Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $48.9300 (-0.04%) ($48.7200 - $49.0200) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $48.9300(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VYM(81%)    VT(80%)    IVE(79%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.47(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.56(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.72(2.54%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	51.59	47.72	47.56	48.47			48.93(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	11	50	0.01	40%	-0.06	18.3	1.37%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Feb_22_2016	51.62	47.66	47.36	48.12			48.95(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	18	22	0.01	40%	-0.02	5.5	1.37%	0	1.5	50	0
3	Feb_19_2016	51.63	47.62	47.19	47.55			48.09(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	15	-18	0.02	38%	-0.04	-17.8	1.35%	0	0.6	46	0
4	Feb_18_2016	51.65	47.6	47.21	47.08			48.27(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	9	-37	0.02	38%	-0.02	-42	1.36%	0	0.8	53	0
5	Feb_17_2016	51.66	47.57	47.17	46.81			48.12(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-5	-10000	9	-47	0.02	38%	-0.02	-68	1.36%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Feb_16_2016	51.67	47.56	47.07	46.53			47.17(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	1	-80	0.02	38%	-0.02	-91.8	1.34%	0	-0.5	42	0
7	Feb_12_2016	51.68	47.61	47.2	46.51			46.12(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0.03	33%	-0.08	-101.2	1.33%	0	-1.8	42	0
8	Feb_11_2016	51.72	47.77	47.44	46.78			45.73(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-17	-69	0.03	33%	-0.1	-101.2	1.35%	0	-2.5	38	0
9	Feb_10_2016	51.77	47.95	47.65	47.34			46.89(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-8	-40	0.01	35%	-0.1	-111.8	1.32%	0	-1.5	47	0
10	Feb_9_2016	51.82	48.13	47.72	47.58			46.72(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-3	-28	0.06	35%	-0.12	-96.2	1.32%	0	-1.6	46	0

11	Feb_8_2016	51.88	48.31	47.93	47.67			47.1(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.02	35%	-0.12	-98.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	47	0
12	Feb_5_2016	51.94	48.45	48.02	47.99			47.44(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0	35%	-0.12	-100.5	1.32%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	Feb_4_2016	52	48.62	48.12	48.21			48.56(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	7	5	0.06	37%	-0.1	-95.4	1.3%	0	-0.1	45	0
14	Feb_3_2016	52.05	48.78	48.04	48			48.1(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	3	-21	0.02	37%	-0.12	-87.6	1.29%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Feb_2_2016	52.11	48.99	48	47.9			47.15(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-10	-59	0.01	36%	-0.12	-76.6	1.26%	0	-1.2	30	0

16	Feb_1_2016	52.17	49.24	48.09	48.22			48.68(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	5	-59	0	39%	-0.1	-70.3	1.22%	0	-0.3	39	0
17	Jan_29_2016	52.22	49.44	48.05	48.06			48.55(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	1	-87	0.01	39%	-0.08	-72	1.22%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Jan_28_2016	52.26	49.65	48.11	48.04			47.54(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-1	-107	0.02	40%	-0.11	-64.4	1.18%	0	-1.2	28	0
19	Jan_27_2016	52.32	49.95	48.27	48.07			47.56(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-1	-130	0.01	40%	-0.11	-57.9	1.22%	0	-1.3	24	0
20	Jan_26_2016	52.38	50.2	48.56	48.1			48.75(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	6	-149	0	42%	-0.08	-53.3	1.19%	0	-0.7	25	0

21	Jan_25_2016	52.42	50.4	48.7	47.94			47.91(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-49	-10000	-3	-186	0.01	39%	-0.1	-55.1	1.16%	0	-1.2	23	0
22	Jan_22_2016	52.47	50.65	48.91	48.03			48.45(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-10000	-6	-210	0.01	44%	-0.08	-57	1.16%	0	-1.1	22	0
23	Jan_21_2016	52.51	50.85	49.14	48.2			47.69(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-64	-10000	-11	-222	0.02	41%	-0.11	-55.8	1.18%	0	-1.6	15	0
24	Jan_20_2016	52.57	51.07	49.57	48.51			47.71(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-71	-10000	-20	-224	0.05	41%	-0.08	-55.1	1.18%	0	-1.8	14	0
25	Jan_19_2016	52.61	51.28	50.06	49.09			47.94(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-10000	-16	-193	0.02	41%		-54.9	1.18%	0	-1.9	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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