Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $50.9500 (1.64%) ($50.6800 - $51.0000) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $50.9500(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(81%)    VT(80%)    IVE(79%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.6(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.55(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.53(2.87%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	51.32	49.53	50.55	50.6			50.95(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	59	0	43%	-0.04	71.6	1.35%	0	1.1	76	0
2	Mar_10_2016	51.34	49.28	50.43	50.63			50.13(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-4	74	0.01	41%	-0.04	55.8	1.35%	0	0.6	78	0
3	Mar_9_2016	51.36	49.13	50.38	50.77			50.45(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-1	94	0.01	41%	-0.02	53.1	1.36%	0	0.8	79	0
4	Mar_8_2016	51.37	48.95	50.23	50.79			50.44(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	2	104	0	40%	-0.02	51.7	1.36%	0	0.9	79	0
5	Mar_7_2016	51.38	48.78	50.09	50.73			51.03(-0.1%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	35	-10000	7	120	0.01	40%	-0.02	46.7	1.37%	0	1.4	92	0

6	Mar_4_2016	51.39	48.59	49.88	50.49			51.08(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	8	135	0.01	41%	-0.02	41.4	1.37%	0	1.6	95	0
7	Mar_3_2016	51.4	48.45	49.59	50.22			50.83(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	8	143	0.02	40%	-0.02	43.4	1.38%	0	1.7	95	0
8	Mar_2_2016	51.41	48.3	49.33	49.95			50.56(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	10	146	0	40%	-0.04	43.6	1.38%	0	1.7	76	0
9	Mar_1_2016	51.43	48.12	49.08	49.6			50.16(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	7	142	0	40%	-0.06	33.5	1.38%	0	1.7	75	0
10	Feb_29_2016	51.46	48.03	48.79	49.36			49.8(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	134	0.01	40%	-0.08	32.9	1.37%	0	1.6	69	0

11	Feb_26_2016	51.5	47.96	48.43	49.19			49.73(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	10	119	0	40%	-0.06	31.4	1.37%	0	1.7	65	0
12	Feb_25_2016	51.53	47.84	48.04	48.86			49.49(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	7	79	0.01	40%	-0.06	24.2	1.38%	0	1.7	53	0
13	Feb_24_2016	51.56	47.74	47.77	48.61			48.83(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	4	58	0.01	40%	-0.06	18.3	1.36%	0	1.2	53	0
14	Feb_23_2016	51.59	47.72	47.56	48.47			48.93(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	11	50	0.01	40%	-0.06	18.3	1.37%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Feb_22_2016	51.62	47.66	47.36	48.12			48.95(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	18	22	0.01	40%	-0.02	5.5	1.37%	0	1.5	50	0

16	Feb_19_2016	51.63	47.62	47.19	47.55			48.09(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	15	-18	0.02	38%	-0.04	-17.8	1.35%	0	0.6	46	0
17	Feb_18_2016	51.65	47.6	47.21	47.08			48.27(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	9	-37	0.02	38%	-0.02	-42	1.36%	0	0.8	53	0
18	Feb_17_2016	51.66	47.57	47.17	46.81			48.12(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-5	-10000	9	-47	0.02	38%	-0.02	-68	1.36%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Feb_16_2016	51.67	47.56	47.07	46.53			47.17(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	1	-80	0.02	38%	-0.02	-91.8	1.34%	0	-0.5	42	0
20	Feb_12_2016	51.68	47.61	47.2	46.51			46.12(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0.03	33%	-0.08	-101.2	1.33%	0	-1.8	42	0

21	Feb_11_2016	51.72	47.77	47.44	46.78			45.73(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-17	-69	0.03	33%	-0.1	-101.2	1.35%	0	-2.5	38	0
22	Feb_10_2016	51.77	47.95	47.65	47.34			46.89(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-8	-40	0.01	35%	-0.1	-111.8	1.32%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Feb_9_2016	51.82	48.13	47.72	47.58			46.72(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-3	-28	0.06	35%	-0.12	-96.2	1.32%	0	-1.6	46	0
24	Feb_8_2016	51.88	48.31	47.93	47.67			47.1(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.02	35%	-0.12	-98.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	47	0
25	Feb_5_2016	51.94	48.45	48.02	47.99			47.44(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0	35%		-100.5	1.32%	0	-1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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