Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $44.4632 (-0.68%) ($43.9551 - $44.7819) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $44.4632(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(84%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $44.47
5 Day Moving Average   $44.76(-0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.37(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.47(-0.02%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2015	44.67	44.47	44.37	44.76			44.46(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	1	27	4.52	51%	-0.02	-19.8	1.26%	0	-0	60	0
2	Jan_26_2015	44.68	44.51	44.38	44.72			44.77(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	34	3.1	51%	-0.04	-13.1	1.29%	0	0.4	58	0
3	Jan_23_2015	44.7	44.54	44.37	44.61			44.57(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	7	27	5.04	51%	-0.04	-5.5	1.29%	0	0	47	0
4	Jan_22_2015	44.72	44.58	44.4	44.4			45.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	12	17	5.78	53%	0	6.8	1.27%	0	1.1	51	0
5	Jan_21_2015	44.72	44.56	44.25	44.06			44.71(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	4	-20	4.71	56%	-0.04	8.7	1.27%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Jan_20_2015	44.74	44.58	44.13	43.94			44.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-48	4.06	58%	-0.04	17.2	1.29%	0	-0.4	39	0
7	Jan_16_2015	44.76	44.6	44.08	44.01			44.2(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-62	5.46	60%	-0.04	22.3	1.29%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Jan_15_2015	44.78	44.57	44.14	44.11			43.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-10	-63	5.86	59%	-0.04	23.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	34	0
9	Jan_14_2015	44.8	44.53	44.28	44.39			43.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-2	-50	6.78	59%	-0.07	18.1	1.31%	0	-1.4	33	0
10	Jan_13_2015	44.83	44.51	44.45	44.46			44.11(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	5	-43	5.86	55%	-0.04	5.4	1.3%	0	-0.5	41	0

11	Jan_12_2015	44.85	44.46	44.58	44.32			44.61(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	6	-46	4.66	55%	-0.02	-13	1.34%	0	0.2	45	0
12	Jan_9_2015	44.86	44.44	44.66	44.15			44.71(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-2	-51	6.85	50%	-0.02	-20.8	1.35%	0	0.3	53	0
13	Jan_8_2015	44.87	44.44	44.72	44.2			44.94(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	0	-32	7.64	52%	-0.04	-26.2	1.39%	0	0.5	64	0
14	Jan_7_2015	44.89	44.41	44.76	44.19			43.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-11	3.56	47%	-0.04	-26.6	1.36%	0	-0.5	67	0
15	Jan_6_2015	44.91	44.46	44.89	44.47			43.41(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-13	25	5.05	47%	-0.04	-17.3	1.37%	0	-1.1	60	0

16	Jan_5_2015	44.93	44.58	45.08	44.88			43.8(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-11	68	5.44	47%	-0.04	-3.3	1.37%	0	-0.8	61	0
17	Jan_2_2015	44.95	44.64	45.17	45.22			44.94(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-3	98	5.23	50%	-0.02	1.4	1.33%	0	0.3	56	0
18	Dec_31_2014	44.96	44.64	45.05	45.3			44.88(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-4	99	2.98	47%	0	1.4	1.33%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Dec_30_2014	44.96	44.67	44.83	45.42			45.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	84	2.17	46%	0	-1.8	1.36%	0	0.7	50	0
20	Dec_29_2014	44.96	44.63	44.59	45.38			45.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	3	64	2.17	46%	0.02	-11.5	1.37%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Dec_26_2014	44.95	44.61	44.34	45.3			45.48(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	6	37	1.3	47%	0.02	-17.8	1.37%	0	0.9	46	0
22	Dec_24_2014	44.94	44.63	44.2	45.12			45.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	12	22	1.88	47%	0.02	-20.5	1.37%	0	0.7	50	0
23	Dec_23_2014	44.93	44.66	44.07	44.76			45.48(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	-10000	20	-7	7.1	47%	0	-27.9	1.38%	0	0.8	47	0
24	Dec_22_2014	44.93	44.68	44	44.15			45.13(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	16	-41	3.31	47%	0.02	-38.1	1.38%	0	0.4	50	0
25	Dec_19_2014	44.92	44.74	43.96	43.67			45.1(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	14	-67	5.39	47%		-42.8	1.38%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.