Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $39.9350 (0.23%) ($39.6183 - $40.2051) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $39.9350(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(88%)    VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    IWD(84%)    IVE(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.84(-15.26%)
Resistance Level   $40.38
5 Day Moving Average   $39.81(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.92(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.38(-1.1%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	44.52	40.38	39.92	39.81			39.94(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	1	23	5.47	37%	-0.13	-47.4	1.37%	0	-0.3	43	0
2	Sep_9_2015	44.58	40.5	39.83	39.77			39.84(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	5	-8	6.83	37%	-0.13	-47.8	1.38%	0	-0.5	40	0
3	Sep_8_2015	44.64	40.62	39.66	39.63			40.15(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-64	6.57	37%	-0.18	-49.9	1.38%	0	-0.3	39	0
4	Sep_4_2015	44.72	40.76	39.51	39.68			39.17(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-11	-112	7.27	33%	-0.16	-45.5	1.32%	0	-1	33	0
5	Sep_3_2015	44.79	40.91	39.61	39.97			39.96(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-3	-118	4.86	34%	-0.16	-43	1.31%	0	-0.6	37	0

6	Sep_2_2015	44.86	41.04	39.72	40.05			39.72(1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-26	-10000	6	-123	7.38	34%	-0.13	-41.9	1.31%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Sep_1_2015	44.92	41.2	39.93	39.9			39.16(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-28	-10000	9	-140	8.99	32%	-0.16	-44.6	1.29%	0	-1.3	33	0
8	Aug_31_2015	44.99	41.38	40.25	39.66			40.39(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	15	-157	9	35%	-0.13	-50.7	1.25%	0	-0.7	38	0
9	Aug_28_2015	45.05	41.49	40.47	39.29			40.62(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-46	-10000	3	-191	6.37	35%	-0.11	-54.9	1.25%	0	-0.6	35	0
10	Aug_27_2015	45.1	41.59	40.64	39.21			40.38(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-55	-10000	-7	-200	11.64	35%	-0.13	-54.1	1.24%	0	-0.8	42	0

11	Aug_26_2015	45.16	41.72	40.83	39.39			38.97(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-10000	-27	-218	24.49	28%	-0.15	-52.5	1.15%	0	-1.8	30	0
12	Aug_25_2015	45.23	41.92	41.19	40			37.94(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-80	-10000	-41	-197	13.34	23%	-0.18	-48.9	1.1%	0	-2.9	22	0
13	Aug_24_2015	45.31	42.16	41.67	40.92			38.55(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-63	-10000	-38	-139	27.68	24%	-0.13	-47	1.09%	0	-3.5	26	0
14	Aug_21_2015	45.37	42.34	42.15	41.78			40.23(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-35	-10000	-23	-71	12.55	27%	-0.13	-56.5	0.98%	0	-3.2	35	0
15	Aug_20_2015	45.43	42.44	42.36	42.25			41.24(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-18	-10000	-11	-40	5.81	29%	-0.09	-75.9	0.94%	0	-2.6	38	0

16	Aug_19_2015	45.47	42.53	42.52	42.48			42.03(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-5	-22	4.29	31%	-0.07	-85.1	0.92%	0	-1.2	42	0
17	Aug_18_2015	45.5	42.6	42.61	42.58			42.55(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-9	2.85	32%	-0.07	-83.2	0.91%	0	-0.1	49	0
18	Aug_17_2015	45.53	42.66	42.62	42.54			42.83(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-11	2.55	32%	-0.07	-85.5	0.91%	0	0.3	55	0
19	Aug_14_2015	45.56	42.71	42.58	42.6			42.59(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	5	11	2.14	35%	-0.04	-76.1	0.91%	0	-0.2	62	0
20	Aug_13_2015	45.58	42.79	42.6	42.51			42.39(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	11	3.03	35%	-0.07	-70	0.92%	0	-0.5	55	0

21	Aug_12_2015	45.61	42.9	42.65	42.57			42.52(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-4	16	6.64	34%	-0.07	-57	0.92%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Aug_11_2015	45.64	43.01	42.67	42.65			42.36(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-3	11	5.85	34%	-0.07	-43.8	0.92%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Aug_10_2015	45.67	43.14	42.68	42.71			43.16(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	1	5.31	36%	-0.07	-38.1	0.9%	0	0	44	0
24	Aug_7_2015	45.7	43.22	42.53	42.57			42.12(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-7	-53	5.85	34%	-0.07	-40.7	0.86%	0	-1	33	0
25	Aug_6_2015	45.73	43.34	42.52	42.7			42.72(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-2	-76	6.11	36%		-42.1	0.85%	0	-0.6	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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