Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR SP Biotech ETF)
XBI latest price $53.4291 (2.07%) ($52.5451 - $53.9361) on Fri. Feb. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $53.4291(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XBI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XBI advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(64%)    XLY(61%)    QQQ(60%)    XLK(60%)    SPY(58%)
Factors Impacting XBI price   XBI will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.82(3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.14(4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.68(7.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XBI price fluctuates within 4.01% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2014	47.7	49.68	51.14	51.82			53.43(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	6	122	2.05	73%	0.29	11	2.45%	0	1.9	64	0
2	Feb_20_2014	47.56	49.57	50.42	51.42			52.34(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	5	95	1.12	73%	0.25	11.1	2.47%	0	1.5	56	0
3	Feb_19_2014	47.44	49.51	49.83	51.12			50.99(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	76	1.11	72%	0.19	13.2	2.48%	0	0.8	57	0
4	Feb_18_2014	47.35	49.54	49.47	51.06			51.84(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	68	1.02	72%	0.25	19.4	2.49%	0	1.2	57	0
5	Feb_14_2014	47.23	49.47	48.94	50.7			50.53(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	6	53	2.18	70%	0.19	16.9	2.5%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Feb_13_2014	47.14	49.46	48.75	50.31			51.41(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	17	42	0.8	70%	0.26	19.1	2.5%	0	1.1	53	0
7	Feb_12_2014	47.02	49.36	48.56	49.24			50.83(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	15	3	0.84	70%	0.23	16.8	2.54%	0	0.8	46	0
8	Feb_11_2014	46.91	49.27	48.33	48.34			50.71(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	11	-36	1.24	70%	0.24	19	2.57%	0	0.8	45	0
9	Feb_10_2014	46.8	49.18	48.16	47.64			50(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-8	-10000	11	-65	1.15	70%	0.21	27	2.61%	0	0.5	43	0
10	Feb_7_2014	46.7	49.17	47.94	46.96			48.62(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-26	-10000	-1	-100	1.06	68%	0.13	36.1	2.62%	0	-0.3	43	0

11	Feb_6_2014	46.64	49.12	48.05	47			46.02(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-13	-112	0.72	63%	-0.04	48.9	2.49%	0	-1.8	35	0
12	Feb_5_2014	46.66	49.06	48.62	47.79			46.32(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-8	-80	1	63%	-0.02	59.6	2.53%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Feb_4_2014	46.67	48.94	49.17	48.29			47.24(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0.92	63%	0.04	58.8	2.53%	0	-0.7	45	0
14	Feb_3_2014	46.65	48.72	49.65	48.73			46.59(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-4	-32	1.49	63%	-0.02	54.5	2.57%	0	-0.8	44	0
15	Jan_31_2014	46.66	48.55	50.11	49			48.82(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.55	72%	0.17	52.4	2.42%	0	0.1	47	0

16	Jan_30_2014	46.58	48.27	50.29	49.26			49.97(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-3	0.85	72%	0.28	51.3	2.4%	0	0.5	62	0
17	Jan_29_2014	46.45	47.9	50.26	49.63			48.83(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-10	31	1.25	72%	0.22	54.5	2.42%	0	0.3	70	0
18	Jan_28_2014	46.35	47.6	50.33	50.23			49.42(3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-8	79	2.34	72%	0.28	58.1	2.44%	0	0.5	74	0
19	Jan_27_2014	46.22	47.25	50.31	50.75			47.98(-4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-9	130	2.46	70%	0.15	0	2.45%	0	0.2	75	0
20	Jan_24_2014	46.15	47	50.53	51.33			50.08(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-10000	-2	206	1.97	82%	0.39	0	2.27%	0	0.8	80	0

21	Jan_23_2014	45.97	46.62	50.29	51.43			51.82(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	-10000	8	263	0.74	95%	0.61	0	2.12%	0	1.3	86	0
22	Jan_22_2014	45.69	46.13	49.56	50.97			51.84(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	-10000	10	263	0.86	95%	0.68	0	2.16%	0	1.5	87	0
23	Jan_21_2014	45.38	45.6	48.7	50.45			52.01(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	-10000	11	255	1.69	95%	0.78	0	2.19%	0	1.7	87	0
24	Jan_17_2014	45.03	45.6	47.71	49.84			50.92(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	4	-10000	4	2	0.76	95%	0.74	0	2.23%	0	14.5	87	0
25	Jan_16_2014	44.7	45.6	46.87	49.64			50.54(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	9	-10000	11	4	1.16	95%		0	2.3%	0	15.3	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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