Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $47.0793 (0.14%) ($46.7454 - $47.1442) on Tue. Apr. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $47.0793(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(83%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.6(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.45(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.11(2.1%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2015	45.61	46.11	46.45	46.6			47.08(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	11	54	3.18	59%	0.04	70.2	0.83%	0	2	68	0
2	Apr_27_2015	45.59	46.04	46.35	46.39			47.01(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	7	39	3.62	59%	0.02	65.6	0.87%	0	2.3	69	0
3	Apr_24_2015	45.58	45.94	46.23	46.25			46.61(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	6	30	3.09	57%	0.04	53.9	0.86%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Apr_23_2015	45.56	45.87	46.18	46.14			46.22(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-2	27	4.83	53%	0	42.4	0.86%	0	0.8	65	0
5	Apr_22_2015	45.56	45.81	46.15	46.18			46.1(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	2.71	53%	0.04	31.6	0.88%	0	0.6	64	0

6	Apr_21_2015	45.54	45.78	46.13	46.27			46(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-1	54	3.97	53%	0.02	38.5	0.9%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Apr_20_2015	45.53	45.76	46.1	46.29			46.35(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	60	2.15	53%	0.02	36.5	0.9%	0	1.3	60	0
8	Apr_17_2015	45.52	45.72	46.05	46.2			46.01(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	-0	61	3.83	53%	0.02	28.3	0.9%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Apr_16_2015	45.51	45.69	45.99	46.21			46.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	4	70	2.17	58%	0	18.5	0.89%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Apr_15_2015	45.51	45.67	45.88	46.12			46.54(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	7	69	3.12	58%	0	14.8	0.91%	0	2.2	75	0

11	Apr_14_2015	45.51	45.61	45.75	45.97			46.1(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	4	54	2.18	57%	0	-1.3	0.91%	0	1.4	58	0
12	Apr_13_2015	45.51	45.61	45.71	45.89			45.9(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	1	47	1.5	57%	0	-16.7	0.92%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Apr_10_2015	45.51	45.6	45.63	45.87			46.09(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	7	41	1.67	57%	0	-26.7	0.92%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Apr_9_2015	45.51	45.6	45.53	45.73			45.96(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	6	27	1.91	57%	0	-43.4	0.93%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Apr_8_2015	45.51	45.6	45.43	45.61			45.83(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	3	2.13	61%	0	-69.9	0.93%	0	0.6	44	0

16	Apr_7_2015	45.51	45.61	45.39	45.5			45.7(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	0	-8	1.84	61%	0.02	-98.8	0.98%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Apr_6_2015	45.5	45.65	45.38	45.49			45.77(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-10	2.69	61%	0	-96	0.99%	0	0.3	47	0
18	Apr_2_2015	45.5	45.69	45.38	45.35			45.41(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-25	2.47	55%	0.02	-89	1.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
19	Apr_1_2015	45.49	45.78	45.36	45.29			45.36(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	3	-43	4.21	55%	0	-83.6	1.04%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	Mar_31_2015	45.49	45.88	45.43	45.22			45.23(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-2	-48	3.46	55%	0.02	-80.1	1.04%	0	-0.9	44	0

21	Mar_30_2015	45.48	45.99	45.45	45.27			45.69(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	0	-50	2.8	55%	0.02	-74.3	1.04%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Mar_27_2015	45.47	46.09	45.47	45.26			45.08(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-5	-63	3.68	53%	0	-72.3	1.02%	0	-1.1	34	0
23	Mar_26_2015	45.47	46.21	45.57	45.38			45.09(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	4.07	53%	0.02	-69.7	1.03%	0	-1.2	35	0
24	Mar_25_2015	45.46	46.34	45.71	45.43			44.99(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-10	-70	3.68	53%	0.04	-67.8	1.03%	0	-1.5	29	0
25	Mar_24_2015	45.44	46.49	45.81	45.66			45.5(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	0	-69	2.23	55%		-60.6	1.03%	0	-1.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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