	1.51%	0	-0.6	49	0
7	Nov_12_2015	41.61	41.94	42.21	41.89			41.07(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-8	-15	9.02	44%	-0.12	28.7	1.5%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Nov_11_2015	41.66	41.96	42.35	42.15			41.91(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-4	5	6.28	44%	-0.12	40.6	1.48%	0	-0.1	53	0
9	Nov_10_2015	41.71	41.93	42.39	42.28			41.86(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-6	25	4.9	47%	-0.12	46.4	1.5%	0	-0.1	67	0
10	Nov_9_2015	41.76	41.88	42.38	42.48			42.17(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	41	5.38	47%	-0.12	58.2	1.53%	0	0.4	64	0

11	Nov_6_2015	41.81	41.83	42.36	42.58			42.46(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	0	55	4.6	45%	-0.12	71.5	1.54%	0	1	68	0
12	Nov_5_2015	41.86	41.77	42.33	42.58			42.35(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	10.28	45%	-0.1	91.7	1.54%	0	0.9	62	0
13	Nov_4_2015	41.9	41.72	42.28	42.57			42.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	2	71	6.84	45%	-0.1	116.5	1.54%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Nov_3_2015	41.94	41.63	42.11	42.51			42.85(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	7	67	7.6	45%	-0.07	133.1	1.54%	0	1.8	70	0
15	Nov_2_2015	41.97	41.5	41.93	42.27			42.68(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	5	58	11.35	45%	-0.1	143.4	1.54%	0	1.6	72	0

16	Oct_30_2015	42.01	41.36	41.76	42.1			42.41(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	49	6.43	45%	-0.12	133.2	1.54%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Oct_29_2015	42.06	41.18	41.65	42.05			42.36(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	3	47	5.37	45%	-0.1	111.1	1.54%	0	1.1	60	0
18	Oct_28_2015	42.1	40.97	41.53	41.95			42.27(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	10	45	7.65	48%	-0.09	92.9	1.54%	0	1	59	0
19	Oct_27_2015	42.14	40.73	41.42	41.64			41.65(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	4	29	6.17	47%	-0.12	72.6	1.55%	0	0.6	61	0
20	Oct_26_2015	42.19	40.5	41.34	41.52			41.82(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	5	29	3.99	47%	-0.09	57.4	1.56%	0	0.8	68	0

21	Oct_23_2015	42.23	40.24	41.25	41.36			42.17(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	13	-10000	6	32	6.51	44%	-0.12	46	1.58%	0	1.1	76	0
22	Oct_22_2015	42.28	40.02	41.16	41.18			41.82(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	13	-10000	3	44	7.26	44%	-0.12	39.5	1.58%	0	1	80	0
23	Oct_21_2015	42.33	39.81	41.1	41.07			40.71(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-3	69	5.52	41%	-0.17	32.2	1.54%	0	0.5	81	0
24	Oct_20_2015	42.4	39.67	41.12	41.17			41.08(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	2	109	3.81	40%	-0.14	27.5	1.54%	0	0.8	87	0
25	Oct_19_2015	42.46	39.55	41.05	41.12			41.01(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	0	141	3.9	40%		24.8	1.54%	0	0.9	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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