Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $37.0596 (-2.46%) ($37.0499 - $37.8179) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $37.0596(-2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XHB advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(75%)    GDXJ(20%)    IBB(13%)    XBI(13%)    XLY(13%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    IYT(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)    BND(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.52(-1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.02(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.49(1.56%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XHB price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	35.48	36.49	37.02	37.52			37.06(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	37	-10000	3	139	3.45	56%	0.06	62.1	0.86%	0	0.8	57	0
2	Aug_19_2015	35.46	36.44	36.9	37.48			37.99(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	-10000	20	146	3.61	63%	0.06	63.1	0.8%	0	2.1	73	0
3	Aug_18_2015	35.44	36.34	36.69	37.18			37.96(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	-10000	20	113	9.01	63%	0.06	59.8	0.8%	0	2.4	75	0
4	Aug_17_2015	35.42	36.21	36.5	36.88			37.5(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	33	-10000	14	89	3.62	61%	0.08	50.3	0.8%	0	2.3	76	0
5	Aug_14_2015	35.39	36.1	36.36	36.68			37.08(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	16	90	1.8	58%	0.06	41.9	0.79%	0	2	78	0

6	Aug_13_2015	35.37	36.03	36.3	36.45			36.87(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	15	85	4.83	58%	0.06	32.8	0.8%	0	2	69	0
7	Aug_12_2015	35.35	35.98	36.23	36.23			36.51(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	62	3.18	56%	0.03	25.9	0.79%	0	1.4	55	0
8	Aug_11_2015	35.34	35.94	36.19	36.12			36.47(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	4	48	2.77	56%	0.06	28.2	0.79%	0	1.4	53	0
9	Aug_10_2015	35.32	35.92	36.1	36.06			36.48(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	4	43	3.47	56%	0.03	29.9	0.8%	0	1.6	61	0
10	Aug_7_2015	35.31	35.9	35.97	36.01			35.94(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-8	26	3.39	59%	0.03	34.8	0.8%	0	0.1	56	0

11	Aug_6_2015	35.3	35.89	35.92	36.13			35.75(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-7	36	1.73	59%	0.03	42.9	0.81%	0	-0.4	52	0
12	Aug_5_2015	35.29	35.88	35.95	36.23			35.99(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-1	54	2.64	59%	0.06	43.7	0.8%	0	0.3	51	0
13	Aug_4_2015	35.27	35.84	35.97	36.24			36.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	7	65	1.17	59%	0.03	40.8	0.81%	0	0.9	53	0
14	Aug_3_2015	35.26	35.82	35.9	36.13			36.22(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	15	43	3.19	59%	0.06	35	0.81%	0	1.1	50	0
15	Jul_31_2015	35.24	35.78	35.83	35.91			36.53(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	15	7	3.96	65%	0.06	10.9	0.81%	0	2.1	54	0

16	Jul_30_2015	35.22	35.74	35.73	35.69			36.26(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-4	-10000	3	-24	2.28	60%	0.06	-14.4	0.83%	0	1.6	56	0
17	Jul_29_2015	35.2	35.72	35.69	35.64			36.05(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-7	-10000	-2	-21	3.58	57%	0.06	-25	0.86%	0	1.1	59	0
18	Jul_28_2015	35.18	35.72	35.67	35.67			35.58(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	2	-6	3.09	54%	0.03	-33.3	0.86%	0	-0.4	56	0
19	Jul_27_2015	35.17	35.69	35.72	35.64			35.12(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-5	-10000	-5	-5	2.17	49%	0.03	-46.9	0.85%	0	-2	43	0
20	Jul_24_2015	35.16	35.75	35.82	35.72			35.44(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-3	14	4.75	54%	0.03	-32.1	0.85%	0	-1.1	49	0

21	Jul_23_2015	35.15	35.78	35.86	35.76			36.04(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	1	22	3.55	55%	0.03	-19.8	0.85%	0	0.9	55	0
22	Jul_22_2015	35.14	35.78	35.8	35.74			36.16(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	5	-10000	3	12	4.57	55%	0.03	-8.3	0.87%	0	1.2	53	0
23	Jul_21_2015	35.13	35.79	35.71	35.69			35.47(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-9	-6	1.63	51%	0	-2.3	0.84%	0	-1	49	0
24	Jul_20_2015	35.13	35.82	35.74	35.82			35.52(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-8	14	2.32	51%	0	21.8	0.85%	0	-1	52	0
25	Jul_17_2015	35.13	35.84	35.75	35.94			35.64(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-1	18	2.03	48%		39.3	0.85%	0	-0.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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