Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XLB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Materials sector ETF)
XLB latest price $43.0564 (-1.27%) ($42.9473 - $43.9659) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $43.0564(-1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLB advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLI(87%)    XLF(82%)    SPY(81%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting XLB price   XLB will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.29(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.95(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.91(0.34%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLB price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	42.91	42.91		43.29			43.06(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	6	34	9.38	35%	0.02	0	0.81%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Apr_3_2014	42.9	42.91	42.95	43.19			43.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	16	6	4.64	40%	0.09	0	0.78%	0	117.9	62	0
3	Apr_2_2014	42.86	42.91	42.91	42.92			43.56(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	12	-10000	14	6	4.33	40%	0.09	0	0.8%	0	128.1	62	0
4	Apr_1_2014	42.82	42.91	42.81	42.68			43.24(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	3	-10000	3	1	5.78	40%	0.07	0	0.8%	0	139.5	54	0
5	Mar_31_2014	42.79	42.91	42.79	42.63			43(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	3	-10000	3	1	4.86	40%	0.02	0	0.82%	0	143.3	52	0

6	Mar_28_2014	42.78	42.91	42.79	42.58			42.54(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	6.68	31%	-0.05	0	0.79%	0	141.8	41	0
7	Mar_27_2014	42.8	42.91	42.77	42.69			42.25(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-12	-5	4.99	31%	-0.09	0	0.78%	0	136.3	50	0
8	Mar_26_2014	42.84	42.91	42.81	42.89			42.37(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-4	-2	6.05	31%	-0.09	0	0.81%	0	151.3	50	0
9	Mar_25_2014	42.88	42.91	42.85	42.96			42.98(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	5.38	39%	0.02	0	0.75%	0	171.9	50	0
10	Mar_24_2014	42.87	42.91	42.83	42.97			42.75(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-1	-0	4.83	39%	-0.02	0	0.76%	0	164.4	50	0

11	Mar_21_2014	42.88	42.91	42.88	42.99			43.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	7	3	8.77	45%	0.05	0	0.77%	0	159.6	50	0
12	Mar_20_2014	42.86	42.91	42.88	42.87			43.27(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	9	4	5.81	45%	0.12	0	0.8%	0	154.5	50	0
13	Mar_19_2014	42.81	42.91	42.88	42.72			42.7(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	7.89	24%	-0.02	0	0.67%	0	170.8	50	0
14	Mar_18_2014	42.82	42.91	42.88	42.74			43.08(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	4	2	4.8	32%	0.09	0	0.65%	0	165.7	50	0
15	Mar_17_2014	42.78	42.91	42.88	42.68			42.83(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-7	-3	5.26	32%	0.02	0	0.64%	0	164.7	50	0

16	Mar_14_2014	42.77	42.91	42.88	42.77			42.49(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	958	-10000	1127	451	6.28	0%	-0.16	0	0.44%	0	151.8	50	0
17	Mar_13_2014	42.84	42.91	42.88	34.27			42.49(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	30.4	1368	-10000	1609	644	7.92	0%	-0.26	0	0.41%	0	157.4	50	0
18	Mar_12_2014	42.95	42.91	42.88	25.77			42.79(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	81	1692	-10000	1990	796	5.35	0%	-0.19	0	0.5%	0	203.8	50	0
19	Mar_11_2014	43.03	42.91	42.88	17.21			42.81(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	116.4	0	-10000	0	0	6.65	0%	-0.53	0	0%	0	194.6	50	0
20	Mar_10_2014	43.26	42.91	42.88	8.65			43.26(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	4.86	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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