Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $31.5378 (-0.85%) ($31.3543 - $32.4359) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $31.5378(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XHB declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(18%)    XBI(16%)    XLY(16%)    IWM(15%)    XRT(15%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    TLT(-4%)    EMHY(-3%)    BNDX(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $31.55
5 Day Moving Average   $31.68(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.33(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.55(-0.04%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XHB price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	31.57	31.55	31.33	31.68			31.54(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	-10000	5	-2	5.91	38%	0	0	0.96%	0	-0	45	0
2	Apr_3_2014	31.57	31.55	31.3	31.6			31.81(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	16	6	2.33	38%	0.06	0	0.96%	0	69.2	53	0
3	Apr_2_2014	31.55	31.55	31.28	31.36			31.89(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	16	6	2.98	38%	0.06	0	0.99%	0	67.9	55	0
4	Apr_1_2014	31.53	31.55	31.29	31.11			31.75(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	7.63	38%	0.03	0	1.01%	0	66.1	45	0
5	Mar_31_2014	31.52	31.55	31.31	31			31.43(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	5	2	3.25	31%	-0.03	0	1.01%	0	64.1	41	0

6	Mar_28_2014	31.53	31.55	31.34	30.93			31.13(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-1	3.56	31%	-0.06	0	1%	0	61	35	0
7	Mar_27_2014	31.55	31.55	31.38	30.97			30.59(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-17	-7	4.68	14%	-0.25	0	0.86%	0	60	50	0
8	Mar_26_2014	31.63	31.55	31.48	31.19			30.64(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-21	-8	3.66	14%	-0.25	0	0.89%	0	68.1	50	0
9	Mar_25_2014	31.71	31.55	31.62	31.48			31.19(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-14	-6	3.65	19%	-0.16	0	0.83%	0	84.3	50	0
10	Mar_24_2014	31.76	31.55	31.71	31.67			31.09(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9	-10000	-11	-4	5.5	19%	-0.19	0	0.85%	0	88.8	50	0

11	Mar_21_2014	31.82	31.55	31.82	31.82			31.33(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-3	-10000	-3	-1	6.09	19%	-0.19	0	0.88%	0	108	50	0
12	Mar_20_2014	31.88	31.55	31.82	31.86			31.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	4	2	6.85	24%	-0.06	0	0.86%	0	126.9	50	0
13	Mar_19_2014	31.9	31.55	31.82	31.8			32.08(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	1	0	6.89	32%	0.09	0	0.84%	0	123.4	50	0
14	Mar_18_2014	31.87	31.55	31.82	31.79			32.12(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	1	0	3.73	32%	0.13	0	0.9%	0	123.5	50	0
15	Mar_17_2014	31.83	31.55	31.82	31.77			31.84(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	5.34	32%	0	0	0.89%	0	122.5	50	0

16	Mar_14_2014	31.83	31.55	31.82	31.83			31.51(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	591	-10000	695	278	2.8	0%	-0.25	0	0.71%	0	108.7	50	0
17	Mar_13_2014	31.91	31.55	31.82	25.53			31.46(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	22	806	-10000	948	379	7.61	0%	-0.47	0	0.69%	0	116.5	50	0
18	Mar_12_2014	32.06	31.55	31.82	19.24			32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	182.3	7061	-10000	8307	3323	2.4	0%	-0.09	0	0.12%	0	457.1	50	0
19	Mar_11_2014	32.09	31.55	31.82	12.84			32.03(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	319.8	0	-10000	0	0	3.39	0%	-0.19	0	0%	0	533.8	50	0
20	Mar_10_2014	32.15	31.55	31.82	6.43			32.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	2.92	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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