Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $56.6100 (2.37%) ($55.8200 - $56.6200) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $56.6100(2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWD(79%)    IWM(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.62(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.04(2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.53(1.94%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	53.63	55.53	55.04	55.62			56.61(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	5	-18	0.01	59%	0.15	-37.7	1.08%	0	1.2	53	0
2	Jul_7_2016	53.55	55.56	55	55.46			55.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	5	-20	0	56%	0.15	-33.2	1.05%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Jul_6_2016	53.47	55.66	55.07	55.32			55.3(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	-10000	11	-24	0.02	56%	0.15	-29.1	1.05%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	Jul_5_2016	53.39	55.75	55.14	54.99			55.04(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	14	-38	0.01	56%	0.17	-30.4	1.05%	0	-0.6	47	0
5	Jul_1_2016	53.3	55.85	55.25	54.59			55.83(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	8	-63	0.03	59%	0.19	-36.6	1.03%	0	-0	48	0

6	Jun_30_2016	53.2	55.88	55.23	54.36			55.83(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-28	-10000	-6	-93	0.01	59%	0.19	-40.2	1.03%	0	-0	43	0
7	Jun_29_2016	53.1	55.9	55.22	54.53			54.58(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-12	-108	0.01	58%	0.15	-34.3	0.99%	0	-1.2	31	0
8	Jun_28_2016	53.02	55.98	55.35	54.84			53.65(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-18	-111	0.01	55%	0.11	-25.6	0.98%	0	-2.1	25	0
9	Jun_27_2016	52.96	56.1	55.56	55.33			53.08(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-43	-10000	-23	-101	0.04	54%	0.11	-10.9	0.98%	0	-3.1	23	0
10	Jun_24_2016	52.9	56.27	55.88	55.96			54.67(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.02	59%	0.11	13.8	0.91%	0	-2.3	31	0

11	Jun_23_2016	52.84	56.34	56.1	56.18			56.65(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	8	-58	0.01	69%	0.17	36.2	0.8%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Jun_22_2016	52.75	56.29	56.18	56.01			56.15(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.01	67%	0.17	33.6	0.8%	0	-0.2	49	0
13	Jun_21_2016	52.66	56.27	56.3	55.95			56.11(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-45	0	67%	0.15	32.1	0.8%	0	-0.3	52	0
14	Jun_20_2016	52.58	56.21	56.41	55.85			56.23(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.01	67%	0.15	21.6	0.8%	0	0	56	0
15	Jun_17_2016	52.5	56.17	56.49	55.81			55.76(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-9	-32	0.01	69%	0.15	23.8	0.81%	0	-0.6	50	0

16	Jun_16_2016	52.42	56.13	56.56	56.02			55.81(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-15	-14	0.01	69%	0.15	26.2	0.83%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Jun_15_2016	52.34	56.09	56.62	56.38			55.86(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-10000	-14	19	0	69%	0.15	37.7	0.84%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Jun_14_2016	52.26	56.09	56.66	56.71			55.6(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-14	49	0.02	69%	0.13	44.7	0.85%	0	-0.5	55	0
19	Jun_13_2016	52.19	56.06	56.7	57.04			56.01(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	16	-10000	-9	89	0.02	69%	0.15	61.2	0.84%	0	-0.1	67	0
20	Jun_10_2016	52.11	55.99	56.71	57.25			56.81(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	-10000	4	118	0.03	75%	0.17	64.4	0.84%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Jun_9_2016	52.02	55.92	56.62	57.16			57.63(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	11	134	0.02	80%	0.21	68.9	0.82%	0	1.9	83	0
22	Jun_8_2016	51.91	55.79	56.43	56.9			57.49(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	12	127	0.01	80%	0.17	75.9	0.82%	0	2.1	75	0
23	Jun_7_2016	51.82	55.69	56.22	56.61			57.28(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	12	110	0.01	80%	0.12	86.5	0.84%	0	2.3	71	0
24	Jun_6_2016	51.76	55.54	55.98	56.32			57.05(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	9	83	0.02	80%	0.17	81.7	0.84%	0	2.4	67	0
25	Jun_3_2016	51.67	55.41	55.8	56.1			56.35(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	4	77	0.02	79%		80	0.83%	0	1.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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