Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.0614 (-0.12%) ($45.8674 - $46.3293) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $46.0614(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(84%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.8(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.03(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.71(3.02%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	44.59	44.71	45.03	45.8			46.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	12	72	3.71	58%	-0.02	55.9	1.2%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Feb_6_2015	44.6	44.63	44.89	45.47			46.12(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	15	60	5.61	58%	0	47.8	1.2%	0	2.1	64	0
3	Feb_5_2015	44.6	44.56	44.73	45.06			46.23(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	15	46	5.86	58%	0	36.8	1.21%	0	2.6	69	0
4	Feb_4_2015	44.6	44.44	44.61	44.66			45.14(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	11	38	5.68	55%	0	11.8	1.17%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Feb_3_2015	44.6	44.36	44.56	44.37			45.43(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	12	-10000	8	25	6.13	55%	0	-20.2	1.18%	0	1.9	59	0

6	Feb_2_2015	44.6	44.27	44.44	44.17			44.45(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-3	5	6.63	52%	-0.02	-48.7	1.15%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Jan_30_2015	44.61	44.29	44.41	44.24			44.06(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	4	7.81	55%	-0.04	-47	1.16%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Jan_29_2015	44.63	44.33	44.37	44.34			44.23(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-7	-6	5.96	53%	-0.04	-45.8	1.28%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Jan_28_2015	44.65	44.38	44.32	44.55			43.66(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-7	4	5.78	51%	-0.04	-33.6	1.28%	0	-1.3	50	0
10	Jan_27_2015	44.67	44.47	44.37	44.76			44.46(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	1	27	4.52	51%	-0.02	-19.8	1.26%	0	-0	60	0

11	Jan_26_2015	44.68	44.51	44.38	44.72			44.77(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	34	3.1	51%	-0.04	-13.1	1.29%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Jan_23_2015	44.7	44.54	44.37	44.61			44.57(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	7	27	5.04	51%	-0.04	-5.5	1.29%	0	0	47	0
13	Jan_22_2015	44.72	44.58	44.4	44.4			45.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	12	17	5.78	53%	0	6.8	1.27%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Jan_21_2015	44.72	44.56	44.25	44.06			44.71(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	4	-20	4.71	56%	-0.04	8.7	1.27%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Jan_20_2015	44.74	44.58	44.13	43.94			44.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-48	4.06	58%	-0.04	17.2	1.29%	0	-0.4	39	0

16	Jan_16_2015	44.76	44.6	44.08	44.01			44.2(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-62	5.46	60%	-0.04	22.3	1.29%	0	-0.6	38	0
17	Jan_15_2015	44.78	44.57	44.14	44.11			43.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-10	-63	5.86	59%	-0.04	23.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	34	0
18	Jan_14_2015	44.8	44.53	44.28	44.39			43.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-2	-50	6.78	59%	-0.07	18.1	1.31%	0	-1.4	33	0
19	Jan_13_2015	44.83	44.51	44.45	44.46			44.11(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	5	-43	5.86	55%	-0.04	5.4	1.3%	0	-0.5	41	0
20	Jan_12_2015	44.85	44.46	44.58	44.32			44.61(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	6	-46	4.66	55%	-0.02	-13	1.34%	0	0.2	45	0

21	Jan_9_2015	44.86	44.44	44.66	44.15			44.71(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-2	-51	6.85	50%	-0.02	-20.8	1.35%	0	0.3	53	0
22	Jan_8_2015	44.87	44.44	44.72	44.2			44.94(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	0	-32	7.64	52%	-0.04	-26.2	1.39%	0	0.5	64	0
23	Jan_7_2015	44.89	44.41	44.76	44.19			43.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-11	3.56	47%	-0.04	-26.6	1.36%	0	-0.5	67	0
24	Jan_6_2015	44.91	44.46	44.89	44.47			43.41(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-13	25	5.05	47%	-0.04	-17.3	1.37%	0	-1.1	60	0
25	Jan_5_2015	44.93	44.58	45.08	44.88			43.8(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-11	68	5.44	47%		-3.3	1.37%	0	-0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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