Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $44.5740 (-1.55%) ($44.5417 - $45.1838) on Fri. Jan. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $44.5740(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(84%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.61(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.37(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.54(0.08%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2015	44.7	44.54	44.37	44.61			44.57(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	7	27	5.04	51%	-0.04	-5.5	1.29%	0	0	47	0
2	Jan_22_2015	44.72	44.58	44.4	44.4			45.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	12	17	5.78	53%	0	6.8	1.27%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Jan_21_2015	44.72	44.56	44.25	44.06			44.71(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	4	-20	4.71	56%	-0.04	8.7	1.27%	0	0.2	44	0
4	Jan_20_2015	44.74	44.58	44.13	43.94			44.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-48	4.06	58%	-0.04	17.2	1.29%	0	-0.4	39	0
5	Jan_16_2015	44.76	44.6	44.08	44.01			44.2(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-62	5.46	60%	-0.04	22.3	1.29%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Jan_15_2015	44.78	44.57	44.14	44.11			43.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-10	-63	5.86	59%	-0.04	23.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	34	0
7	Jan_14_2015	44.8	44.53	44.28	44.39			43.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-2	-50	6.78	59%	-0.07	18.1	1.31%	0	-1.4	33	0
8	Jan_13_2015	44.83	44.51	44.45	44.46			44.11(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	5	-43	5.86	55%	-0.04	5.4	1.3%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jan_12_2015	44.85	44.46	44.58	44.32			44.61(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	6	-46	4.66	55%	-0.02	-13	1.34%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Jan_9_2015	44.86	44.44	44.66	44.15			44.71(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-2	-51	6.85	50%	-0.02	-20.8	1.35%	0	0.3	53	0

11	Jan_8_2015	44.87	44.44	44.72	44.2			44.94(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	0	-32	7.64	52%	-0.04	-26.2	1.39%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Jan_7_2015	44.89	44.41	44.76	44.19			43.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-11	3.56	47%	-0.04	-26.6	1.36%	0	-0.5	67	0
13	Jan_6_2015	44.91	44.46	44.89	44.47			43.41(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-13	25	5.05	47%	-0.04	-17.3	1.37%	0	-1.1	60	0
14	Jan_5_2015	44.93	44.58	45.08	44.88			43.8(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-11	68	5.44	47%	-0.04	-3.3	1.37%	0	-0.8	61	0
15	Jan_2_2015	44.95	44.64	45.17	45.22			44.94(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-3	98	5.23	50%	-0.02	1.4	1.33%	0	0.3	56	0

16	Dec_31_2014	44.96	44.64	45.05	45.3			44.88(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-4	99	2.98	47%	0	1.4	1.33%	0	0.2	56	0
17	Dec_30_2014	44.96	44.67	44.83	45.42			45.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	84	2.17	46%	0	-1.8	1.36%	0	0.7	50	0
18	Dec_29_2014	44.96	44.63	44.59	45.38			45.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	3	64	2.17	46%	0.02	-11.5	1.37%	0	0.9	52	0
19	Dec_26_2014	44.95	44.61	44.34	45.3			45.48(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	6	37	1.3	47%	0.02	-17.8	1.37%	0	0.9	46	0
20	Dec_24_2014	44.94	44.63	44.2	45.12			45.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	12	22	1.88	47%	0.02	-20.5	1.37%	0	0.7	50	0

21	Dec_23_2014	44.93	44.66	44.07	44.76			45.48(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	-10000	20	-7	7.1	47%	0	-27.9	1.38%	0	0.8	47	0
22	Dec_22_2014	44.93	44.68	44	44.15			45.13(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	16	-41	3.31	47%	0.02	-38.1	1.38%	0	0.4	50	0
23	Dec_19_2014	44.92	44.74	43.96	43.67			45.1(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	14	-67	5.39	47%	0.02	-42.8	1.38%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Dec_18_2014	44.91	44.78	43.99	43.24			44.55(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-22	-10000	2	-92	7.02	48%	-0.02	-48.9	1.37%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Dec_17_2014	44.92	44.83	44.02	43.17			43.56(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-4	-111	10.61	46%		-48.7	1.34%	0	-1.1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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