Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $45.0230 (1.19%) ($44.3833 - $45.0641) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $45.0230(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(82%)    SPY(81%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $45.39
5 Day Moving Average   $44.98(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.34(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.39(-0.81%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	44.16	45.39	45.34	44.98			45.02(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-14	-73	4.97	54%	0.07	-41.8	0.59%	0	-1	48	0
2	Aug_1_2014	44.13	45.41	45.39	45.16			44.49(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-28	-10000	-20	-51	5.62	50%	0.05	-25.3	0.58%	0	-2.6	37	0
3	Jul_31_2014	44.11	45.48	45.51	45.42			44.46(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-18	-10000	-19	-13	6.46	50%	0.02	1.5	0.58%	0	-3.4	36	0
4	Jul_30_2014	44.1	45.54	45.64	45.67			45.34(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	4	-10000	-6	35	5.28	59%	0.07	42.9	0.53%	0	-1.1	55	0
5	Jul_29_2014	44.07	45.55	45.67	45.67			45.58(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	13	-10000	0	52	3.89	59%	0.05	66.7	0.53%	0	0.2	54	0

6	Jul_28_2014	44.05	45.54	45.64	45.75			45.91(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	54	10.67	63%	0.05	64.3	0.53%	0	1.9	68	0
7	Jul_25_2014	44.03	45.5	45.58	45.67			45.79(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	3	40	2.39	63%	0.05	52.5	0.53%	0	1.6	60	0
8	Jul_24_2014	44.01	45.48	45.54	45.64			45.71(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	25	2.5	63%	0.05	64.9	0.54%	0	1.4	45	0
9	Jul_23_2014	43.99	45.46	45.49	45.62			45.76(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	3	18	2.27	63%	0.05	67.6	0.55%	0	1.8	54	0
10	Jul_22_2014	43.97	45.46	45.46	45.58			45.57(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	6	14	2.82	63%	0.02	65	0.54%	0	0.8	52	0

11	Jul_21_2014	43.96	45.42	45.46	45.51			45.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	3	2	4.93	63%	0.05	75	0.54%	0	0.5	54	0
12	Jul_18_2014	43.94	45.41	45.43	45.47			45.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	4	-10000	4	3	4.87	63%	0.05	94.6	0.54%	0	1.4	61	0
13	Jul_17_2014	43.92	45.37	45.44	45.42			45.64(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	7	6	4.86	63%	0.05	79.5	0.55%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Jul_16_2014	43.9	45.35	45.42	45.34			45.54(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	1	-2	3.85	67%	0.05	75	0.55%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Jul_15_2014	43.88	45.31	45.41	45.33			45.23(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	6	2.82	65%	0.02	52.8	0.57%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Jul_14_2014	43.87	45.28	45.43	45.35			45.32(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	2.52	65%	0.05	40.3	0.57%	0	0.1	48	0
17	Jul_11_2014	43.85	45.25	45.43	45.37			45.35(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	3	3.49	59%	0.05	30.4	0.58%	0	0.3	50	0
18	Jul_10_2014	43.83	45.21	45.42	45.46			45.27(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	25	4.03	51%	0.02	29.3	0.6%	0	0.2	58	0
19	Jul_9_2014	43.82	45.2	45.43	45.46			45.47(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	0	35	4.18	56%	0.05	35.1	0.65%	0	0.8	55	0
20	Jul_8_2014	43.8	45.18	45.39	45.51			45.32(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-1	39	4.28	56%	0.05	42.7	0.68%	0	0.4	61	0

21	Jul_7_2014	43.78	45.17	45.4	45.52			45.43(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	3	58	4.99	51%	0.05	48	0.68%	0	0.8	63	0
22	Jul_3_2014	43.76	45.16	45.39	45.48			45.82(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	6	63	2.81	50%	0.07	54.9	0.71%	0	2.1	67	0
23	Jul_2_2014	43.73	45.11	45.3	45.38			45.53(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	2	59	3.87	50%	0.05	57.8	0.71%	0	1.4	67	0
24	Jul_1_2014	43.71	45.07	45.26	45.35			45.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	6	63	6.99	50%	0.05	64.1	0.71%	0	1.4	58	0
25	Jun_30_2014	43.69	45.04	45.19	45.25			45.36(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	-1	43	13.12	53%		68.3	0.72%	0	1.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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