Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $82.1600 (0.71%) ($81.6000 - $82.5700) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $82.1600(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(89%)    VYM(82%)    VT(81%)    IWD(80%)    IWN(80%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.82(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.64(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.18(1.21%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2017	78.59	81.18	81.64	81.82			82.16(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	26	0.07	63%	0.1	39.1	0.78%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Dec_12_2017	78.51	81.05	81.6	81.65			81.58(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	7	24	0.05	63%	0.1	22.9	0.78%	0	0.6	54	0
3	Dec_11_2017	78.43	80.94	81.65	81.43			81.31(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	28	0.13	64%	0.1	4	0.77%	0	0.4	58	0
4	Dec_8_2017	78.35	80.89	81.62	81.41			82.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	3	40	0.07	66%	0.1	-4	0.77%	0	1.1	67	0
5	Dec_7_2017	78.27	80.82	81.51	81.32			81.99(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	7	-10000	-5	42	0.09	66%	0.12	-15.7	0.77%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Dec_6_2017	78.18	80.81	81.39	81.47			81.34(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-3	68	0.19	65%	0.12	-8.1	0.76%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Dec_5_2017	78.09	80.83	81.37	81.56			80.49(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-10	86	0.13	61%	0.09	-4	0.76%	0	-0.3	57	0
8	Dec_4_2017	78.02	80.91	81.36	81.88			81.19(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	31	-10000	2	118	0.15	64%	0.1	9.2	0.76%	0	0.3	62	0
9	Dec_1_2017	77.94	80.93	81.21	81.83			81.59(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	4	113	0.12	64%	0.12	9.2	0.76%	0	0.6	59	0
10	Nov_30_2017	77.85	80.98	81.05	81.7			82.72(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	13	107	0.09	68%	0.13	11.4	0.74%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Nov_29_2017	77.75	80.9	80.68	81.31			81.79(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	4	55	0.16	68%	0.12	-0.8	0.73%	0	0.8	45	0
12	Nov_28_2017	77.66	80.87	80.45	81.18			82.13(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	13	30	0.1	68%	0.14	-7.7	0.75%	0	1.2	49	0
13	Nov_27_2017	77.55	80.81	80.17	80.79			80.92(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	10	-17	0.07	66%	0.12	-22.4	0.73%	0	0.1	40	0
14	Nov_24_2017	77.46	80.83	80.08	80.5			80.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	7	-51	0.02	66%	0.21	-36.5	0.73%	0	0.1	43	0
15	Nov_22_2017	77.3	80.85	80.05	80.29			80.78(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	12	-80	0.09	68%	0.04	-44.1	0.73%	0	-0.1	37	0

16	Nov_21_2017	77.27	80.9	80.16	79.94			81.11(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	11	-94	0.16	68%	0.14	-50.8	0.74%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Nov_20_2017	77.16	80.95	80.21	79.63			80.18(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	5	-113	0.05	66%	0.13	-56.4	0.73%	0	-0.7	44	0
18	Nov_17_2017	77.06	81.04	80.38	79.48			79.49(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-4	-119	0.06	60%	0.12	-57.2	0.73%	0	-1.4	42	0
19	Nov_16_2017	76.97	81.21	80.61	79.6			79.9(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-6	-108	0.08	60%	0.13	-54.2	0.75%	0	-1.2	42	0
20	Nov_15_2017	76.87	81.3	80.89	79.79			79(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-21	-94	0.08	58%	0.13	-54.4	0.74%	0	-2.3	36	0

21	Nov_14_2017	76.77	81.45	81.15	80.42			79.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-15	-64	0.09	60%	0.13	-43.5	0.74%	0	-2.1	34	0
22	Nov_13_2017	76.67	81.56	81.35	80.88			79.43(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-17	-48	0.29	60%	0.13	-38.7	0.75%	0	-2.8	32	0
23	Nov_10_2017	76.57	81.69	81.54	81.41			80.12(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-14	-10000	-11	-24	0.08	59%	0.13	-27.8	0.74%	0	-2.7	39	0
24	Nov_9_2017	76.47	81.79	81.68	81.74			80.82(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-13	-20	0.2	62%	0.14	-15.3	0.75%	0	-2	37	0
25	Nov_8_2017	76.36	81.86	81.75	82.14			82.18(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	6	0.21	67%		11.3	0.72%	0	0.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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