Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $49.9800 (0.66%) ($49.5600 - $49.9800) on Fri. Oct. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $49.9800(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(81%)    IWM(80%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.21(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.46(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.67(2.69%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2014	49.86	48.67	48.46	49.21			49.98(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	12	64	0	50%	-0.02	-24.4	0.99%	0	1.3	52	0
2	Oct_23_2014	49.87	48.67	48.24	48.92			49.65(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	16	29	0.01	49%	-0.02	-37.8	1%	0	1	49	0
3	Oct_22_2014	49.88	48.68	48.07	48.53			48.8(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	-10000	11	-8	0.01	46%	-0.04	-55.7	0.98%	0	0.1	49	0
4	Oct_21_2014	49.9	48.75	48.04	48.27			49.3(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	15	-30	0.01	48%	-0.02	-67.1	0.98%	0	0.5	50	0
5	Oct_20_2014	49.91	48.79	47.91	47.92			48.33(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	15	-79	0.01	44%	-0.04	-77.4	0.95%	0	-0.4	38	0

6	Oct_17_2014	49.93	48.91	47.99	47.59			48.53(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	5	-116	0.01	45%	-0.04	-79.6	0.96%	0	-0.3	38	0
7	Oct_16_2014	49.95	49.05	48.06	47.47			47.69(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-4	-143	0.04	42%	-0.04	-75.8	0.96%	0	-1	30	0
8	Oct_15_2014	49.97	49.26	48.17	47.56			47.48(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-10	-154	0.04	42%	-0.06	-70.5	0.96%	0	-1.2	34	0
9	Oct_14_2014	50	49.48	48.32	47.79			47.57(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-155	0.01	43%	-0.04	-65.6	0.96%	0	-1.3	32	0
10	Oct_13_2014	50.02	49.69	48.56	47.91			46.69(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-10000	-23	-162	0.08	40%	-0.06	-64.4	0.94%	0	-2.1	27	0

11	Oct_10_2014	50.05	49.94	48.91	48.43			47.9(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-15	-141	0	43%	-0.02	-60.7	0.88%	0	-1.6	29	0
12	Oct_9_2014	50.06	50.13	49.17	48.74			48.15(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-6	-130	0.01	43%	-0.02	-55.8	0.88%	0	-1.6	26	0
13	Oct_8_2014	50.07	50.32	49.36	48.87			48.64(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-145	0.01	42%	0	-53.8	0.88%	0	-1.4	26	0
14	Oct_7_2014	50.07	50.47	49.53	48.94			48.16(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-10000	-17	-165	0.01	40%	-0.04	-53.5	0.89%	0	-2	21	0
15	Oct_6_2014	50.09	50.64	49.75	49.31			49.3(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	-8	-162	0.02	44%	0	-51.8	0.85%	0	-1.3	28	0

16	Oct_3_2014	50.09	50.75	49.9	49.47			49.46(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-162	0.03	44%	0	-47.1	0.86%	0	-1.3	32	0
17	Oct_2_2014	50.09	50.84	50.11	49.69			48.81(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-46	-10000	-11	-152	0.01	39%	-0.04	-40.9	0.84%	0	-2.2	24	0
18	Oct_1_2014	50.11	50.97	50.42	49.92			48.99(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-43	-10000	-13	-133	0.04	42%	-0.04	-39.4	0.85%	0	-2.5	24	0
19	Sep_30_2014	50.13	51.09	50.73	50.2			50(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-2	-108	0	45%	-0.04	-36.2	0.83%	0	-1.7	30	0
20	Sep_29_2014	50.15	51.16	50.9	50.25			50.09(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-103	0.01	45%	0	-33.9	0.83%	0	-1.7	38	0

21	Sep_26_2014	50.15	51.21	51.05	50.39			50.55(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-11	-94	0.01	47%	-0.02	-30.6	0.82%	0	-1.2	40	0
22	Sep_25_2014	50.16	51.22	51.16	50.62			49.95(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-19	-77	0.02	44%	0	-21.1	0.81%	0	-2.3	34	0
23	Sep_24_2014	50.16	51.28	51.35	51.02			50.41(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-16	-36	0.01	43%	-0.02	3.2	0.8%	0	-1.8	43	0
24	Sep_23_2014	50.17	51.32	51.49	51.34			50.25(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-12	-10000	-14	-4	0.01	43%	-0.02	32.6	0.82%	0	-2.4	39	0
25	Sep_22_2014	50.18	51.37	51.61	51.64			50.81(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	0	-10000	-7	22	0.01	45%		73.6	0.82%	0	-1.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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