Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $46.3206 (0.68%) ($46.1470 - $46.3937) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $46.3206(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.81(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.86(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.95(0.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2014	45.07	45.95	45.86	45.81			46.32(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	1	-10000	10	-27	4.48	55%	0.07	2	0.56%	0	1.6	53	0
2	Sep_17_2014	45.04	45.95	45.86	45.68			46.01(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-9	-10000	4	-46	5.16	53%	0.07	2.1	0.57%	0	0.3	48	0
3	Sep_16_2014	45.01	45.94	45.83	45.68			45.74(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	0	-56	3.32	51%	0.07	14.6	0.56%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Sep_15_2014	44.98	45.94	45.86	45.63			45.53(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-9	-60	3.19	51%	0.07	35.4	0.56%	0	-1.9	35	0
5	Sep_12_2014	44.95	45.95	45.93	45.74			45.46(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-13	-42	3.88	49%	0.04	60.4	0.56%	0	-2.2	41	0

6	Sep_11_2014	44.93	45.94	45.99	45.91			45.67(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-6	-16	4.26	49%	0.07	92.3	0.57%	0	-1.1	40	0
7	Sep_10_2014	44.9	45.93	46.04	45.99			45.74(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-5	-10000	-5	-5	6.36	49%	0.04	96.6	0.57%	0	-0.7	40	0
8	Sep_9_2014	44.88	45.9	46.07	46.06			45.74(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-5	4	3.16	49%	0.07	93.1	0.57%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Sep_8_2014	44.85	45.87	46.11	46.12			46.11(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10000	-1	16	2.3	51%	0.02	83.5	0.56%	0	0.6	59	0
10	Sep_5_2014	44.84	45.81	46.08	46.13			46.29(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	8	-10000	2	27	3.08	51%	0.07	81.9	0.57%	0	1.1	76	0

11	Sep_4_2014	44.81	45.73	46.08	46.1			46.09(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	1	37	5.78	51%	0.07	69.7	0.57%	0	0.7	76	0
12	Sep_3_2014	44.78	45.67	46.08	46.09			46.09(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	14	-10000	1	54	3.14	51%	0.09	63.2	0.57%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Sep_2_2014	44.74	45.6	46.05	46.09			46.02(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	0	75	6.62	51%	0.16	51.2	0.57%	0	0.8	79	0
14	Aug_29_2014	44.67	45.55	46.03	46.08			46.17(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	5	101	2.67	54%	0.09	42.3	0.56%	0	1.1	87	0
15	Aug_28_2014	44.63	45.46	45.97	46.02			46.1(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	1	101	1.84	54%	0.07	28.8	0.57%	0	1.1	84	0

16	Aug_27_2014	44.6	45.38	45.89	46			46.06(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	-1	119	3.3	54%	0.07	19.5	0.57%	0	1.2	88	0
17	Aug_26_2014	44.57	45.34	45.82	46.01			46.06(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	1	132	1.91	54%	0.09	17.7	0.57%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Aug_25_2014	44.53	45.31	45.72	46			46.02(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	36	-10000	1	142	1.56	54%	0.07	18.2	0.58%	0	1.3	76	0
19	Aug_22_2014	44.5	45.3	45.61	45.98			45.85(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	6	140	1.81	57%	0.04	20.2	0.59%	0	1	62	0
20	Aug_21_2014	44.48	45.29	45.53	45.9			46.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	11	146	1.36	57%	0.07	17.6	0.58%	0	1.4	71	0

21	Aug_20_2014	44.45	45.27	45.38	45.75			46.09(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	11	132	4.8	57%	0.05	11.3	0.58%	0	1.6	72	0
22	Aug_19_2014	44.43	45.24	45.25	45.6			46.03(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	15	105	3.14	57%	0.09	4.5	0.59%	0	1.6	55	0
23	Aug_18_2014	44.39	45.21	45.1	45.4			45.89(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	15	61	5.35	57%	0.07	-2.9	0.59%	0	1.4	51	0
24	Aug_15_2014	44.36	45.19	45.01	45.2			45.44(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	16	4.44	50%	0.07	-14	0.58%	0	0.6	42	0
25	Aug_14_2014	44.33	45.2	44.91	45.11			45.31(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	12	-20	3.61	50%		-16.7	0.61%	0	0.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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