Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $32.4252 (0.42%) ($32.2217 - $32.5802) on Fri. Nov. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $32.4252(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XHB advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLY(15%)    XBI(14%)    XRT(14%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-3%)    EMHY(-3%)    BNDX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.39(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.94(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.35(3.43%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XHB price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2014	29.9	31.35	31.94	32.39			32.43(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-10000	4	124	3.27	54%	0	81	1.03%	0	1.4	82	0
2	Nov_26_2014	29.9	31.23	31.82	32.32			32.29(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	11	130	1.96	54%	0.07	77.1	1.03%	0	1.3	82	0
3	Nov_25_2014	29.88	31.11	31.72	32.14			32.45(-0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	45	-10000	15	135	4.22	54%	0.03	76.9	1.03%	0	1.7	90	0
4	Nov_24_2014	29.87	30.99	31.6	31.9			32.55(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	17	135	2.6	54%	0.07	75	1.03%	0	2	93	0
5	Nov_21_2014	29.85	30.85	31.43	31.62			32.23(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	12	118	4.63	54%	0.03	76	1.02%	0	1.9	83	0

6	Nov_20_2014	29.84	30.72	31.28	31.43			32.07(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	11	112	4.43	54%	0	83.5	1.02%	0	2	83	0
7	Nov_19_2014	29.84	30.6	31.14	31.25			31.4(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	1	106	2.06	54%	0	88.7	0.99%	0	1.2	80	0
8	Nov_18_2014	29.84	30.5	31.03	31.23			31.24(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10000	-1	110	1.5	56%	-0.03	99.1	1.02%	0	1.1	82	0
9	Nov_17_2014	29.85	30.41	30.92	31.24			31.17(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	3	112	1.88	56%	0	110.7	1.04%	0	1.1	69	0
10	Nov_14_2014	29.85	30.31	30.83	31.2			31.26(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	120	1.25	58%	0	110	1.04%	0	1.3	75	0

11	Nov_13_2014	29.85	30.17	30.72	31.11			31.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	117	1.34	58%	0	106	1.06%	0	1.3	75	0
12	Nov_12_2014	29.85	30.04	30.61	31.01			31.29(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	13	118	1.52	58%	0	95.6	1.06%	0	1.4	77	0
13	Nov_11_2014	29.85	29.87	30.46	30.79			31.3(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	15	106	3.53	58%	0	76.2	1.07%	0	1.5	81	0
14	Nov_10_2014	29.85	29.68	30.33	30.54			30.93(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	90	4.34	56%	0	60.2	1.06%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Nov_7_2014	29.85	29.49	30.22	30.41			30.83(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	8	88	3.08	59%	-0.03	49	1.1%	0	1.3	76	0

16	Nov_6_2014	29.86	29.34	30.11	30.28			30.72(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	8	100	4.84	59%	0	42.4	1.1%	0	1.3	79	0
17	Nov_5_2014	29.86	29.21	30.01	30.15			30.16(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	5	110	2.45	57%	-0.03	39.5	1.08%	0	1	77	0
18	Nov_4_2014	29.87	29.14	29.92	30.07			30.06(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	31	-10000	-1	128	2.48	57%	-0.03	41.4	1.08%	0	0.9	81	0
19	Nov_3_2014	29.88	29.06	29.87	30.09			30.3(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	6	174	5.78	57%	0	41.9	1.08%	0	1.3	87	0
20	Oct_31_2014	29.88	28.98	29.75	29.99			30.16(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	5	201	3.78	54%	-0.03	40.8	1.08%	0	1.3	87	0

21	Oct_30_2014	29.89	28.91	29.59	29.91			30.05(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	4	207	3.05	54%	-0.03	39.1	1.1%	0	1.3	75	0
22	Oct_29_2014	29.9	28.83	29.43	29.85			29.79(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	-10000	6	211	7.97	54%	-0.07	35.9	1.1%	0	1.2	65	0
23	Oct_28_2014	29.92	28.75	29.25	29.75			30.13(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	7	190	6.93	54%	-0.03	27.3	1.09%	0	1.7	60	0
24	Oct_27_2014	29.93	28.67	28.98	29.63			29.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	48	-10000	9	163	2.44	53%	-0.07	22	1.1%	0	1.5	61	0
25	Oct_24_2014	29.95	28.62	28.72	29.48			29.8(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	17	122	4.47	49%		15.1	1.11%	0	1.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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