Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $67.9400 (-0.23%) ($67.8600 - $68.3800) on Thu. Mar. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $67.9400(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(82%)    VT(81%)    IWD(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $68.21
5 Day Moving Average   $67.76(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.92(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.21(-0.4%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2017	64.75	68.21	67.92	67.76			67.94(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	3	-66	0.15	63%	0.15	18.3	0.71%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Mar_15_2017	64.65	68.19	67.98	67.7			68.1(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	3	-64	0.15	63%	0.17	29.8	0.72%	0	-0.2	52	0
3	Mar_14_2017	64.54	68.17	68.12	67.64			67.3(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-7	-61	0.18	60%	0.16	35.2	0.7%	0	-1.5	42	0
4	Mar_13_2017	64.44	68.19	68.28	67.8			67.93(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-44	0.12	64%	0.19	57.6	0.7%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Mar_10_2017	64.32	68.15	68.4	67.89			67.51(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-10	-29	0.11	59%	0.17	70.3	0.71%	0	-1	47	0

6	Mar_9_2017	64.21	68.11	68.47	68.12			67.67(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-7	-10	0.1	59%	0.17	79.4	0.72%	0	-0.6	51	0
7	Mar_8_2017	64.1	68.02	68.51	68.29			67.79(-0.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-12	-10000	-16	2	0.1	55%	0.17	77.3	0.72%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Mar_7_2017	63.99	67.95	68.59	68.68			68.11(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-6	44	0.2	55%	0.19	91.7	0.73%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Mar_6_2017	63.87	67.85	68.63	68.83			68.39(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-5	65	0.15	55%	0.2	96.2	0.73%	0	0.5	59	0
10	Mar_3_2017	63.74	67.72	68.6	68.97			68.62(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	4	90	0.1	55%	0.2	98.8	0.73%	0	0.8	65	0

11	Mar_2_2017	63.61	67.53	68.53	68.87			68.53(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	5	102	0.29	55%	0.19	85.6	0.74%	0	0.8	70	0
12	Mar_1_2017	63.49	67.34	68.44	68.75			69.74(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	10	124	0.26	61%	0.22	76.2	0.7%	0	1.7	86	0
13	Feb_28_2017	63.35	67.07	68.21	68.5			68.88(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	125	0.44	58%	0.19	71.8	0.68%	0	1.2	75	0
14	Feb_27_2017	63.23	66.84	68.07	68.4			69.09(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	9	143	0.39	58%	0.21	69	0.68%	0	1.5	78	0
15	Feb_24_2017	63.1	66.61	67.87	68.2			68.13(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	40	-10000	3	151	0.1	53%	0.16	68.9	0.66%	0	1	76	0

16	Feb_23_2017	63	66.43	67.7	68.14			67.89(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	-10000	3	172	0.11	53%	0.17	68.8	0.66%	0	1	81	0
17	Feb_22_2017	62.89	66.26	67.5	68.07			68.5(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	-10000	9	188	0.1	62%	0.18	69.9	0.66%	0	1.5	88	0
18	Feb_21_2017	62.78	66.05	67.27	67.86			68.39(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	7	193	0.15	62%	0.24	72	0.68%	0	1.6	88	0
19	Feb_17_2017	62.63	65.81	67.01	67.69			68.09(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-10000	8	210	0.12	62%	0.18	67.7	0.67%	0	1.6	88	0
20	Feb_16_2017	62.52	65.6	66.77	67.51			67.84(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	65	-10000	14	219	0.21	62%	0.14	68.6	0.67%	0	1.7	80	0

21	Feb_15_2017	62.43	65.42	66.45	67.19			67.52(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	-10000	16	201	0.13	62%	0.16	65.8	0.67%	0	1.6	79	0
22	Feb_14_2017	62.33	65.23	66.15	66.82			67.46(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	11	172	0.14	65%	0.16	58.8	0.68%	0	1.8	79	0
23	Feb_13_2017	62.23	65.03	65.84	66.57			67.54(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	-10000	14	155	0.13	65%	0.16	55.2	0.69%	0	2.2	80	0
24	Feb_10_2017	62.13	64.86	65.5	66.24			67.17(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	-10000	13	135	0.08	72%	0.15	54.7	0.71%	0	2.4	82	0
25	Feb_9_2017	62.04	64.69	65.22	65.94			66.28(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	14	120	0.13	77%		52.8	0.73%	0	2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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