Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XBI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $41.4442 (-0.96%) ($41.4410 - $42.4734) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $41.4442(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLV(64%)    VT(63%)    XLY(61%)    QQQ(60%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    VIXM(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.44(-12.07%)
5 Day Moving Average   $40.77(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.34(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.41(0.08%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2014	47.12	41.41	41.34	40.77			41.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	0	-21	1.38	40%	-0.02	-37.3	2.5%	0	0	46	0
2	May_12_2014	47.13	41.34	41.37	40.75			41.84(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10000	-2	-32	1.81	40%	0.02	-50.4	2.51%	0	0.5	42	0
3	May_9_2014	47.12	41.27	41.22	40.87			40.44(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-39	2.71	40%	-0.15	-59.5	2.46%	0	-0.8	46	0
4	May_8_2014	47.19	41.36	41.24	41.12			39.34(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-12	-37	3.83	38%	-0.19	-66	2.45%	0	-1.9	47	0
5	May_7_2014	47.28	41.65	41.54	41.74			40.78(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-9	1.58	43%	-0.15	-49.5	2.44%	0	-0.7	50	0

6	May_6_2014	47.35	41.78	41.7	41.97			41.34(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-2	13	0.85	43%	-0.13	-56.9	2.54%	0	-0.3	58	0
7	May_5_2014	47.41	41.88	41.92	42.06			42.45(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	40	0.88	45%	-0.13	-63.8	2.53%	0	0.4	63	0
8	May_2_2014	47.47	41.92	41.85	41.61			41.67(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	4	31	1.74	42%	-0.13	-75.7	2.55%	0	-0.2	56	0
9	May_1_2014	47.53	42.08	41.78	41.38			42.46(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	1	15	2.64	42%	-0.13	-74.7	2.56%	0	0.2	50	0
10	Apr_30_2014	47.59	42.29	41.65	41.32			41.93(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-8	2.16	42%	-0.13	-61.3	2.57%	0	-0.2	38	0

11	Apr_29_2014	47.65	42.53	41.47	41.43			41.77(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-25	3.4	42%	-0.15	-52.8	2.59%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Apr_28_2014	47.72	42.75	41.29	41.81			40.24(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-6	-31	3.98	42%	-0.19	-48.6	2.54%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Apr_25_2014	47.81	42.99	41.34	42.13			40.51(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-1	-33	3.07	40%	-0.17	-55.7	2.6%	0	-1.1	41	0
14	Apr_24_2014	47.89	43.28	41.52	42.19			42.16(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	4	-45	2.8	40%	-0.15	-64.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Apr_23_2014	47.96	43.48	41.78	41.99			42.46(-2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	9	-58	2.37	40%	-0.15	-77.8	2.61%	0	-0.4	35	0

16	Apr_22_2014	48.03	43.72	41.86	41.49			43.67(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	14	-91	2.9	42%	-0.1	-87.8	2.59%	0	-0	37	0
17	Apr_21_2014	48.08	43.91	41.79	40.73			41.84(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	5	-135	2.84	39%	-0.17	-95.7	2.52%	0	-0.8	34	0
18	Apr_17_2014	48.16	44.29	41.94	40.48			40.84(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-155	2.58	39%	-0.19	-83	2.52%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Apr_16_2014	48.25	44.84	42.37	40.76			41.12(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-10000	-16	-158	3.57	39%	-0.19	-74.5	2.52%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Apr_15_2014	48.34	45.4	42.93	41.58			39.96(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-13	-133	5.63	36%	-0.21	-65	2.5%	0	-1.5	32	0

21	Apr_14_2014	48.44	46.04	43.67	42.29			39.89(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-13	-114	4.2	36%	-0.25	-61.6	2.51%	0	-1.7	29	0
22	Apr_11_2014	48.56	46.61	44.34	42.99			40.58(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-11	-102	4.13	36%	-0.21	-61.8	2.49%	0	-1.7	29	0
23	Apr_10_2014	48.66	47.17	44.81	43.57			42.27(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-11	-110	4.6	42%	-0.18	-63.1	2.47%	0	-1.5	28	0
24	Apr_9_2014	48.75	47.63	45.25	44.18			45.19(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10000	-7	-119	2.12	51%	-0.08	-62	2.44%	0	-0.8	28	0
25	Apr_8_2014	48.79	47.97	45.34	44.55			43.52(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-13	-135	3.52	50%		-61.5	2.57%	0	-1.4	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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