Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $57.3500 (1.52%) ($56.6400 - $57.3500) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $57.3500(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(81%)    VT(80%)    IWD(79%)    IWM(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $53.84(-6.12%)
Resistance Level   $58.13
5 Day Moving Average   $56.88(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.26(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.13(-1.34%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	56.91	58.13	57.26	56.88			57.35(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	4	-101	0.03	52%	0.05	-57	1.05%	0	-0.8	41	0
2	Sep_20_2016	56.88	58.22	57.41	56.75			56.49(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-5	-117	0.01	51%	0.04	-57.8	1.03%	0	-1.6	31	0
3	Sep_19_2016	56.86	58.37	57.68	56.89			56.77(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-9	-115	0.18	51%	0.04	-57.1	1.03%	0	-1.6	31	0
4	Sep_16_2016	56.84	58.5	57.93	57.16			56.47(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-7	-98	0.03	51%	0.04	-50.3	1.03%	0	-2.2	33	0
5	Sep_15_2016	56.82	58.64	58.17	57.38			57.33(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-11	-94	0.01	54%	0.04	-46.4	1.01%	0	-1.6	36	0

6	Sep_14_2016	56.8	58.73	58.31	57.71			56.68(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-10000	-16	-82	0.02	52%	0.05	-34.1	1.01%	0	-2.8	30	0
7	Sep_13_2016	56.77	58.83	58.57	58.18			57.21(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-13	-58	0.02	49%	0.07	-21.6	1%	0	-2.8	31	0
8	Sep_12_2016	56.73	58.94	58.8	58.57			58.09(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-35	0.04	52%	0.07	5.3	1%	0	-1.9	37	0
9	Sep_9_2016	56.69	58.97	58.89	58.83			57.6(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-12	-10000	-8	-23	0.02	50%	0.07	21.4	1.01%	0	-3.3	31	0
10	Sep_8_2016	56.65	59.02	59.06	59.06			58.98(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	2	-8	0	54%	0.09	66	0.97%	0	-0.1	46	0

11	Sep_7_2016	56.6	58.98	59.07	59			59.01(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0	54%	0.11	45.9	0.97%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Sep_6_2016	56.54	58.96	59.1	59.03			59.19(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.02	56%	0.14	60.3	0.97%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Sep_2_2016	56.46	58.92	59.11	59.07			59.38(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	3	3	0.01	56%	0.11	65.2	0.97%	0	1.2	52	0
14	Sep_1_2016	56.4	58.88	59.09	58.99			58.75(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-3	3	0	54%	0.11	63.4	0.96%	0	-0.3	56	0
15	Aug_31_2016	56.34	58.84	59.14	59.06			58.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	15	0.04	54%	0.11	69.7	0.97%	0	-0.4	55	0

16	Aug_30_2016	56.28	58.81	59.16	59.14			59.17(-0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	0.01	54%	0.12	63.3	0.96%	0	0.7	68	0
17	Aug_29_2016	56.21	58.74	59.11	59.14			59.35(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	0	31	0.01	54%	0.12	60.9	0.97%	0	1.1	59	0
18	Aug_26_2016	56.14	58.67	59.09	59.16			58.98(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-2	40	0.03	54%	0.12	64.9	0.96%	0	0.6	59	0
19	Aug_25_2016	56.07	58.61	59.05	59.21			59.12(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-1	43	0.01	54%	0.13	66.3	0.96%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Aug_24_2016	56	58.53	58.99	59.23			59.06(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	2	51	0.01	56%	0.14	69.7	0.97%	0	0.9	62	0

21	Aug_23_2016	55.92	58.48	58.89	59.18			59.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.01	55%	0.13	68.7	0.97%	0	1.4	64	0
22	Aug_22_2016	55.85	58.41	58.82	59.04			59.32(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	1	51	0.01	55%	0.13	64.4	0.98%	0	1.5	68	0
23	Aug_19_2016	55.78	58.31	58.71	59.02			59.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	55	0.01	56%	0.14	65.3	0.99%	0	1.7	62	0
24	Aug_18_2016	55.7	58.22	58.64	58.86			59.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	5	54	0.02	56%	0.13	63.4	0.99%	0	1.9	63	0
25	Aug_17_2016	55.63	58.13	58.51	58.71			58.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	5	51	0.01	56%		65.5	0.99%	0	1.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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