Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $76.7771 (0.52%) ($75.9075 - $77.2877) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $76.7771(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(86%)    XLV(65%)    IWM(64%)    VT(64%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.93(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.57(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.43(3.15%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	67.28	74.43	74.57	75.93			76.78(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	6	93	2.16	58%	0.28	9.3	1.67%	0	1.1	76	0
2	Apr_14_2015	67.09	74.4	74.29	75.53			76.38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	11	79	1.5	58%	0.28	9.3	1.74%	0	1	53	0
3	Apr_13_2015	66.9	74.37	74.02	74.79			76.44(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	13	55	2.42	58%	0.31	4.6	1.75%	0	1	51	0
4	Apr_10_2015	66.69	74.29	73.59	73.96			75.55(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	9	12	1.46	58%	0.29	-3.6	1.74%	0	0.6	43	0
5	Apr_9_2015	66.5	74.29	73.1	73.36			74.5(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	6	-37	2.31	58%	0.3	-12.9	1.75%	0	0.1	37	0

6	Apr_8_2015	66.3	74.24	72.74	73			74.77(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-16	-10000	2	-71	2.04	60%	0.3	-14.7	1.75%	0	0.3	45	0
7	Apr_7_2015	66.1	74.2	72.71	72.9			72.67(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-85	2.27	60%	0.27	-10.7	1.73%	0	-0.8	38	0
8	Apr_6_2015	65.92	74.28	72.96	73.15			72.32(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-79	1.91	58%	0.43	-2.2	1.8%	0	-1	39	0
9	Apr_2_2015	65.64	74.37	73.4	73.14			72.53(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	6	-71	1.57	58%	0.24	5.5	1.81%	0	-1	44	0
10	Apr_1_2015	65.48	74.5	73.94	72.75			72.72(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	6	-66	4.55	58%	0.26	7.6	1.82%	0	-1	46	0

11	Mar_31_2015	65.31	74.53	74.29	72.38			74.27(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-20	-10000	-2	-74	2.98	60%	0.29	6.6	1.8%	0	-0.1	50	0
12	Mar_30_2015	65.12	74.42	74.51	72.52			73.9(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-10000	-5	-63	2.71	60%	0.29	13.3	1.8%	0	-0.3	51	0
13	Mar_27_2015	64.93	74.32	74.74	72.83			72.26(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-14	-51	2.38	58%	0.28	18.2	1.78%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Mar_26_2015	64.75	74.27	75.06	73.78			70.6(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-10000	-23	-27	6.81	58%	0.26	31.5	1.78%	0	-1.7	40	0
15	Mar_25_2015	64.58	74.36	75.52	75.32			70.89(-5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-9	-10000	-16	13	6.06	58%	0.23	57.4	1.79%	0	-1.6	38	0

16	Mar_24_2015	64.43	74.41	75.95	76.39			74.92(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-6	55	3.53	65%	0.31	72.5	1.65%	0	0.2	61	0
17	Mar_23_2015	64.23	74.16	75.9	76.74			75.49(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	78	2.94	58%	0.31	77.2	1.65%	0	0.6	69	0
18	Mar_20_2015	64.03	73.93	75.76	76.9			77.02(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	5	92	5.64	61%	0.34	84.7	1.77%	0	1.3	77	0
19	Mar_19_2015	63.81	73.59	75.46	76.53			78.3(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	-10000	11	102	2.78	61%	0.36	87.5	1.76%	0	1.9	86	0
20	Mar_18_2015	63.58	73.15	75.08	75.79			76.21(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	97	2.93	61%	0.33	92.9	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0

21	Mar_17_2015	63.37	72.79	74.78	75.45			76.7(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	8	98	1.68	65%	0.36	94.6	1.77%	0	1.6	78	0
22	Mar_16_2015	63.14	72.37	74.28	74.94			76.28(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	7	92	1.7	65%	0.35	104.4	1.86%	0	1.7	81	0
23	Mar_13_2015	62.92	71.9	73.81	74.47			75.16(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	4	81	1.86	60%	0.35	101.2	1.94%	0	1.4	69	0
24	Mar_12_2015	62.7	71.48	73.37	74.22			74.59(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	76	1.16	60%	0.37	97.1	1.95%	0	1.2	69	0
25	Mar_11_2015	62.47	71.01	73.08	74.28			74.53(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	4	90	1.11	60%		94.5	1.95%	0	1.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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