Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $47.4700 (-0.29%) ($47.4700 - $47.9100) on Thu. Aug. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $47.4700(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.97(-5.27%)
Resistance Level   $48.68
5 Day Moving Average   $47.78(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48(-1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.68(-2.49%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2014	50.02	48.68	48	47.78			47.47(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-1	-122	0	33%	-0.08	-55.1	0.85%	0	-1.6	25	0
2	Aug_6_2014	50.06	48.77	48.15	47.81			47.61(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0	32%	-0.08	-63.5	0.85%	0	-1.6	40	0
3	Aug_5_2014	50.1	48.85	48.32	47.98			47.91(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-110	0.01	36%	-0.08	-70.8	0.86%	0	-1.4	35	0
4	Aug_4_2014	50.14	48.91	48.51	48.08			47.9(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	0.01	36%	-0.06	-74.1	0.89%	0	-1.5	34	0
5	Aug_1_2014	50.17	49.01	48.7	48.18			48.01(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-4	-89	0.04	36%	-0.06	-74.4	0.89%	0	-1.6	34	0

6	Jul_31_2014	50.2	49.11	48.85	48.27			47.61(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-12	-84	0.01	36%	-0.08	-69.5	0.89%	0	-2.4	37	0
7	Jul_30_2014	50.24	49.23	48.98	48.53			48.48(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.01	39%	-0.06	-68.2	0.86%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Jul_29_2014	50.27	49.33	49.08	48.72			48.39(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-14	-54	0.01	44%	-0.08	-51.7	0.86%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Jul_28_2014	50.31	49.4	49.21	49.02			48.41(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-12	-22	0.02	42%	-0.08	-48.6	0.92%	0	-1.9	47	0
10	Jul_25_2014	50.35	49.48	49.34	49.3			48.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-7	-10000	-9	-2	0.02	40%	-0.08	-46.5	0.94%	0	-2.1	38	0

11	Jul_24_2014	50.39	49.55	49.43	49.51			48.94(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	3	-10000	2	7	0.01	41%	-0.08	-52.9	0.94%	0	-1.4	39	0
12	Jul_23_2014	50.43	49.6	49.45	49.47			49.39(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.01	41%	-0.08	-73.5	0.94%	0	-0.5	44	0
13	Jul_22_2014	50.47	49.63	49.43	49.5			49.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.06	43%	-0.04	-85.5	0.94%	0	0.7	43	0
14	Jul_21_2014	50.49	49.66	49.33	49.43			49.8(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.01	43%	-0.04	-86	0.94%	0	0.3	50	0
15	Jul_18_2014	50.51	49.71	49.32	49.4			49.48(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.02	43%	-0.04	-77.1	0.93%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Jul_17_2014	50.53	49.78	49.38	49.35			48.74(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-3	-42	0.07	42%	-0.04	-71.2	0.92%	0	-1.7	40	0
17	Jul_16_2014	50.55	49.91	49.5	49.41			49.55(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	3	-36	0.15	49%	-0.04	-71.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Jul_15_2014	50.57	49.98	49.58	49.34			49.56(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	5	-33	0	52%	-0.04	-77.2	0.95%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Jul_14_2014	50.59	50.06	49.6	49.22			49.68(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.01	52%	-0.04	-88	0.96%	0	-0.5	39	0
20	Jul_11_2014	50.61	50.13	49.62	49.25			49.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0	48%	-0.04	-87.3	0.96%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Jul_10_2014	50.63	50.23	49.68	49.42			49.07(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.01	44%	-0.04	-84.6	0.97%	0	-1.5	27	0
22	Jul_9_2014	50.65	50.36	49.77	49.59			49.17(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0	47%	-0.04	-71.5	1.01%	0	-1.6	27	0
23	Jul_8_2014	50.67	50.51	49.85	49.85			48.95(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.01	47%	-0.04	-51.3	1.04%	0	-2	25	0
24	Jul_7_2014	50.69	50.69	50.02	50.01			49.83(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.01	47%	0	-33.3	1.02%	0	-1	31	0
25	Jul_3_2014	50.69	50.79	50.13	50.03			50.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	2	-59	0	44%		-23.3	1.07%	0	-0.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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