Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $45.7632 (0.42%) ($45.4616 - $45.8545) on Wed. Jul. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $45.7632(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.62(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.49(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.46(0.67%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2014	43.99	45.46	45.49	45.62			45.76(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	3	18	2.27	63%	0.05	67.6	0.55%	0	1.8	54	0
2	Jul_22_2014	43.97	45.46	45.46	45.58			45.57(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	6	14	2.82	63%	0.02	65	0.54%	0	0.8	52	0
3	Jul_21_2014	43.96	45.42	45.46	45.51			45.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	3	2	4.93	63%	0.05	75	0.54%	0	0.5	54	0
4	Jul_18_2014	43.94	45.41	45.43	45.47			45.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	4	-10000	4	3	4.87	63%	0.05	94.6	0.54%	0	1.4	61	0
5	Jul_17_2014	43.92	45.37	45.44	45.42			45.64(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	7	6	4.86	63%	0.05	79.5	0.55%	0	1.4	56	0

6	Jul_16_2014	43.9	45.35	45.42	45.34			45.54(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	1	-2	3.85	67%	0.05	75	0.55%	0	0.9	54	0
7	Jul_15_2014	43.88	45.31	45.41	45.33			45.23(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	6	2.82	65%	0.02	52.8	0.57%	0	-0.3	57	0
8	Jul_14_2014	43.87	45.28	45.43	45.35			45.32(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	2.52	65%	0.05	40.3	0.57%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Jul_11_2014	43.85	45.25	45.43	45.37			45.35(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	3	3.49	59%	0.05	30.4	0.58%	0	0.3	50	0
10	Jul_10_2014	43.83	45.21	45.42	45.46			45.27(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	25	4.03	51%	0.02	29.3	0.6%	0	0.2	58	0

11	Jul_9_2014	43.82	45.2	45.43	45.46			45.47(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	0	35	4.18	56%	0.05	35.1	0.65%	0	0.8	55	0
12	Jul_8_2014	43.8	45.18	45.39	45.51			45.32(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-1	39	4.28	56%	0.05	42.7	0.68%	0	0.4	61	0
13	Jul_7_2014	43.78	45.17	45.4	45.52			45.43(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	3	58	4.99	51%	0.05	48	0.68%	0	0.8	63	0
14	Jul_3_2014	43.76	45.16	45.39	45.48			45.82(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	6	63	2.81	50%	0.07	54.9	0.71%	0	2.1	67	0
15	Jul_2_2014	43.73	45.11	45.3	45.38			45.53(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	2	59	3.87	50%	0.05	57.8	0.71%	0	1.4	67	0

16	Jul_1_2014	43.71	45.07	45.26	45.35			45.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	6	63	6.99	50%	0.05	64.1	0.71%	0	1.4	58	0
17	Jun_30_2014	43.69	45.04	45.19	45.25			45.36(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	-1	43	13.12	53%	0.05	68.3	0.72%	0	1.2	52	0
18	Jun_27_2014	43.67	45.01	45.11	45.26			45.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-3	36	6.35	53%	0.05	81.7	0.72%	0	0.7	51	0
19	Jun_26_2014	43.65	44.98	45.07	45.3			45.34(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	6	35	5.45	49%	0.07	96.8	0.72%	0	1.3	51	0
20	Jun_25_2014	43.62	44.95	44.99	45.2			45.35(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	2	16	6.72	49%	0.05	92.8	0.75%	0	1.3	54	0

21	Jun_24_2014	43.6	44.89	44.94	45.16			45(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	3	15	4.37	45%	0.05	93.2	0.75%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Jun_23_2014	43.58	44.85	44.95	45.1			45.43(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	10	19	2.95	48%	0.05	95.9	0.74%	0	1.8	61	0
23	Jun_20_2014	43.56	44.79	44.91	44.94			45.36(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	8	6	4.22	51%	0.07	91.9	0.74%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Jun_19_2014	43.53	44.71	44.89	44.81			44.87(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	4	1	5.77	46%	0.05	77.1	0.75%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Jun_18_2014	43.51	44.66	44.9	44.74			45.18(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	3	-0	8.04	46%		61.7	0.75%	0	1.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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