Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $71.3000 (0.58%) ($70.8700 - $71.8100) on Fri. Jun. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $71.3000(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(82%)    VT(81%)    IWD(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.6(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.85(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.89(3.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2017	67.32	68.89	69.85	70.6			71.3(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	5	175	0.13	56%	0.12	45.1	0.82%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Jun_1_2017	67.24	68.72	69.41	70.45			70.89(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	7	155	0.08	58%	0.1	42.5	0.85%	0	1.8	66	0
3	May_31_2017	67.17	68.57	69	70.23			70.43(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	13	136	0.06	60%	0.09	38	0.84%	0	1.7	63	0
4	May_30_2017	67.11	68.47	68.77	69.85			69.94(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	11	115	0.07	56%	0.12	29.3	0.83%	0	1.4	57	0
5	May_26_2017	67.03	68.39	68.56	69.54			70.42(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	19	90	0.05	60%	0.09	20.9	0.87%	0	2.1	59	0

6	May_25_2017	66.97	68.29	68.24	68.98			70.58(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	-10000	26	51	0.15	60%	0.09	10.3	0.88%	0	2.7	60	0
7	May_24_2017	66.91	68.2	67.95	68.21			69.77(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	17	-10000	21	5	0.12	59%	0.09	-8.5	0.87%	0	2.2	60	0
8	May_23_2017	66.85	68.15	67.76	67.6			68.54(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-9	-10000	2	-40	0.12	54%	0.03	-19.6	0.84%	0	0.6	52	0
9	May_22_2017	66.83	68.17	67.74	67.54			68.38(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-8	-10000	4	-44	0.25	54%	0.07	-8.2	0.85%	0	0.3	47	0
10	May_19_2017	66.78	68.19	67.75	67.44			67.63(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	2	-51	0.08	52%	0.06	0	0.83%	0	-0.8	43	0

11	May_18_2017	66.74	68.2	67.84	67.39			66.71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-9	-61	0.31	49%	0.04	10.2	0.82%	0	-2.2	32	0
12	May_17_2017	66.71	68.26	67.98	67.64			66.72(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-10	-57	0.12	49%	0.03	29.5	0.83%	0	-2.4	29	0
13	May_16_2017	66.69	68.28	68.15	67.91			68.28(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.1	54%	0.03	36.2	0.78%	0	0	38	0
14	May_15_2017	66.67	68.22	68.17	67.96			67.87(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.11	54%	0.05	33.7	0.78%	0	-0.5	36	0
15	May_12_2017	66.64	68.19	68.23	68.11			67.39(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-9	-52	0.04	54%	0.06	38.8	0.76%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	May_11_2017	66.6	68.13	68.37	68.35			67.93(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.05	56%	0.06	37.7	0.76%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	May_10_2017	66.56	68.07	68.49	68.38			68.06(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-1	-8	0.11	59%	0.05	39.4	0.77%	0	-0	59	0
18	May_9_2017	66.53	68.05	68.6	68.41			68.53(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	-0	17	0.1	60%	0.08	45.5	0.78%	0	0.5	71	0
19	May_8_2017	66.48	67.99	68.64	68.42			68.65(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	40	0.08	60%	0.08	50.7	0.79%	0	0.7	73	0
20	May_5_2017	66.43	67.91	68.65	68.38			68.6(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-1	57	0.05	60%	0.06	51.5	0.78%	0	0.8	71	0

21	May_4_2017	66.39	67.82	68.59	68.4			68.04(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-8	75	0.09	59%	0.06	49.6	0.78%	0	0.2	75	0
22	May_3_2017	66.35	67.72	68.56	68.62			68.22(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-7	102	0.19	62%	0.06	48.3	0.79%	0	0.5	70	0
23	May_2_2017	66.31	67.64	68.45	68.81			68.6(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	108	0.04	62%	0.06	53.2	0.81%	0	0.9	57	0
24	May_1_2017	66.27	67.53	68.29	68.88			68.46(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-3	111	0.1	62%	0.05	57.1	0.81%	0	0.9	60	0
25	Apr_28_2017	66.24	67.45	68.15	68.96			68.7(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-10000	7	122	0.08	62%		64.9	0.8%	0	1.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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