Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $58.4824 (2.4%) ($57.4257 - $58.4890) on Mon. Nov. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $58.4824(2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(65%)    IWM(64%)    VT(63%)    QQQ(61%)    XLK(61%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.85(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.46(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.13(4.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2014	51.43	56.13	56.46	56.85			58.48(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	22	-10000	13	50	1.02	63%	0.14	85.4	1.74%	0	2.7	60	0
2	Nov_21_2014	51.36	55.95	56.24	56.2			57.11(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	8	28	0.96	61%	0.12	96.2	1.72%	0	1.6	53	0
3	Nov_20_2014	51.3	55.83	56.03	55.8			56.63(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	2	5	0.56	61%	0.12	100	1.74%	0	1.1	51	0
4	Nov_19_2014	51.24	55.72	55.91	55.72			55.78(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-5	0.72	61%	0.08	85.9	1.74%	0	0.1	48	0
5	Nov_18_2014	51.2	55.56	55.79	55.97			56.24(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.84	61%	0.12	90.2	1.74%	0	0.6	53	0

6	Nov_17_2014	51.14	55.39	55.74	56.03			55.26(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-5	-4	0.55	60%	0.1	96.3	1.73%	0	-0.1	45	0
7	Nov_14_2014	51.09	55.26	55.84	56.27			55.11(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	0	15	1.2	60%	0.12	100.3	1.73%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Nov_13_2014	51.03	55.08	55.84	56.26			56.23(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	3	23	0.85	64%	0.12	99.4	1.71%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Nov_12_2014	50.97	54.85	55.96	56.11			57(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	11	33	0.46	64%	0.14	90.6	1.72%	0	1.1	66	0
10	Nov_11_2014	50.9	54.51	55.81	55.58			56.54(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	31	1.52	64%	0.14	70.9	1.72%	0	0.9	73	0

11	Nov_10_2014	50.83	54.11	55.77	55.43			56.49(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	1	46	1.06	64%	0.14	59.8	1.73%	0	0.9	69	0
12	Nov_7_2014	50.76	53.69	55.77	55.39			55.04(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-5	59	1.09	64%	0.1	51	1.72%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Nov_6_2014	50.71	53.36	55.61	55.63			55.46(2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-3	92	2.55	64%	0.12	46.1	1.73%	0	0.7	73	0
14	Nov_5_2014	50.65	53.06	55.5	55.79			54.35(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10000	-5	118	1.29	62%	0.1	45.3	1.72%	0	0.4	71	0
15	Nov_4_2014	50.6	52.88	55.34	56.05			55.81(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-10000	-2	150	0.92	66%	0.12	48	1.68%	0	1	85	0

16	Nov_3_2014	50.54	52.57	55.05	56.14			56.29(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10000	6	190	0.94	66%	0.16	48.2	1.68%	0	1.3	91	0
17	Oct_31_2014	50.46	52.28	54.65	55.86			56.24(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	58	-10000	6	213	2.01	62%	0.16	45.4	1.68%	0	1.4	91	0
18	Oct_30_2014	50.38	52.05	54.16	55.59			56.23(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	8	223	0.85	62%	0.16	45.2	1.74%	0	1.6	88	0
19	Oct_29_2014	50.3	51.77	53.66	55.19			55.66(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	-10000	14	230	1.25	64%	0.14	44.1	1.74%	0	1.6	77	0
20	Oct_28_2014	50.23	51.5	53.1	54.51			56.28(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	-10000	15	202	1.77	64%	0.18	35.4	1.77%	0	2.1	69	0

21	Oct_27_2014	50.14	51.21	52.3	53.8			54.87(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	-10000	12	172	1.74	62%	0.2	31.5	1.76%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Oct_24_2014	50.04	51.06	51.6	53.25			54.88(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	-10000	16	136	1.55	62%	0.2	29.9	1.78%	0	2.1	62	0
23	Oct_23_2014	49.94	50.9	50.91	52.52			54.25(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	13	85	1.75	67%	0.22	21.7	1.78%	0	2.1	55	0
24	Oct_22_2014	49.83	50.73	50.38	51.92			52.27(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	10	47	0.79	64%	0.2	9.4	1.91%	0	1.1	53	0
25	Oct_21_2014	49.73	50.71	50.2	51.45			52.72(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	18	36	1.06	64%		0.7	1.91%	0	1.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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