Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $45.1283 (0.06%) ($44.8697 - $45.2392) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $45.1283(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(88%)    VYM(88%)    XLI(87%)    IVE(84%)    XLF(83%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.15(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.68(1%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	44.93	44.68	44	44.15			45.13(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	16	-41	3.31	47%	0.02	-38.1	1.38%	0	0.4	50	0
2	Dec_19_2014	44.92	44.74	43.96	43.67			45.1(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	14	-67	5.39	47%	0.02	-42.8	1.38%	0	0.3	52	0
3	Dec_18_2014	44.91	44.78	43.99	43.24			44.55(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-22	-10000	2	-92	7.02	48%	-0.02	-48.9	1.37%	0	-0.2	46	0
4	Dec_17_2014	44.92	44.83	44.02	43.17			43.56(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-4	-111	10.61	46%	-0.04	-48.7	1.34%	0	-1.1	34	0
5	Dec_16_2014	44.94	44.95	44.22	43.29			42.4(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-10000	-19	-121	9.52	43%	-0.09	-44.6	1.3%	0	-2.2	25	0

6	Dec_15_2014	44.98	45.1	44.49	43.83			42.73(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-15	-103	8.99	43%	-0.07	-35.1	1.3%	0	-2.4	25	0
7	Dec_12_2014	45.01	45.24	44.7	44.27			42.96(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-39	-10000	-19	-99	8.67	43%	-0.07	-25.1	1.29%	0	-2.7	25	0
8	Dec_11_2014	45.04	45.36	44.94	44.82			44.19(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-6	-74	3.92	45%	-0.02	-4.3	1.25%	0	-1.8	37	0
9	Dec_10_2014	45.05	45.42	45.13	45			44.16(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-10	-63	7.58	45%	-0.04	11.5	1.25%	0	-2.1	39	0
10	Dec_9_2014	45.07	45.47	45.33	45.28			45.08(0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-9	-10000	1	-40	6.02	47%	0	40.4	1.22%	0	-0.8	44	0

11	Dec_8_2014	45.07	45.46	45.45	45.25			44.97(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	-10000	2	-32	5.5	47%	-0.02	42.9	1.23%	0	-0.9	49	0
12	Dec_5_2014	45.08	45.45	45.6	45.19			45.69(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	4	-24	3.36	48%	0	41.3	1.21%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Dec_4_2014	45.08	45.39	45.62	45.08			45.08(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-8	-28	6.02	47%	0	28.5	1.2%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Dec_3_2014	45.08	45.35	45.69	45.3			45.59(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-4	-7	7.35	47%	0	41.3	1.19%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Dec_2_2014	45.08	45.26	45.71	45.41			44.93(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-10000	-10	5	5.93	45%	0	39.9	1.18%	0	-0.4	52	0

16	Dec_1_2014	45.08	45.23	45.76	45.68			44.66(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-14	26	12.01	45%	-0.02	52.9	1.18%	0	-0.7	53	0
17	Nov_28_2014	45.09	45.23	45.83	46.05			45.13(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-6	60	4.87	45%	0	66.3	1.17%	0	-0.1	61	0
18	Nov_26_2014	45.09	45.22	45.85	46.22			46.18(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	24	-10000	4	85	1.88	48%	0	72.4	1.13%	0	1.1	85	0
19	Nov_25_2014	45.09	45.08	45.74	46.13			46.14(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	3	92	2.41	48%	0.02	66.3	1.13%	0	1.2	87	0
20	Nov_24_2014	45.08	44.97	45.63	46.06			46.31(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	8	106	2.14	48%	0.02	60.1	1.13%	0	1.5	93	0

21	Nov_21_2014	45.07	44.82	45.47	45.84			46.52(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	-10000	10	102	9.56	48%	0.02	57.2	1.13%	0	2	83	0
22	Nov_20_2014	45.06	44.7	45.28	45.59			45.96(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	90	3.86	46%	0	64.3	1.12%	0	1.7	71	0
23	Nov_19_2014	45.06	44.6	45.13	45.42			45.72(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	72	4.84	46%	0.02	70.7	1.12%	0	1.6	55	0
24	Nov_18_2014	45.05	44.51	44.97	45.3			45.78(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	75	5.02	47%	0	87	1.12%	0	2	72	0
25	Nov_17_2014	45.05	44.44	44.76	45.14			45.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	64	2.63	45%		105.7	1.11%	0	1.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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