Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $44.6481 (1.01%) ($44.0833 - $44.6753) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $44.6481(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.21(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.92(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.75(2.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	43.18	43.75	43.92	44.21			44.65(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	11	45	2.76	44%	0.07	76.4	0.8%	0	2.3	70	0
2	May_28_2014	43.15	43.68	43.85	44.02			44.2(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	8	33	3.99	41%	0.02	73.7	0.8%	0	1.6	61	0
3	May_27_2014	43.14	43.62	43.82	43.88			44.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	12	-10000	5	31	2.17	41%	0.05	56.4	0.8%	0	1.6	66	0
4	May_23_2014	43.12	43.55	43.8	43.79			44.18(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	7	31	2.24	41%	0.05	39.1	0.81%	0	1.7	60	0
5	May_22_2014	43.1	43.48	43.72	43.67			43.81(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	4	22	3.22	38%	0.05	28.8	0.81%	0	0.9	60	0

6	May_21_2014	43.08	43.45	43.68	43.59			43.71(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-3	17	2.51	38%	0.02	24.4	0.82%	0	0.8	61	0
7	May_20_2014	43.07	43.45	43.67	43.65			43.51(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	26	4.68	38%	0.02	42.3	0.83%	0	0.2	53	0
8	May_19_2014	43.06	43.43	43.65	43.75			43.75(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-3	41	2.74	38%	0.02	67.9	0.83%	0	0.9	62	0
9	May_16_2014	43.05	43.4	43.63	43.8			43.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	16	-10000	2	59	4.38	38%	0.02	89.7	0.84%	0	0.5	64	0
10	May_15_2014	43.04	43.38	43.6	43.77			43.41(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	16	-10000	-0	63	6.54	38%	0.02	100	0.84%	0	0.1	59	0

11	May_14_2014	43.03	43.37	43.58	43.78			44.03(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	5	66	4.83	41%	0.05	100	0.83%	0	1.9	62	0
12	May_13_2014	43.01	43.29	43.5	43.69			44.02(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	8	59	3.41	41%	0.07	86.7	0.84%	0	2	57	0
13	May_12_2014	42.98	43.2	43.4	43.54			43.98(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	5	39	4.44	41%	0.05	67.8	0.84%	0	2	57	0
14	May_9_2014	42.96	43.1	43.27	43.44			43.43(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	2	22	3.98	37%	0.02	41.2	0.83%	0	0.7	53	0
15	May_8_2014	42.95	43.05	43.22	43.41			43.43(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	4	14	4.84	37%	0.02	26.2	0.84%	0	0.8	53	0

16	May_7_2014	42.94	43.03	43.2	43.34			43.6(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	3	10	4.29	37%	0.05	19	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0
17	May_6_2014	42.92	42.98	43.17	43.29			43.27(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	3	20	3.43	37%	0.02	9.8	0.85%	0	0.7	65	0
18	May_5_2014	42.91	42.94	43.18	43.24			43.48(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	9	34	2.4	37%	0.02	1	0.86%	0	1.2	72	0
19	May_2_2014	42.9	42.91	43.15	43.08			43.25(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	39	4.98	37%	0.02	-4	0.87%	0	0.8	73	0
20	May_1_2014	42.89	42.93	43.15	43.01			43.08(-0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-1	43	4.17	37%	0	5.7	0.88%	0	0.3	61	0

21	Apr_30_2014	42.89	42.95	43.14	43.03			43.36(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	-0	44	6.02	37%	0.05	18.3	0.88%	0	0.9	50	0
22	Apr_29_2014	42.87	42.95	43.06	43.04			43.01(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	43	4.98	37%	0	21.1	0.88%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Apr_28_2014	42.87	42.94	42.99	43.12			42.71(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-5	47	9.57	37%	0	28.4	0.89%	0	-0.5	54	0
24	Apr_25_2014	42.87	42.93	42.92	43.22			42.89(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-4	40	3.5	37%	0	30.3	0.9%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Apr_24_2014	42.87	42.9	42.87	43.29			43.2(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	2	31	3.46	37%		23.1	0.9%	0	0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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