Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $52.1719 (3.29%) ($50.1447 - $52.5794) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $52.1719(3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(85%)    ARKG(78%)    ARKK(72%)    IWO(70%)    VUG(67%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.61(5.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.86(4.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.03(4.28%)
To recent high   -26.5%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 3.26% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	59.2	50.03	49.86	49.61			52.17(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-1	-10000	10	-35	7.51	38%	-0.32	1.2	3.06%	0	1.3	50	0
2	Mar_21_2016	59.39	49.81	49.66	48.89			50.51(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-16	-10000	-3	-55	5.9	36%	-0.27	-13.7	3.02%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Mar_18_2016	59.55	49.8	49.91	49.09			49.34(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-32	9.23	36%	-0.3	0	3.01%	0	-0.3	58	0
4	Mar_17_2016	59.73	49.82	50.12	49.41			48.1(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-3	-16	9.06	36%	-0.35	18.5	2.99%	0	-1.1	50	0
5	Mar_16_2016	59.94	49.87	50.46	49.64			47.95(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-6	-1	7.83	38%	-0.32	32.8	2.98%	0	-1.3	52	0

6	Mar_15_2016	60.13	50.01	50.87	50.08			48.54(-5.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-5	21	7.23	40%	-0.3	57.7	3.05%	0	-1	53	0
7	Mar_14_2016	60.31	50.03	51.04	50.5			51.51(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	6	-10000	-5	39	5.49	42%	-0.23	76.5	3%	0	1	63	0
8	Mar_11_2016	60.45	49.79	50.67	50.87			50.93(3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-2	40	4.08	40%	-0.21	74.3	2.99%	0	0.7	52	0
9	Mar_10_2016	60.58	49.53	50.5	51			49.28(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-5	40	7.9	39%	-0.25	56.1	2.98%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Mar_9_2016	60.73	49.38	50.42	51.41			50.14(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-5	49	7.36	39%	-0.23	49.9	2.98%	0	0.4	55	0

11	Mar_8_2016	60.87	49.16	50.27	51.76			50.61(-5.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	2	53	6.59	39%	-0.26	45.1	2.99%	0	0.7	50	0
12	Mar_7_2016	61.03	48.91	50.02	51.61			53.4(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	16	54	10.62	39%	-0.21	31	2.95%	0	2	63	0
13	Mar_4_2016	61.16	48.63	49.66	50.44			51.55(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	7	37	8.6	37%	-0.23	14.1	2.94%	0	1.5	65	0
14	Mar_3_2016	61.3	48.52	49.45	49.93			51.34(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	9	44	5.17	36%	-0.18	8.9	2.95%	0	1.5	67	0
15	Mar_2_2016	61.41	48.39	49.18	49.3			51.91(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	10	42	8.35	36%	-0.15	-5.9	2.98%	0	2	67	0

16	Mar_1_2016	61.5	48.21	49	48.6			49.84(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	6	45	4.83	34%	-0.23	-32.3	2.92%	0	1	65	0
17	Feb_29_2016	61.64	48.22	48.87	48.21			47.54(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	45	4.26	31%	-0.28	-47.4	2.82%	0	-0.4	60	0
18	Feb_26_2016	61.81	48.22	48.83	48.76			49.03(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-2	57	3.94	32%	-0.24	-50	2.8%	0	0.4	53	0
19	Feb_25_2016	61.96	48.35	48.49	48.9			48.19(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-2	43	6.9	32%	-0.26	-58.2	2.81%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Feb_24_2016	62.12	48.49	48.28	49.02			48.4(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-6	32	6.82	32%	-0.24	-61.6	2.83%	0	-0	48	0

21	Feb_23_2016	62.27	48.73	48.01	49.46			47.88(-4.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-2	32	4.78	32%	-0.29	-45.1	2.82%	0	-0.4	48	0
22	Feb_22_2016	62.45	49.02	47.8	49.6			50.28(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	10	21	4.47	33%	-0.24	-39.9	2.78%	0	0.5	48	0
23	Feb_19_2016	62.6	49.21	47.55	48.89			49.75(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-10000	13	-5	5.45	33%	-0.21	-45.4	2.78%	0	0.2	48	0
24	Feb_18_2016	62.73	49.37	47.52	48.01			48.8(-3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	9	-26	6.89	33%	-0.21	-53.2	2.76%	0	-0.2	48	0
25	Feb_17_2016	62.86	49.64	47.51	47.39			50.57(4.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	16	-48	7.74	35%		-60.4	2.77%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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