Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $31.3983 (0.5%) ($31.1076 - $31.4855) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $31.3983(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XHB advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLY(15%)    XBI(14%)    XRT(14%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-3%)    EMHY(-3%)    BNDX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.25(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.14(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.6(2.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XHB price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2014	29.84	30.6	31.14	31.25			31.4(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	1	106	2.06	54%	0	88.7	0.99%	0	1.2	80	0
2	Nov_18_2014	29.84	30.5	31.03	31.23			31.24(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10000	-1	110	1.5	56%	-0.03	99.1	1.02%	0	1.1	82	0
3	Nov_17_2014	29.85	30.41	30.92	31.24			31.17(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	3	112	1.88	56%	0	110.7	1.04%	0	1.1	69	0
4	Nov_14_2014	29.85	30.31	30.83	31.2			31.26(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	120	1.25	58%	0	110	1.04%	0	1.3	75	0
5	Nov_13_2014	29.85	30.17	30.72	31.11			31.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	117	1.34	58%	0	106	1.06%	0	1.3	75	0

6	Nov_12_2014	29.85	30.04	30.61	31.01			31.29(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	13	118	1.52	58%	0	95.6	1.06%	0	1.4	77	0
7	Nov_11_2014	29.85	29.87	30.46	30.79			31.3(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	15	106	3.53	58%	0	76.2	1.07%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Nov_10_2014	29.85	29.68	30.33	30.54			30.93(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	90	4.34	56%	0	60.2	1.06%	0	1.2	72	0
9	Nov_7_2014	29.85	29.49	30.22	30.41			30.83(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	8	88	3.08	59%	-0.03	49	1.1%	0	1.3	76	0
10	Nov_6_2014	29.86	29.34	30.11	30.28			30.72(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	8	100	4.84	59%	0	42.4	1.1%	0	1.3	79	0

11	Nov_5_2014	29.86	29.21	30.01	30.15			30.16(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	5	110	2.45	57%	-0.03	39.5	1.08%	0	1	77	0
12	Nov_4_2014	29.87	29.14	29.92	30.07			30.06(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	31	-10000	-1	128	2.48	57%	-0.03	41.4	1.08%	0	0.9	81	0
13	Nov_3_2014	29.88	29.06	29.87	30.09			30.3(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	6	174	5.78	57%	0	41.9	1.08%	0	1.3	87	0
14	Oct_31_2014	29.88	28.98	29.75	29.99			30.16(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	5	201	3.78	54%	-0.03	40.8	1.08%	0	1.3	87	0
15	Oct_30_2014	29.89	28.91	29.59	29.91			30.05(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	4	207	3.05	54%	-0.03	39.1	1.1%	0	1.3	75	0

16	Oct_29_2014	29.9	28.83	29.43	29.85			29.79(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	-10000	6	211	7.97	54%	-0.07	35.9	1.1%	0	1.2	65	0
17	Oct_28_2014	29.92	28.75	29.25	29.75			30.13(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	7	190	6.93	54%	-0.03	27.3	1.09%	0	1.7	60	0
18	Oct_27_2014	29.93	28.67	28.98	29.63			29.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	48	-10000	9	163	2.44	53%	-0.07	22	1.1%	0	1.5	61	0
19	Oct_24_2014	29.95	28.62	28.72	29.48			29.8(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	17	122	4.47	49%	-0.03	15.1	1.11%	0	1.7	56	0
20	Oct_23_2014	29.96	28.58	28.51	29.21			29.73(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	16	74	5.32	49%	-0.03	0	1.13%	0	1.8	56	0

21	Oct_22_2014	29.97	28.58	28.35	28.95			29.28(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	18	44	3.85	49%	-0.03	-19	1.11%	0	1.2	56	0
22	Oct_21_2014	29.98	28.53	28.29	28.66			29.54(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	-10000	27	27	5.24	49%	-0.03	-40.1	1.12%	0	1.6	60	0
23	Oct_20_2014	29.99	28.53	28.16	28.24			29.05(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	-10000	25	-22	6.74	47%	-0.03	-66.4	1.1%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Oct_17_2014	30	28.51	28.12	27.86			28.44(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	10	-75	7.33	42%	-0.07	-81.8	1.07%	0	-0.1	43	0
25	Oct_16_2014	30.02	28.58	28.15	27.71			28.44(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-23	-10000	3	-99	7.3	42%		-79.5	1.09%	0	-0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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