Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $57.3000 (-1.1%) ($57.1900 - $58.0100) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $57.3000(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    VYM(81%)    IWM(80%)    IVE(79%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $57.99
5 Day Moving Average   $57.84(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.18(-1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.99(-1.19%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	54.11	57.99	58.18	57.84			57.3(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-9	-49	0.01	59%	0.19	59.2	1%	0	-0.8	49	0
2	Mar_9_2015	54.01	57.94	58.37	58.09			57.94(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-7	-15	0.01	61%	0.17	68.1	1.04%	0	0	59	0
3	Mar_6_2015	53.92	57.86	58.47	58.31			57.45(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-6	11	0.02	59%	0.2	82.4	1.04%	0	-0.4	55	0
4	Mar_5_2015	53.81	57.78	58.64	58.49			58.25(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	0	45	0.33	62%	0.2	83.2	1.03%	0	0.4	65	0
5	Mar_4_2015	53.7	57.63	58.66	58.48			58.26(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.01	62%	0.21	79	1.04%	0	0.5	69	0

6	Mar_3_2015	53.59	57.49	58.62	58.57			58.57(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-4	80	0.01	63%	0.22	79.1	1.04%	0	0.8	72	0
7	Mar_2_2015	53.47	57.29	58.5	58.69			59(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	0	103	0.01	63%	0.22	73.9	1.04%	0	1.2	80	0
8	Feb_27_2015	53.35	57.03	58.33	58.68			58.37(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-5	113	0.02	59%	0.19	64.9	1.03%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Feb_26_2015	53.25	56.85	58.19	58.82			58.18(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-10000	-2	138	0.02	59%	0.19	66	1.04%	0	0.8	75	0
10	Feb_25_2015	53.15	56.65	58.03	58.87			58.71(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	7	161	0.05	59%	0.21	67.1	1.03%	0	1.2	82	0

11	Feb_24_2015	53.04	56.44	57.8	58.67			59.17(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	14	168	0.02	59%	0.21	68.2	1.02%	0	1.6	84	0
12	Feb_23_2015	52.93	56.22	57.47	58.26			58.98(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-10000	12	162	0.03	59%	0.19	71.1	1.02%	0	1.8	87	0
13	Feb_20_2015	52.83	56.02	57.2	57.92			59.06(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	15	172	0.02	59%	0.19	78.4	1.02%	0	2.1	89	0
14	Feb_19_2015	52.73	55.79	56.83	57.49			58.43(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	51	-10000	15	160	0.02	58%	0.19	85	1.02%	0	2.1	76	0
15	Feb_18_2015	52.63	55.54	56.5	57.07			57.7(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	9	146	0.02	58%	0.15	84.4	1.01%	0	1.8	76	0

16	Feb_17_2015	52.55	55.32	56.25	56.81			57.14(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	9	141	0.05	58%	0.17	81.6	1.01%	0	1.6	70	0
17	Feb_13_2015	52.46	55.13	55.98	56.56			57.28(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	7	124	0.01	58%	0.15	73.7	1%	0	1.9	66	0
18	Feb_12_2015	52.38	54.92	55.63	56.36			56.89(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	10	102	0.02	58%	0.13	66	1%	0	1.8	62	0
19	Feb_11_2015	52.31	54.73	55.39	56.07			56.35(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	85	0.01	58%	0.11	63.7	1%	0	1.6	62	0
20	Feb_10_2015	52.25	54.56	55.17	55.82			56.37(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	8	77	0.02	58%	0.11	57.7	1%	0	1.8	69	0

21	Feb_9_2015	52.19	54.41	54.98	55.61			55.89(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	11	78	0.02	58%	0.08	57.4	0.99%	0	1.5	68	0
22	Feb_6_2015	52.15	54.31	54.87	55.3			56.28(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	19	80	0.01	58%	0.1	51.2	0.99%	0	2.2	72	0
23	Feb_5_2015	52.1	54.2	54.74	54.79			55.47(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	7	68	0.01	55%	0.06	40.1	0.97%	0	1.6	71	0
24	Feb_4_2015	52.07	54.08	54.65	54.6			55.11(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	71	0.01	55%	0.08	24.1	0.97%	0	1.4	65	0
25	Feb_3_2015	52.03	53.98	54.5	54.42			55.29(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	6	68	0.01	55%		6.7	0.97%	0	1.8	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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