Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.0870 (0.28%) ($45.8695 - $46.0963) on Fri. Apr. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $46.0870(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(83%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.87(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.63(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.6(1.07%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2015	45.51	45.6	45.63	45.87			46.09(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	7	41	1.67	57%	0	-26.7	0.92%	0	1.4	56	0
2	Apr_9_2015	45.51	45.6	45.53	45.73			45.96(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	6	27	1.91	57%	0	-43.4	0.93%	0	0.9	59	0
3	Apr_8_2015	45.51	45.6	45.43	45.61			45.83(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	3	2.13	61%	0	-69.9	0.93%	0	0.6	44	0
4	Apr_7_2015	45.51	45.61	45.39	45.5			45.7(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	0	-8	1.84	61%	0.02	-98.8	0.98%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Apr_6_2015	45.5	45.65	45.38	45.49			45.77(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-10	2.69	61%	0	-96	0.99%	0	0.3	47	0

6	Apr_2_2015	45.5	45.69	45.38	45.35			45.41(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-25	2.47	55%	0.02	-89	1.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
7	Apr_1_2015	45.49	45.78	45.36	45.29			45.36(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	3	-43	4.21	55%	0	-83.6	1.04%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Mar_31_2015	45.49	45.88	45.43	45.22			45.23(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-2	-48	3.46	55%	0.02	-80.1	1.04%	0	-0.9	44	0
9	Mar_30_2015	45.48	45.99	45.45	45.27			45.69(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	0	-50	2.8	55%	0.02	-74.3	1.04%	0	-0.4	47	0
10	Mar_27_2015	45.47	46.09	45.47	45.26			45.08(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-5	-63	3.68	53%	0	-72.3	1.02%	0	-1.1	34	0

11	Mar_26_2015	45.47	46.21	45.57	45.38			45.09(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	4.07	53%	0.02	-69.7	1.03%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Mar_25_2015	45.46	46.34	45.71	45.43			44.99(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-10	-70	3.68	53%	0.04	-67.8	1.03%	0	-1.5	29	0
13	Mar_24_2015	45.44	46.49	45.81	45.43			45.5(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	0	-69	2.23	55%	0.02	-60.6	1.03%	0	-1.1	31	0
14	Mar_23_2015	45.43	46.62	45.85	45.66			45.65(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	-3	-90	3.37	55%	0.04	-58.9	1.03%	0	-1.1	30	0
15	Mar_20_2015	45.41	46.73	45.95	45.72			45.65(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-3	-101	4.77	55%	0	-55.3	1.03%	0	-1.2	28	0

16	Mar_19_2015	45.41	46.85	46.05	45.8			45.36(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-111	3.96	55%	0.04	-50.5	1.03%	0	-1.6	30	0
17	Mar_18_2015	45.39	46.98	46.23	46.02			46.15(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	2	-98	6.49	63%	0.07	-39.8	1.02%	0	-1	33	0
18	Mar_17_2015	45.36	47.06	46.35	45.97			45.46(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	-10000	-5	-110	7.88	64%	0.04	-35.8	1.04%	0	-1.9	22	0
19	Mar_16_2015	45.34	47.17	46.57	46.08			45.97(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	-10000	-6	-107	4.01	67%	0.04	-26.7	1.08%	0	-1.6	23	0
20	Mar_13_2015	45.32	47.25	46.75	46.22			46.04(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-4	-99	4.19	67%	0.04	-14.7	1.08%	0	-1.7	28	0

21	Mar_12_2015	45.3	47.25	46.91	46.33			46.49(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-6	-99	3.1	61%	0.04	-5.1	1.08%	0	-1.3	30	0
22	Mar_11_2015	45.28	47.32	47.02	46.49			45.91(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-31	-10000	-11	-89	2.54	59%	0.04	10.1	1.14%	0	-2.1	23	0
23	Mar_10_2015	45.26	47.36	47.24	46.79			45.97(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-13	-70	5.15	55%	0.04	31.8	1.14%	0	-2.3	27	0
24	Mar_9_2015	45.24	47.38	47.46	47.13			46.68(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-44	2.52	58%	0.09	60.6	1.15%	0	-1.2	37	0
25	Mar_6_2015	45.2	47.36	47.59	47.37			46.62(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-7	-25	4.39	55%		81.8	1.16%	0	-1.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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